The School of Odds

Hammarby IF v Degerfors IF

2026-07-19 14:30 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Hammarby IF (Local)

Prediction 72.51%1.38fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -2.67%
Kelly -10.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.16%72.50%72.32%73.87%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.201.271.271.3383%79%79%75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Degerfors IF (Visit)

Prediction 10.09%9.91fair odd
EV +5.99%
Edge +0.571%
Kelly +0.631%
Growth +0.038%

assuming max odds 10.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.94%10.04%10.20%12.50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
6.759.069.0010.5015%11%11%10%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 17.39%5.75fair odd
EV +0.871%
Edge +0.150%
Kelly +0.181%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 5.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.03%17.46%17.48%19.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.605.225.205.8022%19%19%17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 73.75%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.34%EV +5.99%E +0.571%K +0.631%G +0.038%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%EV +0.871%E +0.150%K +0.181%G +0.002%2.0%2026-07-12 14:59
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 73.75%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.34%EV +5.99%E +0.571%K +0.631%G +0.038%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%EV +0.871%E +0.150%K +0.181%G +0.002%2.0%2026-07-12 14:59
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 73.75%EV -3.56%E -2.67%K -10.78%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.34%EV +5.99%E +0.571%K +0.631%G +0.038%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%EV +0.871%E +0.150%K +0.181%G +0.002%2.0%2026-07-12 14:59
NordicBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.69%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.15%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV +5.99%E +0.571%K +0.631%G +0.038%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.36%EV -15.65%E -3.23%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 16:24
Betsson1.31I 76.34%NM 71.69%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.15%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV +5.99%E +0.571%K +0.631%G +0.038%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.36%EV -15.65%E -3.23%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 16:25
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.48%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV +0.946%E +0.095%K +0.105%G +0.001%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -7.83%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-12 19:04
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.76%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.29%G +0.000%9.85I 10.15%NM 9.51%EV -0.569%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -2.61%E -0.466%K -0.567%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 16:34
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 73.87%EV -8.63%E -6.85%K -33.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -4.10%E -0.432%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.33%EV -0.868%E -0.152%K -0.185%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 15:24
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.10%E -0.432%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -13.04%E -2.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 16:19
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.10%E -0.432%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -13.04%E -2.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 16:19
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.10%E -0.432%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -13.04%E -2.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 16:19
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.10%E -0.432%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -13.04%E -2.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -4.10%E -0.432%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.35%E -0.790%K -0.966%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 15:54
SportsBet1.24I 80.65%NM 73.75%EV -10.08%E -8.13%K -42.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -4.10%E -0.432%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -4.35%E -0.790%K -0.966%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-12 15:24
Bovada1.28I 78.13%NM 73.48%EV -7.18%E -5.61%K -25.65%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.17%EV -6.63%E -0.716%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 16:29
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 73.37%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.29%G +0.000%9.14I 10.94%NM 10.19%EV -7.74%E -0.846%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 16.43%EV -1.39%E -0.245%K -0.298%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.35%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -9.15%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -6.09%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 14:59
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.35%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -9.15%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -6.09%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 15:00
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.18%E -5.61%K -25.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -9.15%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -4.35%E -0.790%K -0.966%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 16:29
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.99%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -9.15%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -8.69%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-12 15:19
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.29%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -9.15%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.35%E -0.790%K -0.966%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 16:44
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.03%EV -7.18%E -5.61%K -25.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -9.15%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.73%EV -9.56%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 15:00
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 72.03%EV -7.18%E -5.61%K -25.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -9.15%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.73%EV -9.56%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 14:59
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.03%EV -7.18%E -5.61%K -25.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -9.15%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.73%EV -9.56%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 14:59
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 72.03%EV -7.18%E -5.61%K -25.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -9.15%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.73%EV -9.56%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 14:59
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -9.15%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 18:50
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -9.15%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -13.04%E -2.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-12 15:19
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 72.31%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.29%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -9.15%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -8.69%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-12 15:19
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -11.53%E -9.45%K -52.42%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -9.15%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -13.04%E -2.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-12 16:14
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -14.20%E -1.67%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -11.30%E -2.22%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-12 14:59
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 71.42%EV -8.63%E -6.85%K -33.20%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -14.20%E -1.67%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -13.04%E -2.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 14:59
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.43%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -14.20%E -1.67%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.04%E -2.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-12 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.43%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -14.20%E -1.67%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.04%E -2.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-12 14:59
Betclic (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 70.75%EV -10.08%E -8.13%K -42.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.97%EV -19.24%E -2.41%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -16.52%E -3.44%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-12 14:34
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 71.43%EV -12.98%E -10.82%K -64.92%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.71%EV -19.24%E -2.41%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.86%EV -16.52%E -3.44%K -4.35%G +0.000%16.7%2026-07-12 14:59
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 70.04%EV -10.08%E -8.13%K -42.01%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 11.28%EV -22.27%E -2.89%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.68%EV -19.13%E -4.11%K -5.24%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-12 14:35
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 70.45%EV -11.53%E -9.45%K -52.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.46%EV -24.29%E -3.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.09%EV -17.39%E -3.66%K -4.64%G +0.000%16.4%2026-07-12 15:24
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 70.22%EV -10.08%E -8.13%K -42.01%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.01%EV -26.81%E -3.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.77%EV -14.78%E -3.02%K -3.79%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-12 14:34
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 69.16%EV -11.53%E -9.45%K -52.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.50%EV -31.86%E -4.72%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.34%EV -20.00%E -4.35%K -5.56%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-12 14:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 70.39%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.33%13.7%2026-07-12 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 41.99%1.16I 86.21%NM 46.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 11.68%86.1%2026-07-12 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 41.99%1.16I 86.21%NM 46.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 11.68%86.1%2026-07-12 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 30.31%1.16I 86.21%NM 33.44%1.07I 93.46%NM 36.25%157.8%2026-07-12 17:25