La escuela de los momios

Djurgardens IF v Kalmar FF

Inicio: 2026-04-12 12:00 UTC

Final: Djurgardens IF 3–2 Kalmar FF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Djurgardens IF (Local)

Predicción 56.28%1.78momio equitativo
EV -4.32%
Ventaja -2.54%
Kelly -6.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.36%56.43%56.25%59.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.631.631.7066.23%61.32%61.35%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kalmar FF (Visitante)

Predicción 19.04%5.25momio equitativo
EV +6.60%
Ventaja +1.18%
Kelly +1.43%
Crecimiento +0.095%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.19%18.92%19.02%19.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.894.885.6022.73%20.44%20.49%17.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.68%4.05momio equitativo
EV +1.19%
Ventaja +0.291%
Kelly +0.385%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.76%24.65%24.72%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.753.804.1031.25%26.70%26.32%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -8.26%E -5.07%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.19%EV +6.60%E +1.18%K +1.43%G +0.095%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.76%EV -0.042%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 10:59
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82%EV -4.32%E -2.54%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.20%EV +2.79%E +0.517%K +0.635%G +0.018%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%EV +1.19%E +0.291%K +0.385%G +0.005%1.7%2026-04-12 10:40
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.11%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.08%EV +2.79%E +0.517%K +0.635%G +0.018%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV +1.19%E +0.291%K +0.385%G +0.005%2.4%2026-04-12 10:40
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 58.11%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.08%EV +2.79%E +0.517%K +0.635%G +0.018%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV +1.19%E +0.291%K +0.385%G +0.005%2.4%2026-04-12 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.98%EV -7.70%E -4.69%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV +0.890%E +0.168%K +0.207%G +0.002%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -2.51%E -0.635%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 10:40
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.88%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -1.01%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 10:40
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.88%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -1.01%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 10:40
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 57.88%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -1.01%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 10:40
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.88%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -1.01%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 10:40
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 57.88%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -1.01%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 10:40
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -9.95%E -6.22%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV -1.01%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.12%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 10:38
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -9.95%E -6.22%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV -1.01%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.12%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 10:39
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 56.93%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.68%EV -2.54%E -0.495%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.40%EV -3.25%E -0.829%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 10:00
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.49%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -2.92%E -0.572%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 08:44
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -9.95%E -6.22%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -2.92%E -0.572%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 10:40
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -11.64%E -7.41%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.92%E -0.572%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 10:40
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -11.64%E -7.41%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.92%E -0.572%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 10:40
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.75%EV -4.25%E -0.845%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.76%EV -5.97%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 09:23
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.82%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 10:19
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -6.57%E -3.96%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.82%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 10:08
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -6.57%E -3.96%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.82%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 09:50
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.82%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 07:59
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.82%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 07:40
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.82%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 08:14
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -4.82%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 09:44
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.70%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -6.72%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -2.51%E -0.635%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 05:40
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.08%EV -15.01%E -9.94%K -29.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.90%EV -6.72%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -9.91%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 10:40
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.21%EV -7.11%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 10:09
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 08:14
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 05:40
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 05:40
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 08:45
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 07:55
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 08:00
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 08:00
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 07:55
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.91%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 08:45
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 08:45
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 09:04
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -10.53%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 08:45
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -10.53%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 08:45
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -10.53%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 08:45
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -12.44%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:20
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.03%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -12.44%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 08:45
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -8.26%E -5.07%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -12.44%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -9.91%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 05:55
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -12.44%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.62%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 08:44
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.87%EV -11.64%E -7.41%K -20.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.07%EV -12.44%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -13.62%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 10:38
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 08:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 08:14
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 07:59
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 08:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 08:15
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 55.59%EV -12.20%E -7.82%K -21.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.14%EV -14.85%E -4.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-12 10:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.36%EV -11.64%E -7.41%K -20.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.97%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.67%EV -21.02%E -6.57%K -9.55%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-12 08:44
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.62%EV -11.07%E -7.01%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -16.24%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 10:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.57%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-04-12 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.57%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-04-12 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.57%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-04-12 10:05
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.57%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-04-12 10:10
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.83%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.83%2.0%2026-04-12 10:40