La escuela de los momios

IF Brommapojkarna v GAIS

Inicio: 2026-07-06 17:00 UTC

Final: IF Brommapojkarna 1–1 GAIS

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IF Brommapojkarna (Local)

Predicción 31.34%3.19momio equitativo
EV +4.99%
Ventaja +1.49%
Kelly +2.12%
Crecimiento +0.106%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.10%31.25%31.26%32.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.983.003.3537.04%33.57%33.33%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

GAIS (Visitante)

Predicción 40.89%2.45momio equitativo
EV -3.90%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -2.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.03%41.13%40.86%43.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.232.252.3548.78%44.76%44.44%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.77%3.60momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.401%
Kelly -0.558%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.56%27.62%27.88%28.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.313.303.5533.33%30.22%30.30%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.29%EV +4.99%E +1.49%K +2.12%G +0.106%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-06 16:15
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.29%EV +4.99%E +1.49%K +2.12%G +0.106%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-06 16:14
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 29.29%EV +4.99%E +1.49%K +2.12%G +0.106%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-06 16:15
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10%EV +3.42%E +1.04%K +1.49%G +0.051%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -10.45%E -4.77%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.05%EV -1.42%E -0.401%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 16:35
1xBet3.22I 31.06%NM 29.52%EV +0.913%E +0.284%K +0.411%G +0.004%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.01%EV -9.63%E -4.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.47%EV -3.92%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 16:54
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -1.28%E -0.407%K -0.596%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -1.28%E -0.407%K -0.596%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 16:14
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -2.85%E -0.919%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -10.86%E -4.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-06 16:15
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -2.85%E -0.919%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -10.86%E -4.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-06 16:15
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -2.85%E -0.919%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -10.86%E -4.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-06 16:14
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -2.85%E -0.919%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -10.86%E -4.98%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-06 16:15
Pinnacle3.09I 32.36%NM 31.03%EV -3.16%E -1.02%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.33%EV -5.13%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.63%EV -3.64%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 16:55
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.93%EV -5.13%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:54
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.93%EV -5.13%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:54
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.93%EV -5.13%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:54
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.93%EV -5.13%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:55
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -12.08%E -5.62%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -12.53%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-06 16:15
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:15
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -6.77%E -2.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 16:34
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.98%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 16:35
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -6.77%E -2.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.98%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 16:55
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -6.77%E -2.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.98%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 16:55
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-06 16:45
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.79%EV -12.49%E -5.84%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.39%EV -12.53%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-06 16:14
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.56%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.83%EV -13.31%E -6.28%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -13.92%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-06 16:15
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.56%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.83%EV -13.31%E -6.28%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -13.92%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-06 16:15
GTbets2.99I 33.44%NM 31.35%EV -6.30%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.48%EV -7.58%E -3.36%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.20%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 14:50
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 16:50
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-06 16:49
SportsBet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-06 16:45
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.12%E -3.14%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-06 16:55
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.12%E -3.14%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-06 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.12%E -3.14%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-06 16:55
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.12%E -3.14%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-06 16:55
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.74%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-06 16:44
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -9.74%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -13.92%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-06 16:45
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.72%EV -9.74%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.75%EV -16.17%E -7.89%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.53%EV -16.69%E -5.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%16.8%2026-07-06 16:15
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -10.68%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.81%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 12:30
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.68%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-06 16:54
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.25%E -4.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.95%E -2.59%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 12:29
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -12.25%E -4.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -4.20%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 16:55
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -12.25%E -4.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -6.98%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-06 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.25%E -4.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-06 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.25%E -4.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-06 16:50
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.25%E -4.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-06 16:50
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.25%E -4.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-06 16:50
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.25%E -4.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.04%E -4.56%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-06 16:45
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -13.82%E -5.02%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-06 16:54
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -15.38%E -5.70%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -12.08%E -5.62%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-06 16:09
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -15.38%E -5.70%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -12.08%E -5.62%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-06 16:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-07-06 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-07-06 16:55
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-07-06 16:55
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-07-06 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-07-06 16:55