L’École des cotes

Halmstads BK v IF Elfsborg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 13:00 UTC

Score final : Halmstads BK 1–1 IF Elfsborg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Halmstads BK (Local)

Prévision 25.66%3.90cote équitable
EV +11.61%
Avantage +2.67%
Kelly +3.47%
Croissance +0.402%

avec la cote maximale 4.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.49%25.47%25.84%27.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.703.654.3529.85%26.99%27.40%22.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IF Elfsborg (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.37%2.16cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -1.25%
Kelly -2.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.19%46.56%46.19%50.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.951.952.1057.80%51.36%51.28%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.97%3.57cote équitable
EV +2.11%
Avantage +0.577%
Kelly +0.795%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.81%27.97%27.97%29.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.303.303.6534.72%30.31%30.30%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 22.49%EV +11.61%E +2.67%K +3.47%G +0.402%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.70%EV -10.51%E -5.45%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.81%EV +2.11%E +0.577%K +0.795%G +0.017%2.2%2026-05-16 12:30
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 22.49%EV +11.61%E +2.67%K +3.47%G +0.402%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.70%EV -10.51%E -5.45%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.81%EV +2.11%E +0.577%K +0.795%G +0.017%2.2%2026-05-16 12:25
ATG (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 22.49%EV +11.61%E +2.67%K +3.47%G +0.402%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.70%EV -10.51%E -5.45%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.81%EV +2.11%E +0.577%K +0.795%G +0.017%2.2%2026-05-16 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV +5.20%E +1.27%K +1.68%G +0.087%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -14.22%E -7.69%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 12:25
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV +1.35%E +0.341%K +0.457%G +0.006%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.96%EV -15.15%E -8.28%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 12:25
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV +1.35%E +0.341%K +0.457%G +0.006%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.96%EV -15.15%E -8.28%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 12:25
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV +1.35%E +0.341%K +0.457%G +0.006%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.96%EV -15.15%E -8.28%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 12:25
Casumo3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV +1.35%E +0.341%K +0.457%G +0.006%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.96%EV -15.15%E -8.28%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 12:30
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV +1.35%E +0.341%K +0.457%G +0.006%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.96%EV -15.15%E -8.28%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 12:25
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV +0.066%E +0.017%K +0.023%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 12:50
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.94%EV -1.22%E -0.316%K -0.427%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.83%EV -4.95%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 19:59
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -1.22%E -0.316%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.54%EV -16.07%E -8.88%K -19.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 12:25
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -1.22%E -0.316%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.54%EV -16.07%E -8.88%K -19.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 12:30
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -1.22%E -0.316%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.68%EV -16.54%E -9.19%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 12:25
GTbets3.82I 26.18%NM 24.84%EV -1.99%E -0.520%K -0.705%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.89%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.41%EV -6.57%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 06:21
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.50%E -0.658%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 12:20
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -2.50%E -0.658%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 12:40
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%EV -2.50%E -0.658%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.60%EV -17.46%E -9.81%K -22.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -9.08%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-16 12:25
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%EV -2.50%E -0.658%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.60%EV -17.46%E -9.81%K -22.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -9.08%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-16 12:30
PointsBet (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 14:50
SportsBet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 12:50
Pinnacle3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.84%EV -3.09%E -1.48%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.26%EV -5.17%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-16 12:55
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -10.05%E -5.18%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 14:50
Paddy Power3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 12:50
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.18%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.58%EV -19.78%E -11.44%K -27.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.23%EV -11.88%E -3.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-16 12:30
1xBet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 12:55
BetOnline.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 12:55
LowVig.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 12:55
BetUS3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 12:54
BetAnything3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 12:55
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -4.95%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 12:53
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 12:54
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.95%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 12:54
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -6.34%E -3.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 12:35
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 12:05
betfred_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-12 05:38
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.08%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-15 17:50
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.28%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 12:50
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -11.44%E -5.99%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 08:25
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -11.44%E -5.99%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 08:25
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -11.44%E -5.99%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 08:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -11.44%E -5.99%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 08:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -15.15%E -8.28%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -19.43%E -6.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-16 12:50
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.20%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.08%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 12:55
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.20%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 12:55
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.20%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 12:55
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.20%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 12:55
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.20%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 12:54
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.20%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.54%EV -10.97%E -5.72%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 12:35
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -11.48%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -2.63%E -1.25%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 12:55
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -11.48%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -2.63%E -1.25%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 12:55
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -11.48%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -9.12%E -4.65%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 12:35
Unibet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.19%EV -11.48%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.23%EV -14.68%E -7.98%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -11.88%E -3.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-16 12:35
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -11.44%E -5.99%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-16 12:28
PlayUp3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -14.05%E -4.19%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -4.95%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -11.88%E -3.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 12:55
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -14.05%E -4.19%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.28%EV -11.90%E -6.26%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-16 12:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 12:55
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 12:55
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.25%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-05-16 12:55