La escuela de los momios

Hammarby IF v Mjällby AIF

Inicio: 2026-04-04 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Hammarby IF (Local)

Predicción 47.92%2.09momio equitativo
EV +0.633%
Ventaja +0.302%
Kelly +0.576%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.30%47.93%47.93%49.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.951.952.1055.56%51.34%51.28%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Mjällby AIF (Visitante)

Predicción 25.35%3.95momio equitativo
EV -1.14%
Ventaja -0.293%
Kelly -0.395%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.63%25.27%25.34%26.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.613.603.9030.77%27.68%27.78%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.73%3.74momio equitativo
EV -3.77%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.00%26.79%26.73%28.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.423.403.6033.33%29.27%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.49%EV +0.633%E +0.302%K +0.576%G +0.004%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.39%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 12:30
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.49%EV +0.633%E +0.302%K +0.576%G +0.004%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.39%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 12:30
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.49%EV +0.633%E +0.302%K +0.576%G +0.004%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.39%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.52%EV -2.24%E -1.10%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 12:30
Coolbet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.91%EV -3.68%E -1.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.68%E -0.968%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 12:40
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.35%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.79%EV -1.14%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 12:40
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.35%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.79%EV -1.14%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 12:39
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 48.35%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.79%EV -1.14%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 12:39
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 48.35%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.79%EV -1.14%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 12:39
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 11:00
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 12:30
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 12:30
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 12:30
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 12:39
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 12:30
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 12:30
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 12:30
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.12%E -2.58%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 12:40
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -5.12%E -2.58%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.27%EV -9.76%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.49%EV -5.64%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 12:39
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -5.60%E -2.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 12:30
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 48.78%EV -6.08%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.58%EV -1.40%E -0.359%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.63%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 12:40
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -6.08%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -12.55%E -3.64%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 12:30
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -6.08%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -12.55%E -3.64%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 12:30
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.16%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 12:39
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 12:44
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 12:39
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 12:45
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 12:39
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 12:39
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 12:39
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 12:39
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -7.03%E -3.63%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 12:44
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -7.51%E -3.89%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -3.68%E -0.968%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 12:43
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -2.41%E -0.626%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 12:39
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -2.41%E -0.626%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 12:39
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 12:44
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -12.55%E -3.64%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 12:40
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -1.14%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 12:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 12:39
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 12:39
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 12:39
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -8.95%E -4.71%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -3.68%E -0.968%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 12:39
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.95%E -4.71%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 12:43
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -8.95%E -4.71%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 12:39
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -8.95%E -4.71%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 12:44
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -10.39%E -5.56%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -1.14%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 12:44
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -10.39%E -5.56%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 12:39
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -10.87%E -5.84%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -16.35%E -4.96%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-04 12:39
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -11.35%E -6.13%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -14.46%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 12:39
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -12.31%E -6.72%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-04 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.55%EV -12.31%E -6.72%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.40%EV -19.80%E -6.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-04 12:39
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 47.39%EV -12.78%E -7.02%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 25.90%EV -15.59%E -4.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 26.70%EV -13.66%E -4.23%K -6.12%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-04 12:38
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.05%EV -13.74%E -7.63%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.06%EV -17.62%E -5.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.89%EV -15.79%E -5.01%K -7.35%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-04 12:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-04-04 12:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%1.8%2026-04-04 12:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%1.8%2026-04-04 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%1.8%2026-04-04 12:39
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.19%2.2%2026-04-04 12:44