Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Djurgardens IF v IK Sirius

Kickoff: 2026-05-18 17:00 UTC

Final: Djurgardens IF 2–3 IK Sirius

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Djurgardens IF (Local)

Prediction 44.03%2.27fair odd
EV -0.923%
Edge -0.410%
Kelly -0.739%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.42%43.95%43.93%45.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.092.102.2551.28%47.74%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IK Sirius (Visit)

Prediction 31.16%3.21fair odd
EV +1.26%
Edge +0.388%
Kelly +0.560%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.14%31.19%31.26%32.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.952.953.2536.36%33.87%33.90%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.81%4.03fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.444%
Kelly -0.593%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.84%24.86%24.81%27.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.663.603.9632.26%27.32%27.78%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Djurgardens IF (Local): 44.03%; IK Sirius (Visit): 31.16%; Draw: 24.81%. For IK Sirius (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.21. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.26%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.62%EV -3.12%E -1.42%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.21%EV +1.26%E +0.388%K +0.560%G +0.007%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.17%EV -3.25%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-18 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.62%EV -3.12%E -1.42%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.21%EV +1.26%E +0.388%K +0.560%G +0.007%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.17%EV -3.25%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-18 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.62%EV -3.12%E -1.42%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.21%EV +1.26%E +0.388%K +0.560%G +0.007%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.17%EV -3.25%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-18 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -8.41%E -4.04%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.25%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -8.41%E -4.04%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.25%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 16:50
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -3.41%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.73%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 16:49
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.41%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 16:55
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -9.73%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -3.41%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.49%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 16:55
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -9.73%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -3.41%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.49%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 16:55
Pinnacle🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.74%EV -5.77%E -2.69%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.08%EV -4.04%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.18%EV -1.76%E -0.444%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 16:45
Bovada🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.28%EV -8.41%E -4.04%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -4.97%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -2.00%E -0.508%K -0.680%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 16:55
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -4.97%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -4.49%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 16:55
BetUS🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -8.41%E -4.04%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -4.97%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.25%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 16:55
BetAnything🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -8.41%E -4.04%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -4.97%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.25%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 16:55
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -9.73%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -4.97%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -3.25%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -6.65%E -3.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -4.97%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -9.45%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 16:30
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.17%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.55%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.29%EV -3.00%E -0.767%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 16:55
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.84%EV -0.923%E -0.410%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.03%EV -4.49%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-18 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.73%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 16:30
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 16:30
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 16:30
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 16:30
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 16:30
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.73%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.21%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-18 16:50
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.24%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -9.45%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-18 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.73%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.09%E -2.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -5.73%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-18 16:55
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.73%EV -9.29%E -4.51%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -8.09%E -2.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-18 16:30
LeoVegas🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.73%EV -9.29%E -4.51%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -8.09%E -2.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-18 16:30
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.85%EV -9.73%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -8.09%E -2.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-18 16:30
GTbets🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.94%EV -3.57%E -1.63%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.98%EV -8.40%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.97%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 09:20
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -3.12%E -1.42%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-18 15:20
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-18 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-18 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-18 16:35
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-18 16:53
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -9.73%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-18 16:50
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.73%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-18 16:50
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -11.93%E -5.97%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-18 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.82%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.52%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -14.41%E -4.18%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-18 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.82%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.52%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -14.41%E -4.18%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-18 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.12%E -1.42%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.20%E -3.93%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.21%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 15:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.27%EV -9.73%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -11.20%E -3.93%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -5.73%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-18 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 44.02%EV -10.61%E -5.23%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -11.20%E -3.93%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.62%EV -9.94%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-18 16:50
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -3.12%E -1.42%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.76%E -4.56%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-18 14:04
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -3.12%E -1.42%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.76%E -4.56%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-18 15:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.76%E -4.56%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 17:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.53%EV -14.13%E -7.25%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.01%EV -12.76%E -4.56%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.46%EV -11.93%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-18 16:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 43.89%EV -14.13%E -7.25%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.56%EV -12.76%E -4.56%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.55%EV -16.89%E -5.04%K -7.19%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-18 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -11.93%E -5.97%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -12.76%E -4.56%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -23.09%E -7.45%K -11.00%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-18 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -14.32%E -5.21%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -15.65%E -4.60%K -6.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-18 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -14.32%E -5.21%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -15.65%E -4.60%K -6.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-18 16:25
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -14.32%E -5.21%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -15.65%E -4.60%K -6.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-18 16:25
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -14.32%E -5.21%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -15.65%E -4.60%K -6.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-18 16:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.95%EV -11.93%E -5.97%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.96%EV -14.32%E -5.21%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -9.45%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-18 16:45
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.43%EV -14.13%E -7.25%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -14.32%E -5.21%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-18 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-05-18 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-05-18 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-05-18 16:45
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-05-18 16:40
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.1%2026-05-18 16:40