Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hammarby IF v Degerfors IF

Kickoff: 2026-07-19 14:30 UTC

Final: Hammarby IF 4–0 Degerfors IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hammarby IF (Local)

Prediction 77.39%1.29fair odd
EV -5.58%
Edge -4.57%
Kelly -25.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.26%77.41%77.51%80.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.191.201.2290.09%83.93%83.33%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Degerfors IF (Visit)

Prediction 7.96%12.57fair odd
EV +19.33%
Edge +1.29%
Kelly +1.38%
Growth +0.267%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.54%7.99%7.90%9.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0011.7912.0015.0011.11%8.48%8.33%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 14.65%6.83fair odd
EV +9.89%
Edge +1.32%
Kelly +1.52%
Growth +0.150%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.08%14.60%14.59%16.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.346.257.5018.18%15.77%16.00%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hammarby IF (Local): 77.39%; Degerfors IF (Visit): 7.96%; Draw: 14.65%. For Degerfors IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.57. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54%EV +19.33%E +1.29%K +1.38%G +0.267%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.08%EV +9.89%E +1.32%K +1.52%G +0.150%2.0%2026-07-19 12:10
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54%EV +19.33%E +1.29%K +1.38%G +0.267%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.08%EV +9.89%E +1.32%K +1.52%G +0.150%2.0%2026-07-19 12:10
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54%EV +19.33%E +1.29%K +1.38%G +0.267%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.08%EV +9.89%E +1.32%K +1.52%G +0.150%2.0%2026-07-19 12:10
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.71%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%14.30I 6.99%NM 6.66%EV +13.76%E +0.962%K +1.03%G +0.142%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.63%EV -4.62%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 14:25
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.79%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.37%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.87%EV +11.38%E +0.813%K +0.875%G +0.100%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.35%EV -1.83%E -0.274%K -0.322%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-19 13:40
NordicBet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.11%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +11.38%E +0.813%K +0.875%G +0.100%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -15.75%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 14:00
Betsson1.21I 82.64%NM 77.11%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +11.38%E +0.813%K +0.875%G +0.100%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -15.75%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 14:00
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 77.43%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.37%G +0.000%13.49I 7.41%NM 7.00%EV +7.32%E +0.542%K +0.586%G +0.043%6.07I 16.47%NM 15.56%EV -11.06%E -1.82%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 14:25
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +3.42%E +0.263%K +0.285%G +0.010%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 13:50
Tipico (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.59%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV +3.42%E +0.263%K +0.285%G +0.010%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 14:25
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 76.31%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV +3.42%E +0.263%K +0.285%G +0.010%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -19.42%E -3.53%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-19 14:10
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 78.87%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%12.90I 7.75%NM 7.40%EV +2.62%E +0.203%K +0.221%G +0.006%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.73%EV +1.83%E +0.263%K +0.307%G +0.006%4.8%2026-07-19 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.65%EV -7.90%E -6.64%K -41.59%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.49%EV -0.558%E -0.045%K -0.049%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -1.10%E -0.163%K -0.191%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 12:10
Grosvenor1.19I 84.03%NM 78.65%EV -7.90%E -6.64%K -41.59%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.49%EV -0.558%E -0.045%K -0.049%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -1.10%E -0.163%K -0.191%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 12:10
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 78.66%EV -10.22%E -8.81%K -63.90%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.30%EV -0.558%E -0.045%K -0.049%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-19 14:10
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-19 14:05
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-19 14:00
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 77.70%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 13:50
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -1.10%E -0.163%K -0.191%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 14:10
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +2.56%E +0.366%K +0.427%G +0.011%8.1%2026-07-19 14:09
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 14:25
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 14:25
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 14:25
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 14:25
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 12:05
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 12:05
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 12:05
betPARX1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 12:10
betano_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 14:19
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -11.00%E -9.56%K -73.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 14:15
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 78.72%EV -11.77%E -10.33%K -84.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.48%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-19 14:10
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.37%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -8.51%E -0.740%K -0.811%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -8.43%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 14:05
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 77.58%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.59%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.89%EV -8.51%E -0.740%K -0.811%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -8.43%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-19 12:10
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 77.73%EV -10.22%E -8.81%K -63.90%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.84%EV -8.51%E -0.740%K -0.811%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.43%EV -8.43%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-19 12:10
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -12.49%E -1.14%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV +2.56%E +0.366%K +0.427%G +0.011%6.7%2026-07-19 14:05
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.49%E -1.14%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-19 14:10
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -12.49%E -1.14%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 13:55
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.03%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -12.49%E -1.14%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.77%EV -10.62%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 14:09
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 77.34%EV -11.00%E -9.56%K -73.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%EV -12.49%E -1.14%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.58%EV -10.62%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-19 12:10
LiveScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 77.34%EV -11.00%E -9.56%K -73.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%EV -12.49%E -1.14%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.58%EV -10.62%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-19 12:10
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 77.77%EV -14.09%E -12.70%K -128.13%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.85%EV -12.49%E -1.14%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.39%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-19 12:09
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.35%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.20%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.38%EV -14.48%E -1.35%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.27%EV -13.55%E -2.30%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 14:10
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 77.33%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -16.47%E -1.57%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -0.368%E -0.054%K -0.063%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 14:00
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 77.33%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -16.47%E -1.57%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -0.368%E -0.054%K -0.063%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 14:10
BetUS1.21I 82.64%NM 77.33%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -16.47%E -1.57%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -0.368%E -0.054%K -0.063%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 14:10
BetAnything1.21I 82.64%NM 77.33%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -16.47%E -1.57%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -0.368%E -0.054%K -0.063%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 14:00
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 76.54%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.59%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.53%EV -16.47%E -1.57%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-19 14:25
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -20.45%E -2.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 14:15
Winamax (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -20.45%E -2.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-19 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -20.45%E -2.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -15.75%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 13:55
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -20.45%E -2.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -15.75%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -20.45%E -2.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -15.75%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 13:55
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -20.45%E -2.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -15.75%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 13:55
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -20.45%E -2.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -15.75%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 14:20
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -20.45%E -2.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-19 14:10
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 75.63%EV -10.22%E -8.81%K -63.90%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.75%EV -28.40%E -3.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-19 14:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.39%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-07-19 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.39%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-07-19 14:25
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.39%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-07-19 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.28%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.37%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.34%1.3%2026-07-19 14:25
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 80.11%14.99I 6.67%NM 6.57%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.32%1.5%2026-07-19 14:25