L’École des cotes

Hammarby IF v Mjällby AIF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hammarby IF (Local)

Prévision 47.92%2.09cote équitable
EV +0.633%
Avantage +0.302%
Kelly +0.576%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.30%47.93%47.93%49.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.951.952.1055.56%51.34%51.28%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mjällby AIF (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.35%3.95cote équitable
EV -1.14%
Avantage -0.293%
Kelly -0.395%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.63%25.27%25.34%26.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.613.603.9030.77%27.68%27.78%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.73%3.74cote équitable
EV -3.77%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.00%26.79%26.73%28.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.423.403.6033.33%29.27%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.49%EV +0.633%E +0.302%K +0.576%G +0.004%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.39%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 12:30
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.49%EV +0.633%E +0.302%K +0.576%G +0.004%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.39%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 12:30
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.49%EV +0.633%E +0.302%K +0.576%G +0.004%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.39%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.52%EV -2.24%E -1.10%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 12:30
Coolbet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.91%EV -3.68%E -1.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.68%E -0.968%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 12:40
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.35%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.79%EV -1.14%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 12:40
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.35%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.79%EV -1.14%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 12:39
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 48.35%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.79%EV -1.14%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 12:39
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 48.35%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.79%EV -1.14%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 12:39
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 11:00
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 12:30
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 12:30
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 12:30
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 12:39
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 12:30
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 12:30
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 12:30
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.12%E -2.58%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 12:40
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -5.12%E -2.58%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.27%EV -9.76%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.49%EV -5.64%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 12:39
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -5.60%E -2.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 12:30
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 48.78%EV -6.08%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.58%EV -1.40%E -0.359%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.63%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 12:40
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -6.08%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -12.55%E -3.64%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 12:30
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -6.08%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -12.55%E -3.64%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 12:30
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.16%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.21%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 12:39
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 12:44
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 12:39
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 12:45
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 12:39
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 12:39
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 12:39
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 12:39
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -7.03%E -3.63%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 12:44
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -7.51%E -3.89%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -3.68%E -0.968%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 12:43
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -2.41%E -0.626%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 12:39
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -2.41%E -0.626%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 12:39
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 12:44
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -12.55%E -3.64%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 12:40
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -1.14%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 12:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 12:39
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 12:39
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.47%E -4.44%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 12:39
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -8.95%E -4.71%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -3.68%E -0.968%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 12:39
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.95%E -4.71%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 12:43
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -8.95%E -4.71%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 12:39
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -8.95%E -4.71%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 12:44
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -10.39%E -5.56%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -1.14%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 12:44
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -10.39%E -5.56%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 12:39
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -10.87%E -5.84%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -16.35%E -4.96%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-04 12:39
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -11.35%E -6.13%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -14.46%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 12:39
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -12.31%E -6.72%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -11.28%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-04 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.55%EV -12.31%E -6.72%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -13.82%E -4.06%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.40%EV -19.80%E -6.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-04 12:39
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 47.39%EV -12.78%E -7.02%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 25.90%EV -15.59%E -4.68%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 26.70%EV -13.66%E -4.23%K -6.12%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-04 12:38
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.05%EV -13.74%E -7.63%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.06%EV -17.62%E -5.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.89%EV -15.79%E -5.01%K -7.35%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-04 12:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-04-04 12:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%1.8%2026-04-04 12:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%1.8%2026-04-04 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%1.8%2026-04-04 12:39
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.19%2.2%2026-04-04 12:44