Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

GAIS v Halmstads BK

Kickoff: 2026-07-26 14:30 UTC

Final: GAIS 1–1 Halmstads BK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

GAIS (Local)

Prediction 61.65%1.62fair odd
EV -3.83%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -6.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.36%61.62%61.73%64.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.491.501.5671.43%66.92%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Halmstads BK (Visit)

Prediction 16.36%6.11fair odd
EV +11.27%
Edge +1.66%
Kelly +1.94%
Growth +0.219%

assuming max odds 6.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.14%16.43%16.26%18.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.635.606.8021.05%17.75%17.86%14.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.99%4.55fair odd
EV +1.15%
Edge +0.250%
Kelly +0.320%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.90%21.95%22.00%23.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.134.104.6026.67%24.19%24.39%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: GAIS (Local): 61.65%; Halmstads BK (Visit): 16.36%; Draw: 21.99%. For Halmstads BK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.11. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.96%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +11.27%E +1.66%K +1.94%G +0.219%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.320%G +0.004%4.0%2026-07-26 14:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.37%EV -5.06%E -3.29%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.46%EV +10.45%E +1.55%K +1.82%G +0.190%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV -3.25%E -0.738%K -0.955%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.37%EV -5.06%E -3.29%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.46%EV +10.45%E +1.55%K +1.82%G +0.190%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV -3.25%E -0.738%K -0.955%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.37%EV -5.06%E -3.29%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.46%EV +10.45%E +1.55%K +1.82%G +0.190%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV -3.25%E -0.738%K -0.955%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -0.188%E -0.031%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 13:45
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -0.188%E -0.031%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 13:45
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.46%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.82%EV -1.17%E -0.194%K -0.232%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -3.25%E -0.738%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -1.82%E -0.304%K -0.365%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.54%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -1.82%E -0.304%K -0.365%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 13:45
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -1.82%E -0.304%K -0.365%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 13:45
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -1.82%E -0.304%K -0.365%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 13:45
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -1.82%E -0.304%K -0.365%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 13:45
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.29%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.35%EV -4.93%E -0.849%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -6.54%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 14:25
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -5.10%E -0.879%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -3.25%E -0.738%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 14:15
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -10.61%E -7.32%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV -5.10%E -0.879%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -13.14%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 13:45
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.91%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -6.54%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 14:19
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.91%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -6.54%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 14:20
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -5.91%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 14:05
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.99%EV -6.30%E -4.14%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -5.91%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -10.94%E -2.70%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 14:25
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.99%EV -6.30%E -4.14%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -5.91%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -10.94%E -2.70%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 14:25
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -9.38%E -6.38%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -5.91%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 13:45
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.76%EV -10.61%E -7.32%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -5.91%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.67%EV -13.14%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-26 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.74%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -5.91%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-26 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.74%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -5.91%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-26 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.83%E -2.45%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -8.37%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -8.37%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 14:15
BetAnything🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -8.37%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 14:15
GTbets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.93%EV -8.14%E -5.47%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 16.51%EV -8.53%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.56%EV -5.89%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.20%EV -5.06%E -3.29%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -4.35%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 14:15
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 14:15
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 14:15
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:45
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.99%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 14:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:10
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 13:45
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -13.69%E -9.78%K -34.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-26 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -13.69%E -9.78%K -34.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -17.54%E -4.68%K -6.38%G +0.000%16.3%2026-07-26 13:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.29%EV -9.38%E -6.38%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.00%EV -13.28%E -2.51%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.71%EV -8.74%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 14:15
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -6.30%E -4.14%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -14.10%E -2.69%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -15.34%E -3.98%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 14:15
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 14:15
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 14:16
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 14:15
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-26 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-26 14:20
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-26 14:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.07%EV -9.38%E -6.38%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -21.46%E -4.47%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-26 14:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.79%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.63%EV -22.28%E -4.69%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.58%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-26 14:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.89%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%1.0%2026-07-26 14:25
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.89%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%1.0%2026-07-26 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.15%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%1.5%2026-07-26 14:20