L’École des cotes

Djurgardens IF v IFK Goteborg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-04 17:00 UTC

Score final : Djurgardens IF 6–0 IFK Goteborg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Djurgardens IF (Local)

Prévision 57.28%1.75cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.863%
Kelly -2.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.81%57.28%57.33%58.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.621.611.7266.23%61.91%62.11%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IFK Goteborg (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.01%5.26cote équitable
EV +1.13%
Avantage +0.213%
Kelly +0.263%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 5.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.96%18.99%18.99%19.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.864.855.3222.73%20.59%20.62%18.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.71%4.22cote équitable
EV -0.406%
Avantage -0.097%
Kelly -0.127%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.07%23.73%23.68%26.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.883.904.2030.30%25.74%25.64%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.96%EV +1.13%E +0.213%K +0.263%G +0.003%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.77%EV -4.67%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 15:50
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.54%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV +0.754%E +0.142%K +0.175%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 08:09
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.75%EV -2.63%E -1.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%EV -1.15%E -0.221%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37%EV -0.406%E -0.097%K -0.127%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-04 16:55
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.04%EV -3.77%E -2.25%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%EV -1.15%E -0.221%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21%EV -0.406%E -0.097%K -0.127%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-04 16:55
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 58.04%EV -3.77%E -2.25%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%EV -1.15%E -0.221%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21%EV -0.406%E -0.097%K -0.127%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-04 16:55
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 58.08%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -1.15%E -0.221%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-04 15:38
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.15%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.29%EV -2.10%E -0.407%K -0.505%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.75%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.57%EV -3.05%E -0.598%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 16:55
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -3.05%E -0.598%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 16:49
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.25%EV -1.48%E -0.863%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 19.20%EV -4.19%E -0.831%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.56%EV -6.57%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-04 16:50
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 16:50
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 15:20
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 14:04
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 14:05
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 16:55
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 16:55
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 16:55
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 16:55
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 16:55
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 16:40
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 13:05
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.27%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.90%EV -5.52%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.84%EV -6.57%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 16:55
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -6.85%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 16:50
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -6.85%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 16:55
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -6.85%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 16:50
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.85%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-04 16:55
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -6.85%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 16:55
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.26%EV -7.80%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -3.96%E -0.978%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 16:50
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.26%EV -7.80%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -3.96%E -0.978%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 16:50
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 16:45
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 16:54
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 16:55
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 16:55
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 15:14
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.66%EV -9.50%E -6.01%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-04 16:55
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.66%EV -9.50%E -6.01%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-04 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-04 16:50
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 56.43%EV -6.64%E -4.07%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 16:50
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 16:50
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 16:50
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.80%EV -10.08%E -6.42%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.97%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.23%EV -12.74%E -3.46%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-04 16:35
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.01%EV -13.51%E -8.95%K -26.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.64%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-04 16:55
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 15:20
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-04 16:50
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.71%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-04 16:50
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.06%EV -12.94%E -8.51%K -24.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.85%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.09%EV -14.63%E -4.06%K -5.63%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-04 16:35
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:50
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:50
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -10.08%E -6.42%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-04 16:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -10.08%E -6.42%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%EV -21.75%E -6.59%K -9.46%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-04 13:05
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.30%EV -10.65%E -6.83%K -19.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -16.36%E -3.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -12.26%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-04 15:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.86%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-05-04 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.86%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-05-04 16:50
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.86%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-05-04 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.01%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-05-04 16:55
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.63%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.88%2.1%2026-05-04 16:55