Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Halmstads BK v GAIS

Início: 2026-08-09 14:30 UTC

Final: Halmstads BK 0–2 GAIS

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Halmstads BK (Local)

Previsão 19.04%5.25odd justa
EV +10.40%
Vantagem +1.79%
Kelly +2.17%
Crescimento +0.225%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.76%18.93%19.05%20.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.504.974.805.8022.22%20.13%20.83%17.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

GAIS (Visitante)

Previsão 57.30%1.75odd justa
EV -2.02%
Vantagem -1.18%
Kelly -2.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.71%57.39%57.29%60.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.451.601.611.7168.97%62.64%62.11%58.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.67%4.23odd justa
EV +0.577%
Vantagem +0.136%
Kelly +0.178%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.87%23.68%23.66%24.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.653.913.904.2527.40%25.60%25.64%23.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Halmstads BK (Local): 19.04%; GAIS (Visitante): 57.30%; Empate: 23.67%. Para Halmstads BK (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.25. 11 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +10.40%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.76%EV +10.40%E +1.79%K +2.17%G +0.225%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.37%EV -7.75%E -4.81%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV +0.577%E +0.136%K +0.178%G +0.001%2.9%2026-08-09 14:05
ATG (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.76%EV +10.40%E +1.79%K +2.17%G +0.225%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.37%EV -7.75%E -4.81%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV +0.577%E +0.136%K +0.178%G +0.001%2.9%2026-08-09 14:04
Svenska Spel🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.76%EV +10.40%E +1.79%K +2.17%G +0.225%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.37%EV -7.75%E -4.81%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV +0.577%E +0.136%K +0.178%G +0.001%2.9%2026-08-09 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV +2.79%E +0.517%K +0.634%G +0.018%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -10.61%E -6.80%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -5.34%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 14:04
Grosvenor🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV +2.79%E +0.517%K +0.634%G +0.018%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -10.61%E -6.80%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -5.34%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 14:05
Coolbet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV +0.886%E +0.167%K +0.206%G +0.002%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.54%EV -4.31%E -2.58%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 18:00
Pinnacle🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.06%EV +0.886%E +0.167%K +0.206%G +0.002%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.01%EV -5.46%E -3.31%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.93%EV -5.34%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 14:10
Unibet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV +0.886%E +0.167%K +0.206%G +0.002%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.35%EV -11.19%E -7.22%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 14:05
Casumo🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV +0.886%E +0.167%K +0.206%G +0.002%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.35%EV -11.19%E -7.22%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV +0.886%E +0.167%K +0.206%G +0.002%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.35%EV -11.19%E -7.22%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 14:05
betPARX🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV +0.886%E +0.167%K +0.206%G +0.002%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.35%EV -11.19%E -7.22%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 14:05
FanDuel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -1.02%E -0.196%K -0.242%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -8.89%E -5.59%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.34%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 14:14
Bovada🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV -1.97%E -0.382%K -0.475%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -6.60%E -4.05%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -7.71%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 14:13
BetRivers🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.67%EV -2.92%E -0.573%K -0.713%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.91%EV -12.33%E -8.06%K -23.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -8.89%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 14:05
TABtouch🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.48%EV -2.92%E -0.573%K -0.713%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.05%EV -13.48%E -8.93%K -26.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 14:05
LiveScore Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -2.92%E -0.573%K -0.713%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.03%EV -14.05%E -9.37%K -28.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.61%EV -11.26%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 14:05
Virgin Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -2.92%E -0.573%K -0.713%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.03%EV -14.05%E -9.37%K -28.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.61%EV -11.26%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 14:05
LeoVegas🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -4.82%E -0.965%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.54%EV -6.03%E -3.68%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.34%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.82%E -0.965%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.17%E -4.43%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.34%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 14:00
SportsBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -4.82%E -0.965%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -8.32%E -5.20%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.71%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 14:15
GTbets🎯4.98I 20.08%NM 19.42%EV -5.21%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.57%EV -2.02%E -1.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 24.00%EV -4.63%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-09 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.48%EV -6.73%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 59.06%EV -16.92%E -11.67%K -37.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.46%EV -13.62%E -3.73%K -5.14%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-09 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.79%EV -4.88%E -2.94%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.34%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.79%EV -4.88%E -2.94%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.34%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 14:25
BetUS🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.79%EV -4.88%E -2.94%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.34%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 14:25
BetAnything🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.79%EV -4.88%E -2.94%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.34%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 14:25
Betsson🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -5.46%E -3.31%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -8.89%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 14:00
NordicBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -5.46%E -3.31%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -8.89%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 14:00
BetMGM🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -7.75%E -4.81%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.34%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 14:25
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -7.17%E -4.43%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 14:29
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.75%E -4.81%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 14:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.75%E -4.81%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 14:29
888sport (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.75%E -4.81%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 14:29
Unibet (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.80%EV -10.61%E -6.80%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -8.89%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 14:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -5.46%E -3.31%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.71%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 13:45
Bet Right🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -7.17%E -4.43%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.89%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 14:05
Betclic (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.04%E -6.39%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 14:03
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.04%E -6.39%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.04%E -6.39%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 14:15
betfred_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -12.44%E -2.70%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -7.17%E -4.43%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.34%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 14:04
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.44%E -2.70%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.05%EV -8.32%E -5.20%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -6.52%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 14:00
PlayUp🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -12.44%E -2.70%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -6.60%E -4.05%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -12.44%E -3.36%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -12.44%E -2.70%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -7.17%E -4.43%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -11.26%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 14:05
Sky Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -12.44%E -2.70%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -10.04%E -6.39%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.26%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 14:10
Coral🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -10.04%E -6.39%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.08%EV -10.61%E -6.80%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -8.89%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 14:00
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -10.04%E -6.39%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -11.26%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-09 14:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-08-09 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-08-09 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-08-09 14:25
Matchbook◎5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-08-09 14:25
Smarkets◎5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%1.9%2026-08-09 14:25