L’École des cotes

Hammarby IF v Degerfors IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-19 14:30 UTC

Score final : Hammarby IF 4–0 Degerfors IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hammarby IF (Local)

Prévision 77.39%1.29cote équitable
EV -5.58%
Avantage -4.57%
Kelly -25.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.26%77.41%77.51%80.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.111.191.201.2290.09%83.93%83.33%81.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Degerfors IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 7.96%12.57cote équitable
EV +19.33%
Avantage +1.29%
Kelly +1.38%
Croissance +0.267%

avec la cote maximale 15.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.54%7.99%7.90%9.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
9.0011.7912.0015.0011.11%8.48%8.33%6.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 14.65%6.83cote équitable
EV +9.89%
Avantage +1.32%
Kelly +1.52%
Croissance +0.150%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.08%14.60%14.59%16.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.346.257.5018.18%15.77%16.00%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54%EV +19.33%E +1.29%K +1.38%G +0.267%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.08%EV +9.89%E +1.32%K +1.52%G +0.150%2.0%2026-07-19 12:10
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54%EV +19.33%E +1.29%K +1.38%G +0.267%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.08%EV +9.89%E +1.32%K +1.52%G +0.150%2.0%2026-07-19 12:10
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54%EV +19.33%E +1.29%K +1.38%G +0.267%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.08%EV +9.89%E +1.32%K +1.52%G +0.150%2.0%2026-07-19 12:10
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.71%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%14.30I 6.99%NM 6.66%EV +13.76%E +0.962%K +1.03%G +0.142%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.63%EV -4.62%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 14:25
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.79%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.37%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.87%EV +11.38%E +0.813%K +0.875%G +0.100%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.35%EV -1.83%E -0.274%K -0.322%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-19 13:40
NordicBet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.11%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +11.38%E +0.813%K +0.875%G +0.100%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -15.75%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 14:00
Betsson1.21I 82.64%NM 77.11%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +11.38%E +0.813%K +0.875%G +0.100%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -15.75%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 14:00
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 77.43%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.37%G +0.000%13.49I 7.41%NM 7.00%EV +7.32%E +0.542%K +0.586%G +0.043%6.07I 16.47%NM 15.56%EV -11.06%E -1.82%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 14:25
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +3.42%E +0.263%K +0.285%G +0.010%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 13:50
Tipico (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.59%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV +3.42%E +0.263%K +0.285%G +0.010%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 14:25
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 76.31%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV +3.42%E +0.263%K +0.285%G +0.010%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -19.42%E -3.53%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-19 14:10
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 78.87%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%12.90I 7.75%NM 7.40%EV +2.62%E +0.203%K +0.221%G +0.006%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.73%EV +1.83%E +0.263%K +0.307%G +0.006%4.8%2026-07-19 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.65%EV -7.90%E -6.64%K -41.59%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.49%EV -0.558%E -0.045%K -0.049%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -1.10%E -0.163%K -0.191%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 12:10
Grosvenor1.19I 84.03%NM 78.65%EV -7.90%E -6.64%K -41.59%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.49%EV -0.558%E -0.045%K -0.049%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -1.10%E -0.163%K -0.191%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 12:10
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 78.66%EV -10.22%E -8.81%K -63.90%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.30%EV -0.558%E -0.045%K -0.049%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-19 14:10
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-19 14:05
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-19 14:00
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 77.70%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 13:50
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -1.10%E -0.163%K -0.191%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 14:10
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +2.56%E +0.366%K +0.427%G +0.011%8.1%2026-07-19 14:09
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 14:25
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 14:25
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 14:25
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 14:25
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 12:05
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 12:05
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 12:05
betPARX1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 12:10
betano_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 14:19
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -11.00%E -9.56%K -73.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 14:15
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 78.72%EV -11.77%E -10.33%K -84.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.48%EV -4.54%E -0.378%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-19 14:10
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.37%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -8.51%E -0.740%K -0.811%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -8.43%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 14:05
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 77.58%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.59%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.89%EV -8.51%E -0.740%K -0.811%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -8.43%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-19 12:10
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 77.73%EV -10.22%E -8.81%K -63.90%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.84%EV -8.51%E -0.740%K -0.811%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.43%EV -8.43%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-19 12:10
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -12.49%E -1.14%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV +2.56%E +0.366%K +0.427%G +0.011%6.7%2026-07-19 14:05
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.58%E -4.57%K -25.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.49%E -1.14%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-19 14:10
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -12.49%E -1.14%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 13:55
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.03%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -12.49%E -1.14%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.77%EV -10.62%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 14:09
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 77.34%EV -11.00%E -9.56%K -73.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%EV -12.49%E -1.14%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.58%EV -10.62%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-19 12:10
LiveScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 77.34%EV -11.00%E -9.56%K -73.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%EV -12.49%E -1.14%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.58%EV -10.62%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-19 12:10
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 77.77%EV -14.09%E -12.70%K -128.13%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.85%EV -12.49%E -1.14%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.39%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-19 12:09
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.35%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.20%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.38%EV -14.48%E -1.35%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.27%EV -13.55%E -2.30%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 14:10
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 77.33%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -16.47%E -1.57%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -0.368%E -0.054%K -0.063%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 14:00
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 77.33%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -16.47%E -1.57%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -0.368%E -0.054%K -0.063%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 14:10
BetUS1.21I 82.64%NM 77.33%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -16.47%E -1.57%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -0.368%E -0.054%K -0.063%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 14:10
BetAnything1.21I 82.64%NM 77.33%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -16.47%E -1.57%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV -0.368%E -0.054%K -0.063%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 14:00
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 76.54%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.59%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.53%EV -16.47%E -1.57%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-19 14:25
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -6.35%E -5.25%K -30.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -20.45%E -2.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 14:15
Winamax (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -20.45%E -2.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -4.76%E -0.733%K -0.866%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-19 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -20.45%E -2.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -15.75%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 13:55
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -20.45%E -2.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -15.75%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -20.45%E -2.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -15.75%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 13:55
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -20.45%E -2.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -15.75%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 13:55
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -20.45%E -2.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -15.75%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 14:20
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -20.45%E -2.04%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-19 14:10
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 75.63%EV -10.22%E -8.81%K -63.90%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.75%EV -28.40%E -3.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -12.09%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-19 14:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.39%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-07-19 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.39%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-07-19 14:25
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.39%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-07-19 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.28%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.37%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.34%1.3%2026-07-19 14:25
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 80.11%14.99I 6.67%NM 6.57%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.32%1.5%2026-07-19 14:25