The School of Odds

GAIS v Halmstads BK

2026-07-26 14:30 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

GAIS (Local)

Prediction 69.48%1.44fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -4.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.08%69.56%69.40%71.56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.241.331.331.4181%75%75%71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Halmstads BK (Visit)

Prediction 11.58%8.63fair odd
EV +4.26%
Edge +0.473%
Kelly +0.532%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.28%11.49%11.58%13.40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
6.257.888.009.0016%13%13%11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 18.94%5.28fair odd
EV -0.569%
Edge -0.108%
Kelly -0.134%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.85%18.95%19.02%20.20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.254.794.805.2524%21%21%19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 71.56%EV -8.99%E -6.86%K -28.99%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV +4.26%E +0.473%K +0.532%G +0.023%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -1.52%E -0.291%K -0.361%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 17:39
Betsson1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -7.60%E -5.71%K -23.02%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV +4.26%E +0.473%K +0.532%G +0.023%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.28%EV -8.14%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 00:35
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -7.60%E -5.71%K -23.02%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV +4.26%E +0.473%K +0.532%G +0.023%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.28%EV -8.14%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 00:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -9.68%E -7.45%K -32.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +4.26%E +0.473%K +0.532%G +0.023%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 20:15
GTbets1.33I 75.19%NM 71.03%EV -7.60%E -5.71%K -23.02%G +0.000%8.83I 11.33%NM 10.70%EV +2.29%E +0.259%K +0.292%G +0.007%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.27%EV -2.08%E -0.403%K -0.500%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 00:05
SportsBet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.41%EV -10.38%E -8.04%K -35.78%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.53%EV +1.36%E +0.156%K +0.176%G +0.002%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.06%EV -3.41%E -0.669%K -0.832%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-19 17:40
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.39%EV -7.60%E -5.71%K -23.02%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.89%EV -0.375%E -0.044%K -0.049%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 01:50
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 69.07%EV -2.04%E -1.45%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.46%EV -1.53%E -0.180%K -0.204%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-19 14:35
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 69.07%EV -2.04%E -1.45%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.46%EV -1.53%E -0.180%K -0.204%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-19 14:35
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 69.07%EV -2.04%E -1.45%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.46%EV -1.53%E -0.180%K -0.204%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-19 14:35
betfred_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -9.68%E -7.45%K -32.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -1.53%E -0.180%K -0.204%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 09:05
Bet Right1.30I 76.92%NM 70.51%EV -9.68%E -7.45%K -32.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -1.53%E -0.180%K -0.204%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -7.20%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 14:55
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -10.38%E -8.04%K -35.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -1.53%E -0.180%K -0.204%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 17:38
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 70.47%EV -7.60%E -5.71%K -23.02%G +0.000%8.07I 12.39%NM 11.61%EV -6.51%E -0.807%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 17.92%EV -0.947%E -0.181%K -0.224%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 01:20
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -7.60%E -5.71%K -23.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -7.33%E -0.916%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -0.569%E -0.108%K -0.134%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 01:20
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -7.60%E -5.71%K -23.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -7.33%E -0.916%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -1.52%E -0.291%K -0.361%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 01:15
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.60%E -5.71%K -23.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -7.33%E -0.916%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.30%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-20 01:15
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.60%E -5.71%K -23.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -7.33%E -0.916%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.09%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 02:45
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.60%E -5.71%K -23.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -7.33%E -0.916%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.09%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 02:45
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.60%E -5.71%K -23.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -7.33%E -0.916%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.09%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 02:45
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.60%E -5.71%K -23.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -7.33%E -0.916%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.09%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 02:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.51%E -4.05%K -15.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -13.12%E -1.75%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.99%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 14:35
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -5.51%E -4.05%K -15.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -13.12%E -1.75%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -10.99%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 14:35
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -5.51%E -4.05%K -15.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -13.12%E -1.75%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.88%E -2.80%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-19 14:35
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -5.51%E -4.05%K -15.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -13.12%E -1.75%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.88%E -2.80%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-19 14:35
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -5.51%E -4.05%K -15.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -13.12%E -1.75%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.88%E -2.80%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-19 14:35
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -5.51%E -4.05%K -15.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -13.12%E -1.75%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.88%E -2.80%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-19 14:34
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 68.56%EV -10.38%E -8.04%K -35.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.79%EV -13.12%E -1.75%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.65%EV -14.77%E -3.28%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-19 13:35
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 69.33%EV -11.77%E -9.26%K -43.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV -13.12%E -1.75%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.93%EV -11.93%E -2.57%K -3.27%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-20 01:15
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 69.22%EV -11.77%E -9.26%K -43.57%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 11.88%EV -14.28%E -1.93%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.90%EV -11.93%E -2.57%K -3.27%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-20 01:15
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 67.15%EV -6.90%E -5.15%K -20.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -18.91%E -2.70%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -14.77%E -3.28%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-19 14:35
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 67.15%EV -6.90%E -5.15%K -20.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -18.91%E -2.70%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -14.77%E -3.28%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-19 14:35
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 67.18%EV -8.29%E -6.28%K -25.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -18.91%E -2.70%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.15%EV -16.67%E -3.79%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-19 14:35
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 67.18%EV -8.29%E -6.28%K -25.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -18.91%E -2.70%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.15%EV -16.67%E -3.79%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-19 14:35
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 67.98%EV -10.38%E -8.04%K -35.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -18.91%E -2.70%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.49%EV -14.77%E -3.28%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-19 17:40
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 68.57%EV -11.77%E -9.26%K -43.57%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.90%EV -21.81%E -3.23%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.53%EV -10.99%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-20 01:15
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 67.08%EV -11.07%E -8.65%K -39.54%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.72%EV -21.81%E -3.23%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.20%EV -19.51%E -4.59%K -6.00%G +0.000%16.5%2026-07-19 14:35
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 67.56%EV -13.85%E -11.17%K -57.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.40%EV -27.60%E -4.42%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.04%EV -16.67%E -3.79%K -4.90%G +0.000%19.4%2026-07-20 01:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.59%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.73%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69%2.8%2026-07-20 02:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.76%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.75%5.5%2026-07-20 02:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.76%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.75%5.5%2026-07-20 02:50
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 71.50%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.63%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%6.0%2026-07-20 02:50