Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Halmstads BK v IF Elfsborg

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 13:00 UTC

Final: Halmstads BK 1–1 IF Elfsborg

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Halmstads BK (Local)

Prediction 25.66%3.90fair odd
EV +11.61%
Edge +2.67%
Kelly +3.47%
Growth +0.402%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.49%25.47%25.84%27.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.703.654.3529.85%26.99%27.40%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IF Elfsborg (Visit)

Prediction 46.37%2.16fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.19%46.56%46.19%50.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.951.952.1057.80%51.36%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.97%3.57fair odd
EV +2.11%
Edge +0.577%
Kelly +0.795%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.81%27.97%27.97%29.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.303.303.6534.72%30.31%30.30%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Halmstads BK (Local): 25.66%; IF Elfsborg (Visit): 46.37%; Draw: 27.97%. For Halmstads BK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.90. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.61%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 22.49%EV +11.61%E +2.67%K +3.47%G +0.402%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.70%EV -10.51%E -5.45%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.81%EV +2.11%E +0.577%K +0.795%G +0.017%2.2%2026-05-16 12:30
Svenska Spel🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 22.49%EV +11.61%E +2.67%K +3.47%G +0.402%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.70%EV -10.51%E -5.45%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.81%EV +2.11%E +0.577%K +0.795%G +0.017%2.2%2026-05-16 12:25
ATG (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 22.49%EV +11.61%E +2.67%K +3.47%G +0.402%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.70%EV -10.51%E -5.45%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.81%EV +2.11%E +0.577%K +0.795%G +0.017%2.2%2026-05-16 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV +5.20%E +1.27%K +1.68%G +0.087%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -14.22%E -7.69%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 12:25
Unibet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV +1.35%E +0.341%K +0.457%G +0.006%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.96%EV -15.15%E -8.28%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 12:25
Grosvenor🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV +1.35%E +0.341%K +0.457%G +0.006%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.96%EV -15.15%E -8.28%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 12:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV +1.35%E +0.341%K +0.457%G +0.006%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.96%EV -15.15%E -8.28%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 12:25
Casumo🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV +1.35%E +0.341%K +0.457%G +0.006%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.96%EV -15.15%E -8.28%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 12:30
betPARX🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV +1.35%E +0.341%K +0.457%G +0.006%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.96%EV -15.15%E -8.28%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 12:25
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV +0.066%E +0.017%K +0.023%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 12:50
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.94%EV -1.22%E -0.316%K -0.427%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.83%EV -4.95%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 19:59
BetRivers🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -1.22%E -0.316%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.54%EV -16.07%E -8.88%K -19.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 12:25
LeoVegas🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -1.22%E -0.316%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.54%EV -16.07%E -8.88%K -19.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 12:30
TABtouch🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -1.22%E -0.316%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.68%EV -16.54%E -9.19%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 12:25
GTbets🎯3.82I 26.18%NM 24.84%EV -1.99%E -0.520%K -0.705%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.89%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.41%EV -6.57%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 06:21
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.50%E -0.658%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 12:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -2.50%E -0.658%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 12:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%EV -2.50%E -0.658%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.60%EV -17.46%E -9.81%K -22.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -9.08%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-16 12:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%EV -2.50%E -0.658%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.60%EV -17.46%E -9.81%K -22.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -9.08%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-16 12:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 14:50
SportsBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 12:50
Pinnacle🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.84%EV -3.09%E -1.48%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.26%EV -5.17%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-16 12:55
Bet Right🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -10.05%E -5.18%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 14:50
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 12:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.18%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.58%EV -19.78%E -11.44%K -27.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.23%EV -11.88%E -3.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-16 12:30
1xBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 12:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 12:55
BetUS🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 12:54
BetAnything🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 12:55
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -4.95%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 12:53
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 12:54
Everygame🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.95%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 12:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -6.34%E -3.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 12:35
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 12:05
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-12 05:38
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.08%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-15 17:50
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.28%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 12:50
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -11.44%E -5.99%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 08:25
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -11.44%E -5.99%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 08:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -11.44%E -5.99%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 08:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -11.44%E -5.99%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 08:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -15.15%E -8.28%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -19.43%E -6.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-16 12:50
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.20%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.08%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 12:55
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.20%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 12:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.20%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 12:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.20%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 12:55
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.20%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 12:54
Betclic (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.20%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.54%EV -10.97%E -5.72%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 12:35
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -11.48%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -2.63%E -1.25%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 12:55
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -11.48%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -2.63%E -1.25%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 12:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -11.48%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -9.12%E -4.65%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 12:35
Unibet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.19%EV -11.48%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.23%EV -14.68%E -7.98%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -11.88%E -3.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-16 12:35
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -11.44%E -5.99%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-16 12:28
PlayUp🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -14.05%E -4.19%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -4.95%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -11.88%E -3.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -14.05%E -4.19%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.28%EV -11.90%E -6.26%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-16 12:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 12:55
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 12:55
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.25%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-05-16 12:55