Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Djurgardens IF v Kalmar FF

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 12:00 UTC

Final: Djurgardens IF 3–2 Kalmar FF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Djurgardens IF (Local)

Prediction 56.28%1.78fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -6.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.36%56.43%56.25%59.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.631.631.7066.23%61.32%61.35%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kalmar FF (Visit)

Prediction 19.04%5.25fair odd
EV +6.60%
Edge +1.18%
Kelly +1.43%
Growth +0.095%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.19%18.92%19.02%19.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.894.885.6022.73%20.44%20.49%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.68%4.05fair odd
EV +1.19%
Edge +0.291%
Kelly +0.385%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.76%24.65%24.72%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.753.804.1031.25%26.70%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Djurgardens IF (Local): 56.28%; Kalmar FF (Visit): 19.04%; Draw: 24.68%. For Kalmar FF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.25. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -8.26%E -5.07%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.19%EV +6.60%E +1.18%K +1.43%G +0.095%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.76%EV -0.042%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 10:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82%EV -4.32%E -2.54%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.20%EV +2.79%E +0.517%K +0.635%G +0.018%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%EV +1.19%E +0.291%K +0.385%G +0.005%1.7%2026-04-12 10:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.11%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.08%EV +2.79%E +0.517%K +0.635%G +0.018%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV +1.19%E +0.291%K +0.385%G +0.005%2.4%2026-04-12 10:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.11%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.08%EV +2.79%E +0.517%K +0.635%G +0.018%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV +1.19%E +0.291%K +0.385%G +0.005%2.4%2026-04-12 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.98%EV -7.70%E -4.69%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV +0.890%E +0.168%K +0.207%G +0.002%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -2.51%E -0.635%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 10:40
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.88%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -1.01%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 10:40
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.88%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -1.01%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 10:40
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.88%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -1.01%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 10:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.88%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -1.01%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 10:40
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.88%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -1.01%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 10:40
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -9.95%E -6.22%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV -1.01%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.12%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 10:38
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -9.95%E -6.22%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV -1.01%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.12%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 10:39
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.93%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.68%EV -2.54%E -0.495%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.40%EV -3.25%E -0.829%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 10:00
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.49%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -2.92%E -0.572%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 08:44
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -9.95%E -6.22%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -2.92%E -0.572%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 10:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -11.64%E -7.41%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.92%E -0.572%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 10:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -11.64%E -7.41%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.92%E -0.572%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 10:40
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.75%EV -4.25%E -0.845%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.76%EV -5.97%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 09:23
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.82%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 10:19
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -6.57%E -3.96%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.82%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 10:08
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -6.57%E -3.96%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.82%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 09:50
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.82%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 07:59
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.82%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 07:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.82%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 08:14
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -4.82%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 09:44
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.70%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -6.72%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -2.51%E -0.635%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 05:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.08%EV -15.01%E -9.94%K -29.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.90%EV -6.72%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -9.91%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 10:40
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.21%EV -7.11%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 10:09
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 08:14
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 05:40
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 05:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 08:45
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 07:55
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 08:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 08:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 07:55
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.91%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 08:45
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 08:45
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 09:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -10.53%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 08:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -10.53%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 08:45
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -10.53%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 08:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -12.44%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.03%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -12.44%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 08:45
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -8.26%E -5.07%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -12.44%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -9.91%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 05:55
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -12.44%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.62%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 08:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.87%EV -11.64%E -7.41%K -20.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.07%EV -12.44%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -13.62%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 10:38
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 08:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 08:14
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 07:59
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 08:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 08:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.59%EV -12.20%E -7.82%K -21.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.14%EV -14.85%E -4.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-12 10:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.36%EV -11.64%E -7.41%K -20.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.97%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.67%EV -21.02%E -6.57%K -9.55%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-12 08:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.62%EV -11.07%E -7.01%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -16.24%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 10:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.57%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-04-12 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.57%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-04-12 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.57%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-04-12 10:05
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.57%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-04-12 10:10
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.83%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.83%2.0%2026-04-12 10:40