La scuola delle quote

Hammarby IF v Västerås SK

Inizio: 2026-05-03 12:00 UTC

Finale: Hammarby IF 3–0 Västerås SK

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Hammarby IF (Casa)

Previsione 69.91%1.43quota equa
EV -4.23%
Vantaggio -3.09%
Kelly -11.42%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.95%69.87%70.10%72.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.241.311.301.3780.65%76.14%76.92%72.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Västerås SK (Trasferta)

Previsione 12.02%8.32quota equa
EV +8.17%
Vantaggio +0.907%
Kelly +1.02%
Crescita +0.083%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.39%12.02%11.81%13.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.507.808.009.0015.38%12.82%12.50%11.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 18.07%5.53quota equa
EV -2.40%
Vantaggio -0.444%
Kelly -0.545%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.08%18.11%18.08%20.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.335.075.195.4023.09%19.72%19.27%18.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betsson1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -7.02%E -5.28%K -21.28%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV +8.17%E +0.907%K +1.02%G +0.083%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.28%EV -12.34%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 11:55
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -7.02%E -5.28%K -21.28%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV +8.17%E +0.907%K +1.02%G +0.083%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.28%EV -12.34%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 11:55
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 70.19%EV -4.23%E -3.09%K -11.42%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.31%EV +2.16%E +0.254%K +0.288%G +0.006%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.49%EV -6.01%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 07:40
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +2.16%E +0.254%K +0.288%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -2.40%E -0.444%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +2.16%E +0.254%K +0.288%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -2.40%E -0.444%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:55
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +2.16%E +0.254%K +0.288%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -2.40%E -0.444%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:55
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +2.16%E +0.254%K +0.288%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -2.40%E -0.444%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:55
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +2.16%E +0.254%K +0.288%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -2.40%E -0.444%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:55
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +2.16%E +0.254%K +0.288%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -2.40%E -0.444%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:55
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +2.16%E +0.254%K +0.288%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -2.40%E -0.444%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:55
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +2.16%E +0.254%K +0.288%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -2.40%E -0.444%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:56
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +2.16%E +0.254%K +0.288%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -2.40%E -0.444%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:55
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV +2.16%E +0.254%K +0.288%G +0.006%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -5.11%E -0.973%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 11:55
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 72.07%EV -10.52%E -8.22%K -37.57%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV +2.16%E +0.254%K +0.288%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -2.40%E -0.444%K -0.545%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 11:15
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -5.63%E -4.17%K -16.07%G +0.000%8.27I 12.09%NM 11.54%EV -0.608%E -0.073%K -0.084%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.74%EV -2.76%E -0.513%K -0.630%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 11:50
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 70.17%EV -6.32%E -4.72%K -18.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.75%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV -6.01%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 07:15
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 70.17%EV -6.32%E -4.72%K -18.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.75%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV -6.01%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 07:14
BetAnything1.34I 74.63%NM 70.17%EV -6.32%E -4.72%K -18.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.75%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV -6.01%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 07:15
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -7.02%E -5.28%K -21.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -4.21%E -0.794%K -0.978%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 11:54
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -7.02%E -5.28%K -21.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -4.21%E -0.794%K -0.978%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 11:55
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 71.11%EV -8.42%E -6.43%K -27.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -2.40%E -0.444%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 11:50
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.02%E -5.28%K -21.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.63%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 11:15
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.02%E -5.28%K -21.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.63%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 04:39
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -7.72%E -5.85%K -24.13%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -11.44%E -2.33%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 11:15
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -9.82%E -7.61%K -33.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -5.11%E -0.973%K -1.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 11:55
betfred_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -9.63%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 11:15
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -9.63%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 11:24
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -10.52%E -8.22%K -37.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -6.01%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 11:55
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -10.52%E -8.22%K -37.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -6.01%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 11:55
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -14.15%E -2.98%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 11:50
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -10.52%E -8.22%K -37.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -9.63%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 11:50
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 71.28%EV -13.31%E -10.74%K -55.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.05%EV -3.85%E -0.482%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -9.63%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-03 11:55
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -6.26%E -0.802%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -6.01%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 04:39
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.38%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.40%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.64%EV -6.86%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.99%EV -14.15%E -2.98%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 11:15
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.93%E -3.62%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.86%E -1.31%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -5.11%E -0.973%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 11:30
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.93%E -3.62%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -9.86%E -1.31%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -9.63%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 07:31
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -6.32%E -4.72%K -18.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.86%E -1.31%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -5.11%E -0.973%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 11:50
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -5.63%E -4.17%K -16.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -9.86%E -1.31%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -13.24%E -2.76%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 04:45
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -7.02%E -5.28%K -21.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -9.86%E -1.31%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -13.24%E -2.76%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 04:45
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -7.02%E -5.28%K -21.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -9.86%E -1.31%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -13.24%E -2.76%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 04:40
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -7.02%E -5.28%K -21.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -9.86%E -1.31%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -13.24%E -2.76%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 04:46
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.82%E -7.61%K -33.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -9.86%E -1.31%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -9.63%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.03%EV -9.82%E -7.61%K -33.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV -9.86%E -1.31%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.27%EV -21.74%E -5.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 11:50
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.33%EV -5.63%E -4.17%K -16.07%G +0.000%7.41I 13.50%NM 12.63%EV -10.94%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.03%EV -6.19%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 11:54
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.63%E -4.17%K -16.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -15.87%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.11%E -0.973%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 11:50
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.82%E -7.61%K -33.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -15.87%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -9.63%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-03 04:40
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.08%EV -9.82%E -7.61%K -33.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -15.87%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -11.44%E -2.33%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 11:35
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 68.82%EV -9.82%E -7.61%K -33.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -15.87%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -13.24%E -2.76%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-03 11:50
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 68.90%EV -11.22%E -8.83%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.68%EV -17.07%E -2.47%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -14.15%E -2.98%K -3.77%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-03 11:35
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.38%EV -8.42%E -6.43%K -27.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -18.88%E -2.80%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -4.21%E -0.794%K -0.978%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 11:26
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -7.02%E -5.28%K -21.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -21.88%E -3.37%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.86%E -3.66%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 07:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -7.02%E -5.28%K -21.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -21.88%E -3.37%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.86%E -3.66%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 07:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -7.02%E -5.28%K -21.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -21.88%E -3.37%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.86%E -3.66%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 07:30
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -7.02%E -5.28%K -21.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -21.88%E -3.37%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.86%E -3.66%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 07:30
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.41%EV -9.82%E -7.61%K -33.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -21.88%E -3.37%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.01%EV -11.44%E -2.33%K -2.93%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 11:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.60%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%0.5%2026-05-03 11:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.60%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%0.5%2026-05-03 11:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.60%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%0.5%2026-05-03 11:54
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.60%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.95%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%0.5%2026-05-03 11:56
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.97%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.11%0.8%2026-05-03 11:56