A Escola das Odds

IF Brommapojkarna v GAIS

Início: 2026-07-06 17:00 UTC

Final: IF Brommapojkarna 1–1 GAIS

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

IF Brommapojkarna (Local)

Previsão 31.34%3.19odd justa
EV +4.99%
Vantagem +1.49%
Kelly +2.12%
Crescimento +0.106%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.10%31.25%31.26%32.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.983.003.3537.04%33.57%33.33%29.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

GAIS (Visitante)

Previsão 40.89%2.45odd justa
EV -3.90%
Vantagem -1.66%
Kelly -2.89%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.03%41.13%40.86%43.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.232.252.3548.78%44.76%44.44%42.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.77%3.60odd justa
EV -1.42%
Vantagem -0.401%
Kelly -0.558%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.56%27.62%27.88%28.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.313.303.5533.33%30.22%30.30%28.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.29%EV +4.99%E +1.49%K +2.12%G +0.106%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-06 16:15
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.29%EV +4.99%E +1.49%K +2.12%G +0.106%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-06 16:14
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 29.29%EV +4.99%E +1.49%K +2.12%G +0.106%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-06 16:15
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10%EV +3.42%E +1.04%K +1.49%G +0.051%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -10.45%E -4.77%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.05%EV -1.42%E -0.401%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 16:35
1xBet3.22I 31.06%NM 29.52%EV +0.913%E +0.284%K +0.411%G +0.004%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.01%EV -9.63%E -4.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.47%EV -3.92%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 16:54
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -1.28%E -0.407%K -0.596%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -1.28%E -0.407%K -0.596%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 16:14
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -2.85%E -0.919%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -10.86%E -4.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-06 16:15
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -2.85%E -0.919%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -10.86%E -4.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-06 16:15
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -2.85%E -0.919%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -10.86%E -4.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-06 16:14
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -2.85%E -0.919%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -10.86%E -4.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-06 16:15
Pinnacle3.09I 32.36%NM 31.03%EV -3.16%E -1.02%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.33%EV -5.13%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.63%EV -3.64%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 16:55
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.93%EV -5.13%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:54
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.93%EV -5.13%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:54
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.93%EV -5.13%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:54
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.93%EV -5.13%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:55
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -12.08%E -5.62%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -12.53%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-06 16:15
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:15
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -6.77%E -2.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 16:34
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.98%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 16:35
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -6.77%E -2.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.98%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 16:55
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -6.77%E -2.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.98%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 16:55
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-06 16:45
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.79%EV -12.49%E -5.84%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.39%EV -12.53%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-06 16:14
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.56%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.83%EV -13.31%E -6.28%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -13.92%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-06 16:15
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.56%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.83%EV -13.31%E -6.28%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -13.92%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-06 16:15
GTbets2.99I 33.44%NM 31.35%EV -6.30%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.48%EV -7.58%E -3.36%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.20%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 14:50
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 16:50
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-06 16:49
SportsBet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-06 16:45
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.12%E -3.14%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-06 16:55
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.12%E -3.14%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-06 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.12%E -3.14%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-06 16:55
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.12%E -3.14%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-06 16:55
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.74%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-06 16:44
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -9.74%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -13.92%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-06 16:45
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.72%EV -9.74%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.75%EV -16.17%E -7.89%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.53%EV -16.69%E -5.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%16.8%2026-07-06 16:15
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -10.68%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 12:30
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.68%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-06 16:54
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.25%E -4.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 12:29
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -12.25%E -4.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -4.20%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 16:55
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -12.25%E -4.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -6.98%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-06 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.25%E -4.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-06 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.25%E -4.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-06 16:50
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.25%E -4.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-06 16:50
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.25%E -4.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-06 16:50
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.25%E -4.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-06 16:45
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -13.82%E -5.02%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-06 16:54
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -15.38%E -5.70%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -12.08%E -5.62%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-06 16:09
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -15.38%E -5.70%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -12.08%E -5.62%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-06 16:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-07-06 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-07-06 16:55
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-07-06 16:55
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-07-06 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-07-06 16:55