La escuela de los momiosGAIS v IF Elfsborg
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
GAIS (Local)
Predicción 52.55%1.90momio equitativo
EV -1.20%
Ventaja -0.637%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.96%52.60%52.48%55.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.761.751.8859.88%56.84%57.14%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
IF Elfsborg (Visitante)
Predicción 21.68%4.61momio equitativo
EV +1.88%
Ventaja +0.401%
Kelly +0.509%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.80%21.66%21.72%23.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.244.204.7026.32%23.60%23.81%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.77%3.88momio equitativo
EV -2.08%
Ventaja -0.547%
Kelly -0.743%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.92%25.74%25.80%26.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.553.513.8030.77%28.15%28.45%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.06%EV -11.18%E -6.62%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +1.88%E +0.401%K +0.509%G +0.010% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 14:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.19%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.72%EV +0.149%E +0.032%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.09%EV -5.43%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.72%E -0.922%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.78%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80%EV -2.08%E -0.547%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.72%E -0.922%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.78%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80%EV -2.08%E -0.547%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.72%E -0.922%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.78%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80%EV -2.08%E -0.547%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-12 14:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.98%E -3.94%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -10.13%E -5.93%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-12 14:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.31%EV -6.45%E -3.63%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.52%EV -4.40%E -0.998%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.17%EV -2.85%E -0.757%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 14:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -8.56%E -4.92%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.62%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 13:53 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -4.62%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -10.66%E -6.27%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -4.62%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-12 14:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -10.66%E -6.27%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -4.62%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-12 14:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.45%E -3.63%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| GTbets | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.96%EV -1.20%E -0.637%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.13%EV -6.14%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.91%EV -8.26%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 14:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -6.45%E -3.63%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 14:10 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -6.45%E -3.63%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.98%E -3.94%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.87%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-12 13:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.66%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.52%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.66%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.52%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -7.50%E -4.26%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.52%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-12 13:54 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -9.08%E -5.25%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-12 13:55 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-12 13:55 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-12 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-12 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-12 13:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-12 14:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -10.66%E -6.27%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.53%EV -9.04%E -2.56%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-12 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.19%EV -11.71%E -6.97%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-12 14:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -10.66%E -6.27%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-12 14:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.02%EV -1.20%E -0.637%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.58%EV -3.37%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-12 14:24 |
| Casumo | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -5.93%E -3.31%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -5.93%E -3.31%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -5.93%E -3.31%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| betPARX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -5.93%E -3.31%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -9.61%E -5.59%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-12 13:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-12 13:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.08%EV -7.50%E -4.26%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-12 14:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.66%E -6.27%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-12 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.66%E -6.27%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-12 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.66%E -6.27%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-12 13:54 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.66%E -6.27%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-12 13:54 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.66%E -6.27%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-12 13:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.17%EV -9.08%E -5.25%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -14.37%E -3.64%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -13.68%E -4.08%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-12 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.17%EV -9.08%E -5.25%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -14.37%E -3.64%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -13.68%E -4.08%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.33%EV -11.71%E -6.97%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -15.46%E -3.96%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-12 14:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.19%EV -12.23%E -7.33%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.50%EV -17.63%E -4.64%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.31%EV -16.25%E -5.00%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-07-12 14:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.35% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 20.00% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.64% | -0.0% | 2026-07-12 14:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.13% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54% | 0.4% | 2026-07-12 14:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.13% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54% | 0.4% | 2026-07-12 14:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.13% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54% | 0.4% | 2026-07-12 14:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.13% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54% | 0.4% | 2026-07-12 14:24 |