Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hammarby IF v Västerås SK

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 12:00 UTC

Final: Hammarby IF 3–0 Västerås SK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hammarby IF (Local)

Prediction 69.91%1.43fair odd
EV -4.23%
Edge -3.09%
Kelly -11.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.95%69.87%70.10%72.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.311.301.3780.65%76.14%76.92%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Västerås SK (Visit)

Prediction 12.02%8.32fair odd
EV +8.17%
Edge +0.907%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.083%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.39%12.02%11.81%13.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.808.009.0015.38%12.82%12.50%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.07%5.53fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -0.444%
Kelly -0.545%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.08%18.11%18.08%20.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.335.075.195.4023.09%19.72%19.27%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hammarby IF (Local): 69.91%; Västerås SK (Visit): 12.02%; Draw: 18.07%. For Västerås SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.32. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -7.02%E -5.28%K -21.28%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV +8.17%E +0.907%K +1.02%G +0.083%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.28%EV -12.34%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 11:55
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -7.02%E -5.28%K -21.28%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV +8.17%E +0.907%K +1.02%G +0.083%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.28%EV -12.34%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 11:55
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.19%EV -4.23%E -3.09%K -11.42%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.31%EV +2.16%E +0.254%K +0.288%G +0.006%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.49%EV -6.01%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 07:40
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +2.16%E +0.254%K +0.288%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -2.40%E -0.444%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +2.16%E +0.254%K +0.288%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -2.40%E -0.444%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:55
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +2.16%E +0.254%K +0.288%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -2.40%E -0.444%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +2.16%E +0.254%K +0.288%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -2.40%E -0.444%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:55
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +2.16%E +0.254%K +0.288%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -2.40%E -0.444%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +2.16%E +0.254%K +0.288%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -2.40%E -0.444%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +2.16%E +0.254%K +0.288%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -2.40%E -0.444%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:55
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +2.16%E +0.254%K +0.288%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -2.40%E -0.444%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:56
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +2.16%E +0.254%K +0.288%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -2.40%E -0.444%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:55
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV +2.16%E +0.254%K +0.288%G +0.006%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -5.11%E -0.973%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 11:55
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.07%EV -10.52%E -8.22%K -37.57%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV +2.16%E +0.254%K +0.288%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -2.40%E -0.444%K -0.545%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 11:15
Pinnacle🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -5.63%E -4.17%K -16.07%G +0.000%8.27I 12.09%NM 11.54%EV -0.608%E -0.073%K -0.084%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.74%EV -2.76%E -0.513%K -0.630%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 11:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.17%EV -6.32%E -4.72%K -18.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.75%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV -6.01%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 07:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.17%EV -6.32%E -4.72%K -18.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.75%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV -6.01%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 07:14
BetAnything🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.17%EV -6.32%E -4.72%K -18.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.75%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV -6.01%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 07:15
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -7.02%E -5.28%K -21.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -4.21%E -0.794%K -0.978%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 11:54
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -7.02%E -5.28%K -21.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -4.21%E -0.794%K -0.978%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 11:55
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.11%EV -8.42%E -6.43%K -27.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -2.40%E -0.444%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 11:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.02%E -5.28%K -21.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.63%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 11:15
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.02%E -5.28%K -21.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.63%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 04:39
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -7.72%E -5.85%K -24.13%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -11.44%E -2.33%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 11:15
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -9.82%E -7.61%K -33.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -5.11%E -0.973%K -1.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 11:55
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -9.63%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 11:15
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -9.63%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 11:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -10.52%E -8.22%K -37.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -6.01%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -10.52%E -8.22%K -37.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -6.01%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 11:55
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -14.15%E -2.98%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 11:50
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -10.52%E -8.22%K -37.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -9.63%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 11:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.28%EV -13.31%E -10.74%K -55.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.05%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -9.63%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-03 11:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -6.26%E -0.802%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -6.01%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 04:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.38%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.64%EV -6.86%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.99%EV -14.15%E -2.98%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 11:15
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.93%E -3.62%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.86%E -1.31%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -5.11%E -0.973%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 11:30
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.93%E -3.62%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -9.86%E -1.31%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -9.63%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 07:31
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -6.32%E -4.72%K -18.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.86%E -1.31%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -5.11%E -0.973%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 11:50
William Hill🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -5.63%E -4.17%K -16.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -9.86%E -1.31%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -13.24%E -2.76%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 04:45
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -7.02%E -5.28%K -21.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -9.86%E -1.31%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -13.24%E -2.76%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 04:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -7.02%E -5.28%K -21.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -9.86%E -1.31%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -13.24%E -2.76%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 04:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -7.02%E -5.28%K -21.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -9.86%E -1.31%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -13.24%E -2.76%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 04:46
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.82%E -7.61%K -33.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -9.86%E -1.31%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -9.63%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.03%EV -9.82%E -7.61%K -33.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV -9.86%E -1.31%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.27%EV -21.74%E -5.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 11:50
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.33%EV -5.63%E -4.17%K -16.07%G +0.000%7.41I 13.50%NM 12.63%EV -10.94%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.03%EV -6.19%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 11:54
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.63%E -4.17%K -16.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -15.87%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.11%E -0.973%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 11:50
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.82%E -7.61%K -33.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -15.87%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -9.63%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-03 04:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.08%EV -9.82%E -7.61%K -33.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -15.87%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -11.44%E -2.33%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 11:35
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.82%EV -9.82%E -7.61%K -33.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -15.87%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -13.24%E -2.76%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-03 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 68.90%EV -11.22%E -8.83%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.68%EV -17.07%E -2.47%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -14.15%E -2.98%K -3.77%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-03 11:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.38%EV -8.42%E -6.43%K -27.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -18.88%E -2.80%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -4.21%E -0.794%K -0.978%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 11:26
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -7.02%E -5.28%K -21.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -21.88%E -3.37%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.86%E -3.66%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 07:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -7.02%E -5.28%K -21.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -21.88%E -3.37%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.86%E -3.66%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 07:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -7.02%E -5.28%K -21.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -21.88%E -3.37%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.86%E -3.66%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 07:30
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -7.02%E -5.28%K -21.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -21.88%E -3.37%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.86%E -3.66%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 07:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.41%EV -9.82%E -7.61%K -33.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -21.88%E -3.37%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.01%EV -11.44%E -2.33%K -2.93%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 11:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.60%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%0.5%2026-05-03 11:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.60%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%0.5%2026-05-03 11:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.60%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%0.5%2026-05-03 11:54
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.60%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%0.5%2026-05-03 11:56
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.97%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.11%0.8%2026-05-03 11:56