Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Djurgardens IF v Kalmar FF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 12:00 UTC

Score final : Djurgardens IF 3–2 Kalmar FF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Djurgardens IF (Local)

Prévision 56.28%1.78cote équitable
EV -4.32%
Avantage -2.54%
Kelly -6.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.36%56.43%56.25%59.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.511.631.631.7066.23%61.32%61.35%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kalmar FF (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.04%5.25cote équitable
EV +6.60%
Avantage +1.18%
Kelly +1.43%
Croissance +0.095%

avec la cote maximale 5.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.19%18.92%19.02%19.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.404.894.885.6022.73%20.44%20.49%17.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.68%4.05cote équitable
EV +1.19%
Avantage +0.291%
Kelly +0.385%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.76%24.65%24.72%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.753.804.1031.25%26.70%26.32%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Djurgardens IF (Local) : 56.28% ; Kalmar FF (Visiteur) : 19.04% ; Match nul : 24.68%. Pour Kalmar FF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.25. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.60, soit une espérance positive de +6.60%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -8.26%E -5.07%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.19%EV +6.60%E +1.18%K +1.43%G +0.095%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.76%EV -0.042%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 10:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82%EV -4.32%E -2.54%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.20%EV +2.79%E +0.517%K +0.635%G +0.018%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%EV +1.19%E +0.291%K +0.385%G +0.005%1.7%2026-04-12 10:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.11%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.08%EV +2.79%E +0.517%K +0.635%G +0.018%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV +1.19%E +0.291%K +0.385%G +0.005%2.4%2026-04-12 10:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.11%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.08%EV +2.79%E +0.517%K +0.635%G +0.018%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV +1.19%E +0.291%K +0.385%G +0.005%2.4%2026-04-12 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.98%EV -7.70%E -4.69%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV +0.890%E +0.168%K +0.207%G +0.002%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -2.51%E -0.635%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 10:40
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.88%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -1.01%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 10:40
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.88%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -1.01%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 10:40
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.88%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -1.01%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 10:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.88%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -1.01%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 10:40
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.88%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -1.01%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 10:40
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -9.95%E -6.22%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV -1.01%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.12%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 10:38
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -9.95%E -6.22%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV -1.01%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.12%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 10:39
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.93%EV -5.44%E -3.24%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.68%EV -2.54%E -0.495%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.40%EV -3.25%E -0.829%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 10:00
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.49%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -2.92%E -0.572%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 08:44
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -9.95%E -6.22%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -2.92%E -0.572%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 10:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -11.64%E -7.41%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.92%E -0.572%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 10:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -11.64%E -7.41%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.92%E -0.572%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 10:40
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.75%EV -4.25%E -0.845%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.76%EV -5.97%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 09:23
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.82%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 10:19
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -6.57%E -3.96%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.82%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 10:08
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -6.57%E -3.96%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.82%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 09:50
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.82%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 07:59
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.82%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 07:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.82%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 08:14
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -4.82%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 09:44
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.70%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -6.72%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -2.51%E -0.635%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 05:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.08%EV -15.01%E -9.94%K -29.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.90%EV -6.72%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -9.91%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 10:40
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.21%EV -7.11%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 10:09
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 08:14
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 05:40
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 05:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 08:45
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 07:55
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 08:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 08:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 07:55
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.91%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 08:45
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 08:45
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 09:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -10.53%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 08:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -10.53%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 08:45
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -10.53%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.68%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 08:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -12.44%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.03%EV -7.13%E -4.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -12.44%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 08:45
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -8.26%E -5.07%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -12.44%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -9.91%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 05:55
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -12.44%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.62%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 08:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.87%EV -11.64%E -7.41%K -20.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.07%EV -12.44%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -13.62%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 10:38
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 08:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 08:14
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 07:59
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 08:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.38%E -5.83%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 08:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.59%EV -12.20%E -7.82%K -21.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.14%EV -14.85%E -4.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-12 10:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.36%EV -11.64%E -7.41%K -20.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.97%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.67%EV -21.02%E -6.57%K -9.55%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-12 08:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.62%EV -11.07%E -7.01%K -19.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -16.24%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 10:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.57%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-04-12 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.57%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-04-12 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.57%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-04-12 10:05
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.57%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-04-12 10:10
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.83%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.83%2.0%2026-04-12 10:40