L’École des cotes

Djurgardens IF v IK Sirius

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-18 17:00 UTC

Score final : Djurgardens IF 2–3 IK Sirius

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Djurgardens IF (Local)

Prévision 44.03%2.27cote équitable
EV -0.923%
Avantage -0.410%
Kelly -0.739%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.42%43.95%43.93%45.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.092.102.2551.28%47.74%47.62%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IK Sirius (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.16%3.21cote équitable
EV +1.26%
Avantage +0.388%
Kelly +0.560%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.14%31.19%31.26%32.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.952.953.2536.36%33.87%33.90%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.81%4.03cote équitable
EV -1.76%
Avantage -0.444%
Kelly -0.593%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.84%24.86%24.81%27.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.663.603.9632.26%27.32%27.78%25.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.62%EV -3.12%E -1.42%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.21%EV +1.26%E +0.388%K +0.560%G +0.007%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.17%EV -3.25%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-18 16:30
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.62%EV -3.12%E -1.42%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.21%EV +1.26%E +0.388%K +0.560%G +0.007%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.17%EV -3.25%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-18 16:30
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.62%EV -3.12%E -1.42%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.21%EV +1.26%E +0.388%K +0.560%G +0.007%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.17%EV -3.25%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-18 16:30
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -8.41%E -4.04%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.25%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 16:55
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -8.41%E -4.04%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.25%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 16:50
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -3.41%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.73%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 16:49
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.41%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 16:55
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -9.73%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -3.41%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.49%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 16:55
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -9.73%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -3.41%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.49%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 16:55
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 44.74%EV -5.77%E -2.69%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.08%EV -4.04%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.18%EV -1.76%E -0.444%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 16:45
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 45.28%EV -8.41%E -4.04%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -4.97%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -2.00%E -0.508%K -0.680%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 16:55
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -4.97%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -4.49%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 16:55
BetUS2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -8.41%E -4.04%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -4.97%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.25%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 16:55
BetAnything2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -8.41%E -4.04%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -4.97%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.25%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 16:55
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -9.73%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -4.97%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -3.25%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -6.65%E -3.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -4.97%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -9.45%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 16:30
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.17%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.55%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.29%EV -3.00%E -0.767%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 16:55
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.84%EV -0.923%E -0.410%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.03%EV -4.49%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-18 15:05
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.73%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 16:45
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 16:30
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 16:30
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 16:30
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 16:30
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 16:30
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.73%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.21%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-18 16:50
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.24%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -9.45%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-18 16:55
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.73%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.09%E -2.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -5.73%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-18 16:55
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 43.73%EV -9.29%E -4.51%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -8.09%E -2.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-18 16:30
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 43.73%EV -9.29%E -4.51%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -8.09%E -2.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-18 16:30
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 43.85%EV -9.73%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -8.09%E -2.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-18 16:30
GTbets2.19I 45.66%NM 42.94%EV -3.57%E -1.63%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.98%EV -8.40%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.97%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 09:20
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -3.12%E -1.42%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-18 15:20
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-18 16:35
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-18 16:35
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-18 16:35
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-18 16:53
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -9.73%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-18 16:50
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.73%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-18 16:50
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -11.93%E -5.97%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-18 16:35
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 43.82%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.52%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -14.41%E -4.18%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-18 16:30
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 43.82%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.52%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -14.41%E -4.18%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-18 16:30
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.12%E -1.42%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.20%E -3.93%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.21%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 15:30
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.27%EV -9.73%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -11.20%E -3.93%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -5.73%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-18 16:45
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 44.02%EV -10.61%E -5.23%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -11.20%E -3.93%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.62%EV -9.94%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-18 16:50
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -3.12%E -1.42%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.76%E -4.56%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-18 14:04
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -3.12%E -1.42%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.76%E -4.56%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-18 15:30
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.76%E -4.56%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 17:24
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.53%EV -14.13%E -7.25%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.01%EV -12.76%E -4.56%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.46%EV -11.93%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-18 16:45
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 43.89%EV -14.13%E -7.25%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.56%EV -12.76%E -4.56%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.55%EV -16.89%E -5.04%K -7.19%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-18 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -11.93%E -5.97%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -12.76%E -4.56%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -23.09%E -7.45%K -11.00%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-18 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -14.32%E -5.21%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -15.65%E -4.60%K -6.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-18 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -14.32%E -5.21%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -15.65%E -4.60%K -6.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-18 16:25
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -14.32%E -5.21%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -15.65%E -4.60%K -6.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-18 16:25
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -14.32%E -5.21%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -15.65%E -4.60%K -6.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-18 16:25
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.95%EV -11.93%E -5.97%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.96%EV -14.32%E -5.21%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -9.45%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-18 16:45
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.43%EV -14.13%E -7.25%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -14.32%E -5.21%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-18 16:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-05-18 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-05-18 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-05-18 16:45
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-05-18 16:40
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.1%2026-05-18 16:40