La escuela de los momios

Djurgardens IF v IFK Goteborg

Inicio: 2026-05-04 17:00 UTC

Final: Djurgardens IF 6–0 IFK Goteborg

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Djurgardens IF (Local)

Predicción 57.28%1.75momio equitativo
EV -1.48%
Ventaja -0.863%
Kelly -2.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.81%57.28%57.33%58.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.621.611.7266.23%61.91%62.11%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IFK Goteborg (Visitante)

Predicción 19.01%5.26momio equitativo
EV +1.13%
Ventaja +0.213%
Kelly +0.263%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.96%18.99%18.99%19.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.864.855.3222.73%20.59%20.62%18.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.71%4.22momio equitativo
EV -0.406%
Ventaja -0.097%
Kelly -0.127%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.07%23.73%23.68%26.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.883.904.2030.30%25.74%25.64%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.96%EV +1.13%E +0.213%K +0.263%G +0.003%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.77%EV -4.67%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 15:50
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.54%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV +0.754%E +0.142%K +0.175%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 08:09
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.75%EV -2.63%E -1.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%EV -1.15%E -0.221%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37%EV -0.406%E -0.097%K -0.127%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-04 16:55
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.04%EV -3.77%E -2.25%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%EV -1.15%E -0.221%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21%EV -0.406%E -0.097%K -0.127%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-04 16:55
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 58.04%EV -3.77%E -2.25%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%EV -1.15%E -0.221%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21%EV -0.406%E -0.097%K -0.127%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-04 16:55
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 58.08%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -1.15%E -0.221%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-04 15:38
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.15%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.29%EV -2.10%E -0.407%K -0.505%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.75%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.57%EV -3.05%E -0.598%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 16:55
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -3.05%E -0.598%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 16:49
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.25%EV -1.48%E -0.863%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 19.20%EV -4.19%E -0.831%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.56%EV -6.57%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-04 16:50
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 16:50
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 15:20
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 14:04
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 14:05
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 16:55
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 16:55
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 16:55
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 16:55
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 16:55
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 16:40
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.95%E -0.990%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 13:05
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.27%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.90%EV -5.52%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.84%EV -6.57%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 16:55
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -6.85%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 16:50
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -6.85%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 16:55
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -6.85%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 16:50
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.85%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-04 16:55
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -6.85%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 16:55
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.26%EV -7.80%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -3.96%E -0.978%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 16:50
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.26%EV -7.80%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -3.96%E -0.978%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 16:50
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 16:45
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 16:54
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 16:55
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 16:55
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 15:14
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.66%EV -9.50%E -6.01%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-04 16:55
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.66%EV -9.50%E -6.01%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.75%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-04 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-04 16:50
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 56.43%EV -6.64%E -4.07%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 16:50
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 16:50
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -9.70%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 16:50
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.80%EV -10.08%E -6.42%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.97%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.23%EV -12.74%E -3.46%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-04 16:35
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.01%EV -13.51%E -8.95%K -26.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.64%EV -10.65%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-04 16:55
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 15:20
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-04 16:50
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.71%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-04 16:50
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.06%EV -12.94%E -8.51%K -24.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.85%EV -12.55%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.09%EV -14.63%E -4.06%K -5.63%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-04 16:35
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:50
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:50
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -10.08%E -6.42%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-04 16:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -10.08%E -6.42%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -14.45%E -3.21%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%EV -21.75%E -6.59%K -9.46%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-04 13:05
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.30%EV -10.65%E -6.83%K -19.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -16.36%E -3.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -12.26%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-04 15:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.86%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-05-04 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.86%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-05-04 16:50
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.86%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-05-04 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.01%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-05-04 16:55
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.63%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.88%2.1%2026-05-04 16:55