Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Djurgardens IF v IFK Goteborg

Kickoff: 2026-05-04 17:00 UTC

Final: Djurgardens IF 6–0 IFK Goteborg

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Djurgardens IF (Local)

Prediction 57.28%1.75fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.863%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.81%57.28%57.33%58.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.621.611.7266.23%61.91%62.11%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IFK Goteborg (Visit)

Prediction 19.01%5.26fair odd
EV +1.13%
Edge +0.213%
Kelly +0.263%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 5.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.96%18.99%18.99%19.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.864.855.3222.73%20.59%20.62%18.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.71%4.22fair odd
EV -0.406%
Edge -0.097%
Kelly -0.127%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.07%23.73%23.68%26.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.883.904.2030.30%25.74%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Djurgardens IF (Local): 57.28%; IFK Goteborg (Visit): 19.01%; Draw: 23.71%. For IFK Goteborg (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.26. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.96%EV +1.13%E +0.213%K +0.263%G +0.003%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.77%EV -4.67%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 15:50
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.54%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV +0.754%E +0.142%K +0.175%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 08:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.75%EV -2.63%E -1.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%EV -1.15%E -0.221%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37%EV -0.406%E -0.097%K -0.127%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-04 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.04%EV -3.77%E -2.25%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%EV -1.15%E -0.221%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21%EV -0.406%E -0.097%K -0.127%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-04 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.04%EV -3.77%E -2.25%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%EV -1.15%E -0.221%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21%EV -0.406%E -0.097%K -0.127%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-04 16:55
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.08%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -1.15%E -0.221%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-04 15:38
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.15%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.29%EV -2.10%E -0.407%K -0.505%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.75%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.57%EV -3.05%E -0.598%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -3.05%E -0.598%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 16:49
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.25%EV -1.48%E -0.863%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 19.20%EV -4.19%E -0.831%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.56%EV -6.57%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-04 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 15:20
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 14:04
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 16:55
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 16:55
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 16:55
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 16:55
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 16:40
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 13:05
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.27%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.90%EV -5.52%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.84%EV -6.57%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -6.85%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -6.85%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 16:55
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -6.85%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 16:50
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.85%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-04 16:55
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -6.85%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 16:55
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.26%EV -7.80%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -3.96%E -0.978%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 16:50
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.26%EV -7.80%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -3.96%E -0.978%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 16:50
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 16:45
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 16:54
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 15:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.66%EV -9.50%E -6.01%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-04 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.66%EV -9.50%E -6.01%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-04 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-04 16:50
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.43%EV -6.64%E -4.07%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 16:50
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 16:50
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.80%EV -10.08%E -6.42%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.97%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.23%EV -12.74%E -3.46%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-04 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.01%EV -13.51%E -8.95%K -26.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.64%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-04 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-04 16:50
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.71%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-04 16:50
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.06%EV -12.94%E -8.51%K -24.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.85%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.09%EV -14.63%E -4.06%K -5.63%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-04 16:35
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:50
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:50
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -10.08%E -6.42%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-04 16:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -10.08%E -6.42%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%EV -21.75%E -6.59%K -9.46%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-04 13:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.30%EV -10.65%E -6.83%K -19.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -16.36%E -3.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -12.26%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-04 15:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.86%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-05-04 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.86%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-05-04 16:50
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.86%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-05-04 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.01%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-05-04 16:55
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.63%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.88%2.1%2026-05-04 16:55