Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

GAIS v Halmstads BK

Início: 2026-07-26 14:30 UTC

Final: GAIS 1–1 Halmstads BK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

GAIS (Local)

Previsão 61.65%1.62odd justa
EV -3.83%
Vantagem -2.45%
Kelly -6.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.36%61.62%61.73%64.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.491.501.5671.43%66.92%66.67%64.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Halmstads BK (Visitante)

Previsão 16.36%6.11odd justa
EV +11.27%
Vantagem +1.66%
Kelly +1.94%
Crescimento +0.219%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.14%16.43%16.26%18.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.755.635.606.8021.05%17.75%17.86%14.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.99%4.55odd justa
EV +1.15%
Vantagem +0.250%
Kelly +0.320%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.90%21.95%22.00%23.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.134.104.6026.67%24.19%24.39%21.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: GAIS (Local): 61.65%; Halmstads BK (Visitante): 16.36%; Empate: 21.99%. Para Halmstads BK (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.11. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +11.27%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.96%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +11.27%E +1.66%K +1.94%G +0.219%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.320%G +0.004%4.0%2026-07-26 14:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.37%EV -5.06%E -3.29%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.46%EV +10.45%E +1.55%K +1.82%G +0.190%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV -3.25%E -0.738%K -0.955%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.37%EV -5.06%E -3.29%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.46%EV +10.45%E +1.55%K +1.82%G +0.190%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV -3.25%E -0.738%K -0.955%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.37%EV -5.06%E -3.29%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.46%EV +10.45%E +1.55%K +1.82%G +0.190%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV -3.25%E -0.738%K -0.955%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -0.188%E -0.031%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 13:45
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -0.188%E -0.031%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 13:45
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.46%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.82%EV -1.17%E -0.194%K -0.232%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -3.25%E -0.738%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -1.82%E -0.304%K -0.365%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.54%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -1.82%E -0.304%K -0.365%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 13:45
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -1.82%E -0.304%K -0.365%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 13:45
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -1.82%E -0.304%K -0.365%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 13:45
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -1.82%E -0.304%K -0.365%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 13:45
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.29%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.35%EV -4.93%E -0.849%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -6.54%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 14:25
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -5.10%E -0.879%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -3.25%E -0.738%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 14:15
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -10.61%E -7.32%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV -5.10%E -0.879%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -13.14%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 13:45
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.91%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -6.54%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 14:19
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.91%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -6.54%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 14:20
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -5.91%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 14:05
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.99%EV -6.30%E -4.14%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -5.91%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -10.94%E -2.70%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 14:25
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.99%EV -6.30%E -4.14%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -5.91%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -10.94%E -2.70%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 14:25
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -9.38%E -6.38%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -5.91%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 13:45
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.76%EV -10.61%E -7.32%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -5.91%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.67%EV -13.14%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-26 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.74%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -5.91%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-26 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.74%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -5.91%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-26 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.83%E -2.45%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -8.37%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -8.37%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 14:15
BetAnything🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -8.37%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 14:15
GTbets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.93%EV -8.14%E -5.47%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 16.51%EV -8.53%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.56%EV -5.89%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.20%EV -5.06%E -3.29%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -4.35%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 14:15
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 14:15
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 14:15
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:45
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.99%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 14:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:10
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 13:45
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -13.69%E -9.78%K -34.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-26 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -13.69%E -9.78%K -34.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -17.54%E -4.68%K -6.38%G +0.000%16.3%2026-07-26 13:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.29%EV -9.38%E -6.38%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.00%EV -13.28%E -2.51%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.71%EV -8.74%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 14:15
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -6.30%E -4.14%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -14.10%E -2.69%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -15.34%E -3.98%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 14:15
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 14:15
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 14:16
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 14:15
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-26 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-26 14:20
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-26 14:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.07%EV -9.38%E -6.38%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -21.46%E -4.47%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-26 14:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.79%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.63%EV -22.28%E -4.69%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.58%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-26 14:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.89%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%1.0%2026-07-26 14:25
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.89%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%1.0%2026-07-26 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.15%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%1.5%2026-07-26 14:20