Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hammarby IF v Mjällby AIF

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hammarby IF (Local)

Prediction 47.92%2.09fair odd
EV +0.633%
Edge +0.302%
Kelly +0.576%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.30%47.93%47.93%49.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.951.952.1055.56%51.34%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mjällby AIF (Visit)

Prediction 25.35%3.95fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.293%
Kelly -0.395%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.63%25.27%25.34%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.613.603.9030.77%27.68%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.73%3.74fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.00%26.79%26.73%28.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.423.403.6033.33%29.27%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hammarby IF (Local): 47.92%; Mjällby AIF (Visit): 25.35%; Draw: 26.73%. For Hammarby IF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.633%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.49%EV +0.633%E +0.302%K +0.576%G +0.004%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.39%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 12:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.49%EV +0.633%E +0.302%K +0.576%G +0.004%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.39%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 12:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.49%EV +0.633%E +0.302%K +0.576%G +0.004%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.39%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.52%EV -2.24%E -1.10%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 12:30
Coolbet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.91%EV -3.68%E -1.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.68%E -0.968%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 12:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.35%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.79%EV -1.14%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 12:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.35%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.79%EV -1.14%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 12:39
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.35%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.79%EV -1.14%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 12:39
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.35%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.79%EV -1.14%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 12:39
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 11:00
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 12:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 12:30
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 12:30
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 12:39
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 12:30
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 12:30
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 12:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.12%E -2.58%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 12:40
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -5.12%E -2.58%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.27%EV -9.76%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.49%EV -5.64%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 12:39
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -5.60%E -2.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 12:30
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.78%EV -6.08%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.58%EV -1.40%E -0.359%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.63%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 12:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -6.08%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -12.55%E -3.64%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 12:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -6.08%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -12.55%E -3.64%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 12:30
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.16%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 12:39
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 12:44
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 12:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 12:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 12:39
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 12:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 12:39
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 12:39
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -7.03%E -3.63%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 12:44
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -7.51%E -3.89%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -3.68%E -0.968%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 12:43
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -2.41%E -0.626%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 12:39
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -2.41%E -0.626%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 12:39
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 12:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -12.55%E -3.64%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 12:40
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -1.14%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 12:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 12:39
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 12:39
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 12:39
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -8.95%E -4.71%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -3.68%E -0.968%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 12:39
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.95%E -4.71%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 12:43
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -8.95%E -4.71%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 12:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -8.95%E -4.71%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 12:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -10.39%E -5.56%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -1.14%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 12:44
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -10.39%E -5.56%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 12:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -10.87%E -5.84%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -16.35%E -4.96%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-04 12:39
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -11.35%E -6.13%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -14.46%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 12:39
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -12.31%E -6.72%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-04 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.55%EV -12.31%E -6.72%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.40%EV -19.80%E -6.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-04 12:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 47.39%EV -12.78%E -7.02%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 25.90%EV -15.59%E -4.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 26.70%EV -13.66%E -4.23%K -6.12%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-04 12:38
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.05%EV -13.74%E -7.63%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.06%EV -17.62%E -5.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.89%EV -15.79%E -5.01%K -7.35%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-04 12:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-04-04 12:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%1.8%2026-04-04 12:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%1.8%2026-04-04 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%1.8%2026-04-04 12:39
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.19%2.2%2026-04-04 12:44