La escuela de los momios

Djurgardens IF v IK Sirius

Inicio: 2026-05-18 17:00 UTC

Final: Djurgardens IF 2–3 IK Sirius

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Djurgardens IF (Local)

Predicción 44.03%2.27momio equitativo
EV -0.923%
Ventaja -0.410%
Kelly -0.739%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.42%43.95%43.93%45.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.092.102.2551.28%47.74%47.62%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IK Sirius (Visitante)

Predicción 31.16%3.21momio equitativo
EV +1.26%
Ventaja +0.388%
Kelly +0.560%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.14%31.19%31.26%32.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.952.953.2536.36%33.87%33.90%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.81%4.03momio equitativo
EV -1.76%
Ventaja -0.444%
Kelly -0.593%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.84%24.86%24.81%27.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.663.603.9632.26%27.32%27.78%25.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.62%EV -3.12%E -1.42%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.21%EV +1.26%E +0.388%K +0.560%G +0.007%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.17%EV -3.25%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-18 16:30
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.62%EV -3.12%E -1.42%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.21%EV +1.26%E +0.388%K +0.560%G +0.007%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.17%EV -3.25%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-18 16:30
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.62%EV -3.12%E -1.42%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.21%EV +1.26%E +0.388%K +0.560%G +0.007%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.17%EV -3.25%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-18 16:30
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -8.41%E -4.04%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.25%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 16:55
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -8.41%E -4.04%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.25%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 16:50
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -3.41%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.73%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 16:49
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.41%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 16:55
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -9.73%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -3.41%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.49%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 16:55
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -9.73%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -3.41%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.49%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 16:55
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 44.74%EV -5.77%E -2.69%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.08%EV -4.04%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.18%EV -1.76%E -0.444%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-18 16:45
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 45.28%EV -8.41%E -4.04%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -4.97%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -2.00%E -0.508%K -0.680%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 16:55
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -4.97%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -4.49%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 16:55
BetUS2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -8.41%E -4.04%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -4.97%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.25%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 16:55
BetAnything2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -8.41%E -4.04%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -4.97%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.25%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 16:55
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -9.73%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -4.97%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -3.25%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -6.65%E -3.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -4.97%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -9.45%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 16:30
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.17%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.55%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.29%EV -3.00%E -0.767%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 16:55
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.84%EV -0.923%E -0.410%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.03%EV -4.49%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-18 15:05
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.73%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 16:45
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 16:30
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 16:30
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 16:30
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 16:30
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 16:30
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.73%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.21%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-18 16:50
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.24%EV -6.53%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -9.45%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-18 16:55
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.73%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.09%E -2.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -5.73%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-18 16:55
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 43.73%EV -9.29%E -4.51%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -8.09%E -2.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-18 16:30
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 43.73%EV -9.29%E -4.51%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -8.09%E -2.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-18 16:30
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 43.85%EV -9.73%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -8.09%E -2.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-18 16:30
GTbets2.19I 45.66%NM 42.94%EV -3.57%E -1.63%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.98%EV -8.40%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.97%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 09:20
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -3.12%E -1.42%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-18 15:20
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-18 16:35
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-18 16:35
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-18 16:35
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.53%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-18 16:53
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -9.73%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-18 16:50
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.73%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-18 16:50
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -11.93%E -5.97%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-18 16:35
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 43.82%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.52%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -14.41%E -4.18%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-18 16:30
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 43.82%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.52%EV -9.64%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -14.41%E -4.18%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-18 16:30
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.12%E -1.42%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.20%E -3.93%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.21%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 15:30
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.27%EV -9.73%E -4.75%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -11.20%E -3.93%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -5.73%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-18 16:45
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 44.02%EV -10.61%E -5.23%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -11.20%E -3.93%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.62%EV -9.94%E -2.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-18 16:50
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -3.12%E -1.42%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.76%E -4.56%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-18 14:04
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -3.12%E -1.42%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.76%E -4.56%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-18 15:30
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.76%E -4.56%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 17:24
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.53%EV -14.13%E -7.25%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.01%EV -12.76%E -4.56%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.46%EV -11.93%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-18 16:45
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 43.89%EV -14.13%E -7.25%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.56%EV -12.76%E -4.56%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.55%EV -16.89%E -5.04%K -7.19%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-18 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -11.93%E -5.97%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -12.76%E -4.56%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -23.09%E -7.45%K -11.00%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-18 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -14.32%E -5.21%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -15.65%E -4.60%K -6.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-18 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -14.32%E -5.21%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -15.65%E -4.60%K -6.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-18 16:25
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -14.32%E -5.21%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -15.65%E -4.60%K -6.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-18 16:25
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -5.33%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -14.32%E -5.21%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -15.65%E -4.60%K -6.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-18 16:25
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.95%EV -11.93%E -5.97%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.96%EV -14.32%E -5.21%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -9.45%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-18 16:45
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.43%EV -14.13%E -7.25%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -14.32%E -5.21%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-18 16:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-05-18 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-05-18 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-05-18 16:45
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-05-18 16:40
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.1%2026-05-18 16:40