Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Halmstads BK v GAIS

2026-08-09 14:30 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Halmstads BK (Local)

Prediction 21.07%4.75fair odd
EV -0.978%
Edge -0.208%
Kelly -0.264%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.80%21.19%20.74%23.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.254.334.7026.32%23.51%23.09%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

GAIS (Visit)

Prediction 53.60%1.87fair odd
EV -0.833%
Edge -0.450%
Kelly -0.980%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.22%53.45%53.95%55.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.731.741.8563.29%57.85%57.47%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.33%3.95fair odd
EV -3.76%
Edge -0.988%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.31%25.36%25.30%26.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.593.553.8030.30%27.86%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Halmstads BK (Local): 21.07%; GAIS (Visit): 53.60%; Draw: 25.33%. For GAIS (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.85, with an expected value of -0.833%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -0.978%E -0.208%K -0.264%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -10.48%E -6.28%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -3.76%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 18:00
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -3.08%E -0.671%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -3.76%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 15:10
1xBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -3.08%E -0.671%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.53%EV -7.80%E -4.54%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.08%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 17:59
Unibet (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -3.08%E -0.671%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -10.48%E -6.28%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 16:05
SportsBet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.19%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.58%EV -9.41%E -5.57%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 15:09
Unibet (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%EV -7.30%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.43%EV -0.833%E -0.450%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -3.76%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 14:49
ATG (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%EV -7.30%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.43%EV -0.833%E -0.450%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -3.76%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 14:49
Svenska Spel4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%EV -7.30%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.43%EV -0.833%E -0.450%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -3.76%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 14:49
888sport4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.30%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 17:50
Mr Green (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.30%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 17:49
888sport (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.30%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 17:49
William Hill4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.30%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 17:50
Bet Right4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -7.30%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 15:10
Paddy Power4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -7.30%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -10.48%E -6.28%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 15:10
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -7.30%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 55.19%EV -14.77%E -9.29%K -25.03%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.86%EV -10.59%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 16:08
Unibet (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.09%EV -8.35%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 54.95%EV -14.77%E -9.29%K -25.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-02 16:05
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -8.77%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 15:09
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.51%E -2.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:49
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.51%E -2.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:49
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -11.51%E -2.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.78%EV -14.23%E -8.90%K -23.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-02 16:05
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.62%E -3.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.09%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:50
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.62%E -3.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.09%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:49
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.62%E -3.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.09%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:49
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.62%E -3.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.09%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:50
Winamax (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.05%EV -13.62%E -3.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 54.63%EV -15.31%E -9.69%K -26.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.31%EV -10.09%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-02 16:05
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -14.67%E -3.62%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -2.44%E -1.34%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.60%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:39
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -14.67%E -3.62%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -2.44%E -1.34%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.60%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:40
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -15.73%E -3.93%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.15%EV -13.16%E -8.12%K -21.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.32%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-02 15:10
BetRivers3.95I 25.32%NM 22.72%EV -16.78%E -4.25%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.27%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -12.62%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 14:50
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 22.65%EV -16.78%E -4.25%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.42%EV -6.73%E -3.87%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -12.62%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 14:50
LiveScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -17.83%E -4.57%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -7.27%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 14:50
Virgin Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -17.83%E -4.57%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -7.27%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 14:50
PMU (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 22.59%EV -19.94%E -5.25%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.40%EV -10.48%E -6.28%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.01%EV -16.42%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-02 14:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 20.41%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.51%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%13.9%2026-08-02 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 15:10