L’École des cotesGAIS v IF Elfsborg
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
GAIS (Local)
Prévision 52.55%1.90cote équitable
EV -1.20%
Avantage -0.637%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.88
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.96%52.60%52.48%55.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.761.751.8859.88%56.84%57.14%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
IF Elfsborg (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.68%4.61cote équitable
EV +1.88%
Avantage +0.401%
Kelly +0.509%
Croissance +0.010%
avec la cote maximale 4.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.80%21.66%21.72%23.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.244.204.7026.32%23.60%23.81%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.77%3.88cote équitable
EV -2.08%
Avantage -0.547%
Kelly -0.743%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.92%25.74%25.80%26.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.553.513.8030.77%28.15%28.45%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.06%EV -11.18%E -6.62%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +1.88%E +0.401%K +0.509%G +0.010% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 14:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.19%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.72%EV +0.149%E +0.032%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.09%EV -5.43%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.72%E -0.922%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.78%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80%EV -2.08%E -0.547%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.72%E -0.922%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.78%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80%EV -2.08%E -0.547%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.72%E -0.922%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.78%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80%EV -2.08%E -0.547%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-12 14:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.98%E -3.94%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -10.13%E -5.93%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-12 14:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.31%EV -6.45%E -3.63%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.52%EV -4.40%E -0.998%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.17%EV -2.85%E -0.757%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 14:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -8.56%E -4.92%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.62%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 13:53 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -4.62%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -10.66%E -6.27%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -4.62%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-12 14:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -10.66%E -6.27%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -4.62%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-12 14:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.45%E -3.63%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| GTbets | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.96%EV -1.20%E -0.637%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.13%EV -6.14%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.91%EV -8.26%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 14:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -6.45%E -3.63%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 14:10 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -6.45%E -3.63%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.98%E -3.94%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.87%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-12 13:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.66%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.52%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.66%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.52%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -7.50%E -4.26%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.52%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-12 13:54 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -9.08%E -5.25%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-12 13:55 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-12 13:55 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-12 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-12 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-12 13:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-12 14:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -10.66%E -6.27%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.53%EV -9.04%E -2.56%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-12 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.19%EV -11.71%E -6.97%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-12 14:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -10.66%E -6.27%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-12 14:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.02%EV -1.20%E -0.637%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.58%EV -3.37%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-12 14:24 |
| Casumo | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -5.93%E -3.31%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -5.93%E -3.31%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -5.93%E -3.31%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| betPARX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -5.93%E -3.31%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -9.61%E -5.59%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-12 13:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.08%EV -7.50%E -4.26%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-12 14:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.66%E -6.27%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-12 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.66%E -6.27%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-12 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.66%E -6.27%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-12 13:54 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.66%E -6.27%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-12 13:54 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.66%E -6.27%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-12 13:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.17%EV -9.08%E -5.25%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -14.37%E -3.64%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -13.68%E -4.08%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-12 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.17%EV -9.08%E -5.25%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -14.37%E -3.64%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -13.68%E -4.08%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.33%EV -11.71%E -6.97%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -15.46%E -3.96%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-12 14:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.19%EV -12.23%E -7.33%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.50%EV -17.63%E -4.64%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.31%EV -16.25%E -5.00%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.35% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 20.00% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.64% | -0.0% | 2026-07-12 14:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.13% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54% | 0.4% | 2026-07-12 14:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.13% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54% | 0.4% | 2026-07-12 14:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.13% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54% | 0.4% | 2026-07-12 14:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.13% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54% | 0.4% | 2026-07-12 14:24 |