La escuela de los momios

GAIS v Halmstads BK

Inicio: 2026-07-26 14:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

GAIS (Local)

Predicción 61.65%1.62momio equitativo
EV -3.83%
Ventaja -2.45%
Kelly -6.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.36%61.62%61.73%64.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.491.501.5671.43%66.92%66.67%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Halmstads BK (Visitante)

Predicción 16.36%6.11momio equitativo
EV +11.27%
Ventaja +1.66%
Kelly +1.94%
Crecimiento +0.219%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.14%16.43%16.26%18.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.755.635.606.8021.05%17.75%17.86%14.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.99%4.55momio equitativo
EV +1.15%
Ventaja +0.250%
Kelly +0.320%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.90%21.95%22.00%23.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.134.104.6026.67%24.19%24.39%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.96%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +11.27%E +1.66%K +1.94%G +0.219%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%EV +1.15%E +0.250%K +0.320%G +0.004%4.0%2026-07-26 14:24
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.37%EV -5.06%E -3.29%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.46%EV +10.45%E +1.55%K +1.82%G +0.190%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV -3.25%E -0.738%K -0.955%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 13:45
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.37%EV -5.06%E -3.29%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.46%EV +10.45%E +1.55%K +1.82%G +0.190%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV -3.25%E -0.738%K -0.955%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 13:45
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 63.37%EV -5.06%E -3.29%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.46%EV +10.45%E +1.55%K +1.82%G +0.190%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV -3.25%E -0.738%K -0.955%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -0.188%E -0.031%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 13:45
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -0.188%E -0.031%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 13:45
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 62.46%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.82%EV -1.17%E -0.194%K -0.232%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -3.25%E -0.738%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 14:25
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -1.82%E -0.304%K -0.365%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.54%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 13:45
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -1.82%E -0.304%K -0.365%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 13:45
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -1.82%E -0.304%K -0.365%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 13:45
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -1.82%E -0.304%K -0.365%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 13:45
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -1.82%E -0.304%K -0.365%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 13:45
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.29%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.35%EV -4.93%E -0.849%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -6.54%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 14:25
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -5.10%E -0.879%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -3.25%E -0.738%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 14:15
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -10.61%E -7.32%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV -5.10%E -0.879%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -13.14%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 13:45
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.91%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -6.54%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 14:19
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.91%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -6.54%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 14:20
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -5.91%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 14:05
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 60.99%EV -6.30%E -4.14%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -5.91%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -10.94%E -2.70%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 14:25
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.99%EV -6.30%E -4.14%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -5.91%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -10.94%E -2.70%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 14:25
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -9.38%E -6.38%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -5.91%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 13:45
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 61.76%EV -10.61%E -7.32%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -5.91%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.67%EV -13.14%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-26 13:45
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.74%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -5.91%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-26 13:45
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.74%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -5.91%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-26 13:45
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.83%E -2.45%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -8.37%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 14:25
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -8.37%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 14:15
BetAnything1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -8.37%E -1.49%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 14:15
GTbets1.49I 67.11%NM 61.93%EV -8.14%E -5.47%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 16.51%EV -8.53%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.56%EV -5.89%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 14:05
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.20%EV -5.06%E -3.29%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -4.35%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 14:15
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 14:15
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 14:15
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 13:45
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.99%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 14:20
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:10
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:10
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:10
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:10
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 13:45
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -13.69%E -9.78%K -34.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-26 13:50
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -13.69%E -9.78%K -34.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -17.54%E -4.68%K -6.38%G +0.000%16.3%2026-07-26 13:45
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.29%EV -9.38%E -6.38%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.00%EV -13.28%E -2.51%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.71%EV -8.74%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 14:15
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -6.30%E -4.14%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -14.10%E -2.69%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -15.34%E -3.98%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 14:25
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -5.45%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 14:15
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 14:15
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 14:16
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 14:15
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-26 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-26 14:20
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-26 14:15
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.07%EV -9.38%E -6.38%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -21.46%E -4.47%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-26 14:15
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.79%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.63%EV -22.28%E -4.69%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.58%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-26 14:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.89%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%1.0%2026-07-26 14:25
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.89%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%1.0%2026-07-26 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.15%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%1.5%2026-07-26 14:20