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Djurgardens IF v IF Elfsborg

2026-09-20 12:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Djurgardens IF (Local)

Prediction 55.46%1.80fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -5.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.94%55.46%55.46%56.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.651.671.7364.94%60.68%59.88%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IF Elfsborg (Visit)

Prediction 20.58%4.86fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.256%
Kelly -0.323%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.22%20.58%20.58%21.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.454.534.8025.00%22.47%22.08%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.96%4.17fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.431%
Kelly -0.571%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.03%23.96%23.96%24.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.843.904.1027.78%26.01%25.64%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Djurgardens IF (Local): 55.46%; IF Elfsborg (Visit): 20.58%; Draw: 23.96%. For IF Elfsborg (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.86. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.80, with an expected value of -1.23%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.11%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22%EV -1.23%E -0.256%K -0.323%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -1.77%E -0.431%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 12:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.11%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22%EV -1.23%E -0.256%K -0.323%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -1.77%E -0.431%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.11%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22%EV -1.23%E -0.256%K -0.323%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -1.77%E -0.431%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 12:05
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.34%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.34%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 12:06
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.34%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 12:06
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.34%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 12:06
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.34%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 12:06
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.34%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 12:05
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.40%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 12:10
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.90%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.47%EV -6.17%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -5.36%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 12:15
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.94%EV -9.04%E -5.51%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -10.49%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.35%E -3.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 12:05
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.96%EV -9.59%E -5.89%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -11.52%E -2.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -11.35%E -3.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 12:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.95%EV -10.70%E -6.65%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.82%EV -12.55%E -2.95%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.24%EV -12.55%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-13 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.95%EV -10.70%E -6.65%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.82%EV -12.55%E -2.95%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.24%EV -12.55%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-13 12:06
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.95%EV -10.70%E -6.65%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.82%EV -12.55%E -2.95%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.24%EV -12.55%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-13 12:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.52%EV -12.37%E -7.83%K -21.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -15.63%E -3.81%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -8.96%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 12:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.99%EV -12.92%E -8.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.44%EV -11.52%E -2.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.57%EV -10.63%E -2.85%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-13 12:06
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.37%EV -13.48%E -8.64%K -24.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.59%EV -17.69%E -4.42%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -10.15%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-13 12:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 55.59%EV -14.59%E -9.47%K -27.01%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.63%EV -14.60%E -3.52%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -13.75%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-13 12:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 55.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.94%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.76%13.7%2026-09-13 12:10