La escuela de los momios

Halmstads BK v IF Elfsborg

Inicio: 2026-05-16 13:00 UTC

Final: Halmstads BK 1–1 IF Elfsborg

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Halmstads BK (Local)

Predicción 25.66%3.90momio equitativo
EV +11.61%
Ventaja +2.67%
Kelly +3.47%
Crecimiento +0.402%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.49%25.47%25.84%27.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.703.654.3529.85%26.99%27.40%22.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IF Elfsborg (Visitante)

Predicción 46.37%2.16momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -2.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.19%46.56%46.19%50.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.951.952.1057.80%51.36%51.28%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.97%3.57momio equitativo
EV +2.11%
Ventaja +0.577%
Kelly +0.795%
Crecimiento +0.017%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.81%27.97%27.97%29.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.303.303.6534.72%30.31%30.30%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 22.49%EV +11.61%E +2.67%K +3.47%G +0.402%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.70%EV -10.51%E -5.45%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.81%EV +2.11%E +0.577%K +0.795%G +0.017%2.2%2026-05-16 12:30
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 22.49%EV +11.61%E +2.67%K +3.47%G +0.402%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.70%EV -10.51%E -5.45%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.81%EV +2.11%E +0.577%K +0.795%G +0.017%2.2%2026-05-16 12:25
ATG (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 22.49%EV +11.61%E +2.67%K +3.47%G +0.402%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.70%EV -10.51%E -5.45%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.81%EV +2.11%E +0.577%K +0.795%G +0.017%2.2%2026-05-16 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV +5.20%E +1.27%K +1.68%G +0.087%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -14.22%E -7.69%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 12:25
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV +1.35%E +0.341%K +0.457%G +0.006%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.96%EV -15.15%E -8.28%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 12:25
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV +1.35%E +0.341%K +0.457%G +0.006%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.96%EV -15.15%E -8.28%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 12:25
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV +1.35%E +0.341%K +0.457%G +0.006%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.96%EV -15.15%E -8.28%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 12:25
Casumo3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV +1.35%E +0.341%K +0.457%G +0.006%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.96%EV -15.15%E -8.28%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 12:30
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV +1.35%E +0.341%K +0.457%G +0.006%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.96%EV -15.15%E -8.28%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 12:25
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV +0.066%E +0.017%K +0.023%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 12:50
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.94%EV -1.22%E -0.316%K -0.427%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.83%EV -4.95%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 19:59
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -1.22%E -0.316%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.54%EV -16.07%E -8.88%K -19.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 12:25
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -1.22%E -0.316%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.54%EV -16.07%E -8.88%K -19.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 12:30
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -1.22%E -0.316%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.68%EV -16.54%E -9.19%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 12:25
GTbets3.82I 26.18%NM 24.84%EV -1.99%E -0.520%K -0.705%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.89%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.41%EV -6.57%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 06:21
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.50%E -0.658%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 12:20
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -2.50%E -0.658%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 12:40
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%EV -2.50%E -0.658%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.60%EV -17.46%E -9.81%K -22.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -9.08%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-16 12:25
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%EV -2.50%E -0.658%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.60%EV -17.46%E -9.81%K -22.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -9.08%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-16 12:30
PointsBet (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 14:50
SportsBet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 12:50
Pinnacle3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.84%EV -3.09%E -1.48%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.26%EV -5.17%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-16 12:55
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -10.05%E -5.18%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 14:50
Paddy Power3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 12:50
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.18%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.58%EV -19.78%E -11.44%K -27.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.23%EV -11.88%E -3.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-16 12:30
1xBet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 12:55
BetOnline.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 12:55
LowVig.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 12:55
BetUS3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 12:54
BetAnything3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -3.55%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 12:55
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -4.95%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 12:53
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 12:54
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.95%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 12:54
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -6.34%E -3.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 12:35
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 12:05
betfred_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-12 05:38
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.08%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-15 17:50
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.28%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 12:50
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -11.44%E -5.99%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 08:25
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -11.44%E -5.99%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 08:25
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -11.44%E -5.99%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 08:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -11.44%E -5.99%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 08:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -15.15%E -8.28%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -19.43%E -6.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-16 12:50
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.20%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.08%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 12:55
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.20%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 12:55
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.20%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 12:55
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.20%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 12:55
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.20%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 12:54
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.20%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.54%EV -10.97%E -5.72%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 12:35
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -11.48%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -2.63%E -1.25%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 12:55
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -11.48%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -2.63%E -1.25%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 12:55
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -11.48%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -9.12%E -4.65%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 12:35
Unibet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.19%EV -11.48%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.23%EV -14.68%E -7.98%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -11.88%E -3.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-16 12:35
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -11.44%E -5.99%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-16 12:28
PlayUp3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -14.05%E -4.19%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -4.95%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -11.88%E -3.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 12:55
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -14.05%E -4.19%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.28%EV -11.90%E -6.26%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-16 12:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 12:55
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 12:55
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.25%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-05-16 12:55