The School of Odds

IF Brommapojkarna v GAIS

Kickoff: 2026-07-06 17:00 UTC

Final: IF Brommapojkarna 1–1 GAIS

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

IF Brommapojkarna (Local)

Prediction 31.34%3.19fair odd
EV +4.99%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +2.12%
Growth +0.106%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.10%31.25%31.26%32.99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.702.983.003.3537%34%33%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

GAIS (Visit)

Prediction 40.89%2.45fair odd
EV -3.90%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -2.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.03%41.13%40.86%43.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.232.252.3549%45%44%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.77%3.60fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.401%
Kelly -0.558%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.56%27.62%27.88%28.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.313.303.5533%30%30%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.29%EV +4.99%E +1.49%K +2.12%G +0.106%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-06 16:15
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.29%EV +4.99%E +1.49%K +2.12%G +0.106%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-06 16:14
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 29.29%EV +4.99%E +1.49%K +2.12%G +0.106%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-06 16:15
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10%EV +3.42%E +1.04%K +1.49%G +0.051%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -10.45%E -4.77%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.05%EV -1.42%E -0.401%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 16:35
1xBet3.22I 31.06%NM 29.52%EV +0.913%E +0.284%K +0.411%G +0.004%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.01%EV -9.63%E -4.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.47%EV -3.92%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 16:54
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -1.28%E -0.407%K -0.596%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -1.28%E -0.407%K -0.596%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 16:14
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -2.85%E -0.919%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -10.86%E -4.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-06 16:15
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -2.85%E -0.919%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -10.86%E -4.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-06 16:15
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -2.85%E -0.919%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -10.86%E -4.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-06 16:14
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -2.85%E -0.919%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -10.86%E -4.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-06 16:15
Pinnacle3.09I 32.36%NM 31.03%EV -3.16%E -1.02%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.33%EV -5.13%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.63%EV -3.64%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 16:55
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.93%EV -5.13%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:54
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.93%EV -5.13%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:54
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.93%EV -5.13%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:54
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.93%EV -5.13%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:55
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -12.08%E -5.62%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -12.53%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-06 16:15
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:15
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -6.77%E -2.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 16:34
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.98%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 16:35
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -6.77%E -2.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.98%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 16:55
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -6.77%E -2.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.98%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 16:55
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-06 16:45
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.79%EV -12.49%E -5.84%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.39%EV -12.53%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-06 16:14
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.56%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.83%EV -13.31%E -6.28%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -13.92%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-06 16:15
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.56%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.83%EV -13.31%E -6.28%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -13.92%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-06 16:15
GTbets2.99I 33.44%NM 31.35%EV -6.30%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.48%EV -7.58%E -3.36%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.20%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 14:50
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 16:50
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-06 16:49
SportsBet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-06 16:45
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.12%E -3.14%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-06 16:55
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.12%E -3.14%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-06 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.12%E -3.14%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-06 16:55
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.12%E -3.14%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-06 16:55
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.74%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-06 16:44
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -9.74%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -13.92%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-06 16:45
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.72%EV -9.74%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.75%EV -16.17%E -7.89%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.53%EV -16.69%E -5.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%16.8%2026-07-06 16:15
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -10.68%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 12:30
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.68%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-06 16:54
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.25%E -4.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 12:29
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -12.25%E -4.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -4.20%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 16:55
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -12.25%E -4.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -6.98%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-06 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.25%E -4.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-06 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.25%E -4.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-06 16:50
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.25%E -4.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-06 16:50
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.25%E -4.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-06 16:50
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.25%E -4.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-06 16:45
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -13.82%E -5.02%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-06 16:54
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -15.38%E -5.70%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -12.08%E -5.62%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-06 16:09
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -15.38%E -5.70%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -12.08%E -5.62%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-06 16:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-07-06 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-07-06 16:55
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-07-06 16:55
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-07-06 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-07-06 16:55