مدرسة الاحتمالات

GAIS v IF Elfsborg

البداية: 2026-07-12 14:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: GAIS 1–0 IF Elfsborg

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (13 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

GAIS (المضيف)

التنبؤ 52.55%1.90السعر العادل
EV -1.20%
الأفضلية -0.637%
Kelly -1.36%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.88

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.96%52.60%52.48%55.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.761.751.8859.88%56.84%57.14%53.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

IF Elfsborg (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.68%4.61السعر العادل
EV +1.88%
الأفضلية +0.401%
Kelly +0.509%
النمو +0.010%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.80%21.66%21.72%23.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.804.244.204.7026.32%23.60%23.81%21.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.77%3.88السعر العادل
EV -2.08%
الأفضلية -0.547%
Kelly -0.743%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.92%25.74%25.80%26.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.553.513.8030.77%28.15%28.45%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.06%EV -11.18%E -6.62%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +1.88%E +0.401%K +0.509%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 14:20
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.19%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.72%EV +0.149%E +0.032%K +0.041%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.09%EV -5.43%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 14:10
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.72%E -0.922%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.78%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.701%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80%EV -2.08%E -0.547%K -0.743%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-12 14:04
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.72%E -0.922%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.78%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.701%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80%EV -2.08%E -0.547%K -0.743%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-12 14:04
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.72%E -0.922%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.78%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.701%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80%EV -2.08%E -0.547%K -0.743%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-12 14:05
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.701%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 14:05
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.701%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 14:04
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.701%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 14:05
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.701%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 14:04
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.98%E -3.94%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.701%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 14:04
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -10.13%E -5.93%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -2.45%E -0.545%K -0.701%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 14:20
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.31%EV -6.45%E -3.63%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.52%EV -4.40%E -0.998%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.17%EV -2.85%E -0.757%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 14:19
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -8.56%E -4.92%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.62%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 13:53
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -4.62%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 14:04
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -10.66%E -6.27%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -4.62%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-12 14:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -10.66%E -6.27%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -4.62%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-12 14:19
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 14:24
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.45%E -3.63%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 13:59
GTbets1.88I 53.19%NM 50.96%EV -1.20%E -0.637%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.13%EV -6.14%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.91%EV -8.26%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 14:00
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -6.45%E -3.63%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 14:10
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -6.45%E -3.63%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 13:55
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.98%E -3.94%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.87%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 13:54
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.66%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.52%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 14:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.66%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.52%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 14:04
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -7.50%E -4.26%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.52%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 13:54
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -9.08%E -5.25%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.23%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-12 13:55
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 13:55
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 13:54
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 13:55
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 13:54
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-12 14:09
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -10.66%E -6.27%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.53%EV -9.04%E -2.56%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-12 14:05
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.19%EV -11.71%E -6.97%K -17.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-12 14:05
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -10.66%E -6.27%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-12 14:20
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 51.02%EV -1.20%E -0.637%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.58%EV -3.37%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 14:24
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -5.93%E -3.31%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 14:04
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -5.93%E -3.31%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 14:04
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -5.93%E -3.31%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 14:04
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -5.93%E -3.31%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 14:04
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -9.61%E -5.59%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-12 13:59
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-12 13:54
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 51.08%EV -7.50%E -4.26%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-12 14:04
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-12 14:05
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.66%E -6.27%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-12 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.66%E -6.27%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-12 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.66%E -6.27%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-12 13:54
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.66%E -6.27%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-12 13:54
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.66%E -6.27%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-12 13:54
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.17%EV -9.08%E -5.25%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -14.37%E -3.64%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -13.68%E -4.08%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-12 14:05
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.17%EV -9.08%E -5.25%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -14.37%E -3.64%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -13.68%E -4.08%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-12 14:04
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.33%EV -11.71%E -6.97%K -17.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -15.46%E -3.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-12 14:00
PMU (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.19%EV -12.23%E -7.33%K -18.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.50%EV -17.63%E -4.64%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.31%EV -16.25%E -5.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%17.0%2026-07-12 14:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 54.35%5.00I 20.00%NM 20.00%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.64%-0.0%2026-07-12 14:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.13%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%0.4%2026-07-12 14:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.13%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%0.4%2026-07-12 14:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.13%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%0.4%2026-07-12 14:25
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 54.13%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%0.4%2026-07-12 14:24