Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Halmstads BK v GAIS

2026-08-09 14:30 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Résultat du match

33 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Halmstads BK (Local)

Prévision 21.07%4.75cote équitable
EV -3.08%
Avantage -0.671%
Kelly -0.857%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.95%21.19%20.74%23.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.254.334.6026.32%23.52%23.09%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

GAIS (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.60%1.87cote équitable
EV -0.833%
Avantage -0.450%
Kelly -0.980%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.22%53.45%53.95%55.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.581.731.741.8563.29%57.82%57.47%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.33%3.95cote équitable
EV -3.76%
Avantage -0.988%
Kelly -1.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.31%25.36%25.30%26.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.593.553.8030.30%27.86%28.17%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Halmstads BK (Local) : 21.07% ; GAIS (Visiteur) : 53.60% ; Match nul : 25.33%. Pour GAIS (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.87. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.85, pour une espérance de -0.833% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -3.08%E -0.671%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -3.76%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 15:10
1xBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -3.08%E -0.671%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.53%EV -7.80%E -4.54%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.08%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 17:59
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -3.08%E -0.671%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.76%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 20:24
Unibet (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -3.08%E -0.671%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -10.48%E -6.28%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 16:05
SportsBet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.19%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.58%EV -9.41%E -5.57%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 15:09
Unibet (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%EV -7.30%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.43%EV -0.833%E -0.450%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -3.76%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 14:49
ATG (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%EV -7.30%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.43%EV -0.833%E -0.450%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -3.76%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 14:49
Svenska Spel4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%EV -7.30%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.43%EV -0.833%E -0.450%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%EV -3.76%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 14:49
888sport4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.30%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 17:50
Mr Green (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.30%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 17:49
888sport (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.30%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 17:49
William Hill4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.30%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 17:50
Bet Right4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -7.30%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 15:10
Paddy Power4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -7.30%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -10.48%E -6.28%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 15:10
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -7.30%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 55.19%EV -14.77%E -9.29%K -25.03%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.86%EV -10.59%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 16:08
Unibet (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.09%EV -8.35%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 54.95%EV -14.77%E -9.29%K -25.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-02 16:05
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -8.77%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 15:09
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.51%E -2.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:49
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.51%E -2.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:49
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -11.51%E -2.74%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.78%EV -14.23%E -8.90%K -23.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-02 16:05
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.62%E -3.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.09%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:50
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.62%E -3.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.09%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:49
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.62%E -3.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.09%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:49
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.62%E -3.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.09%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:50
Winamax (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.05%EV -13.62%E -3.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 54.63%EV -15.31%E -9.69%K -26.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.31%EV -10.09%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-02 16:05
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -14.67%E -3.62%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -2.44%E -1.34%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.60%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:39
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -14.67%E -3.62%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -2.44%E -1.34%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.60%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:40
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -15.73%E -3.93%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.15%EV -13.16%E -8.12%K -21.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.32%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-02 15:10
BetRivers3.95I 25.32%NM 22.72%EV -16.78%E -4.25%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.27%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -12.62%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 14:50
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 22.65%EV -16.78%E -4.25%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.42%EV -6.73%E -3.87%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -12.62%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 14:50
LiveScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -17.83%E -4.57%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -7.27%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 14:50
Virgin Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -17.83%E -4.57%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -7.27%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.89%E -4.08%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 14:50
PMU (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 22.59%EV -19.94%E -5.25%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.40%EV -10.48%E -6.28%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.01%EV -16.42%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-02 14:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 20.41%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.51%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%13.9%2026-08-02 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 15:10