La escuela de los momios

Hammarby IF v Degerfors IF

Inicio: 2026-07-19 14:30 UTC

Final: Hammarby IF 4–0 Degerfors IF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Hammarby IF (Local)

Predicción 77.39%1.29momio equitativo
EV -5.58%
Ventaja -4.57%
Kelly -25.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.26%77.41%77.51%80.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.111.191.201.2290.09%83.93%83.33%81.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Degerfors IF (Visitante)

Predicción 7.96%12.57momio equitativo
EV +19.33%
Ventaja +1.29%
Kelly +1.38%
Crecimiento +0.267%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 15.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.54%7.99%7.90%9.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
9.0011.7912.0015.0011.11%8.48%8.33%6.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 14.65%6.83momio equitativo
EV +9.89%
Ventaja +1.32%
Kelly +1.52%
Crecimiento +0.150%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.08%14.60%14.59%16.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.346.257.5018.18%15.77%16.00%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54%EV +19.33%E +1.29%K +1.38%G +0.267%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.08%EV +9.89%E +1.32%K +1.52%G +0.150%2.0%2026-07-19 12:10
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54%EV +19.33%E +1.29%K +1.38%G +0.267%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.08%EV +9.89%E +1.32%K +1.52%G +0.150%2.0%2026-07-19 12:10
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54%EV +19.33%E +1.29%K +1.38%G +0.267%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.08%EV +9.89%E +1.32%K +1.52%G +0.150%2.0%2026-07-19 12:10
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.71%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%14.30I 6.99%NM 6.66%EV +13.76%E +0.962%K +1.03%G +0.142%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.63%EV -4.62%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 14:25
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.79%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.37%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.87%EV +11.38%E +0.813%K +0.875%G +0.100%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.35%EV -1.83%E -0.274%K -0.322%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-19 13:40
NordicBet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.11%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +11.38%E +0.813%K +0.875%G +0.100%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -15.75%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 14:00
Betsson1.21I 82.64%NM 77.11%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +11.38%E +0.813%K +0.875%G +0.100%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -15.75%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 14:00
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 77.43%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.37%G +0.000%13.49I 7.41%NM 7.00%EV +7.32%E +0.542%K +0.586%G +0.043%6.07I 16.47%NM 15.56%EV -11.06%E -1.82%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 14:25
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +3.42%E +0.263%K +0.285%G +0.010%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 13:50
Tipico (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.59%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV +3.42%E +0.263%K +0.285%G +0.010%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 14:25
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 76.31%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV +3.42%E +0.263%K +0.285%G +0.010%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -19.42%E -3.53%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-19 14:10
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 78.87%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%12.90I 7.75%NM 7.40%EV +2.62%E +0.203%K +0.221%G +0.006%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.73%EV +1.83%E +0.263%K +0.307%G +0.006%4.8%2026-07-19 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.65%EV -7.90%E -6.64%K -41.59%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.49%EV -0.558%E -0.045%K -0.049%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -1.10%E -0.163%K -0.191%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 12:10
Grosvenor1.19I 84.03%NM 78.65%EV -7.90%E -6.64%K -41.59%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.49%EV -0.558%E -0.045%K -0.049%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -1.10%E -0.163%K -0.191%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 12:10
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 78.66%EV -10.22%E -8.81%K -63.90%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.30%EV -0.558%E -0.045%K -0.049%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-19 14:10
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-19 14:05
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-19 14:00
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 77.70%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 13:50
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -1.10%E -0.163%K -0.191%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 14:10
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +2.56%E +0.366%K +0.427%G +0.011%8.1%2026-07-19 14:09
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 14:25
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 14:25
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 14:25
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 14:25
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 12:05
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 12:05
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 12:05
betPARX1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 12:10
betano_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 14:19
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -11.00%E -9.56%K -73.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 14:15
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 78.72%EV -11.77%E -10.33%K -84.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.48%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-19 14:10
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.37%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -8.51%E -0.740%K -0.811%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -8.43%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 14:05
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 77.58%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.59%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.89%EV -8.51%E -0.740%K -0.811%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -8.43%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-19 12:10
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 77.73%EV -10.22%E -8.81%K -63.90%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.84%EV -8.51%E -0.740%K -0.811%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.43%EV -8.43%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-19 12:10
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -12.49%E -1.14%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV +2.56%E +0.366%K +0.427%G +0.011%6.7%2026-07-19 14:05
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.49%E -1.14%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-19 14:10
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -12.49%E -1.14%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 13:55
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.03%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -12.49%E -1.14%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.77%EV -10.62%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 14:09
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 77.34%EV -11.00%E -9.56%K -73.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%EV -12.49%E -1.14%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.58%EV -10.62%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-19 12:10
LiveScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 77.34%EV -11.00%E -9.56%K -73.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%EV -12.49%E -1.14%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.58%EV -10.62%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-19 12:10
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 77.77%EV -14.09%E -12.70%K -128.13%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.85%EV -12.49%E -1.14%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.39%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-19 12:09
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.35%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.20%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.38%EV -14.48%E -1.35%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.27%EV -13.55%E -2.30%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 14:10
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 77.33%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -16.47%E -1.57%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -0.368%E -0.054%K -0.063%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 14:00
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 77.33%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -16.47%E -1.57%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -0.368%E -0.054%K -0.063%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 14:10
BetUS1.21I 82.64%NM 77.33%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -16.47%E -1.57%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -0.368%E -0.054%K -0.063%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 14:10
BetAnything1.21I 82.64%NM 77.33%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -16.47%E -1.57%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -0.368%E -0.054%K -0.063%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 14:00
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 76.54%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.59%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.53%EV -16.47%E -1.57%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-19 14:25
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -20.45%E -2.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 14:15
Winamax (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -20.45%E -2.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-19 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -20.45%E -2.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -15.75%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 13:55
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -20.45%E -2.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -15.75%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -20.45%E -2.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -15.75%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 13:55
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -20.45%E -2.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -15.75%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 13:55
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -20.45%E -2.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -15.75%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 14:20
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -20.45%E -2.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-19 14:10
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 75.63%EV -10.22%E -8.81%K -63.90%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.75%EV -28.40%E -3.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-19 14:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.39%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-07-19 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.39%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-07-19 14:25
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.39%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-07-19 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.28%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.37%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.34%1.3%2026-07-19 14:25
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 80.11%14.99I 6.67%NM 6.57%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.32%1.5%2026-07-19 14:25