مدرسة الاحتمالاتodds.school
النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)
+ نموذج جديدجميع النماذج

Djurgardens IF v IF Elfsborg

البداية: 2026-09-20 12:01 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Djurgardens IF 1–2 IF Elfsborg

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Djurgardens IF (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.94%1.64السعر العادل
EV -4.93%
الأفضلية -3.16%
Kelly -8.80%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.56

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.22%61.02%60.80%62.72%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.441.511.501.5669.44%66.22%66.67%64.10%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

IF Elfsborg (الضيف)

التنبؤ 17.46%5.73السعر العادل
EV +11.77%
الأفضلية +1.84%
Kelly +2.18%
النمو +0.257%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.19%17.36%17.65%18.64%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
4.755.425.406.4021.05%18.45%18.52%15.63%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

تعادل

التنبؤ 21.59%4.63السعر العادل
EV -1.33%
الأفضلية -0.291%
Kelly -0.372%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.83%21.62%21.55%22.65%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
3.954.214.204.5725.32%23.77%23.81%21.88%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Djurgardens IF (المضيف)⁩: ⁨60.94%⁩؛ ⁨IF Elfsborg (الضيف)⁩: ⁨17.46%⁩؛ ⁨تعادل⁩: ⁨21.59%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨IF Elfsborg (الضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨5.73⁩. عرضت 11 شركة مراهنات أسعار إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨6.40⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+11.77%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.72%EV -5.54%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.19%EV +11.77%E +1.84%K +2.18%G +0.257%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.09%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-20 11:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.72%EV -5.54%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.19%EV +11.77%E +1.84%K +2.18%G +0.257%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.09%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-20 11:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.72%EV -5.54%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.19%EV +11.77%E +1.84%K +2.18%G +0.257%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.09%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-20 11:55
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV +4.79%E +0.798%K +0.957%G +0.046%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV +4.79%E +0.798%K +0.957%G +0.046%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 11:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV +4.79%E +0.798%K +0.957%G +0.046%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 11:54
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV +4.79%E +0.798%K +0.957%G +0.046%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 11:54
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV +4.79%E +0.798%K +0.957%G +0.046%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 11:54
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV +4.79%E +0.798%K +0.957%G +0.046%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 11:55
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -5.54%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.27%EV +3.04%E +0.515%K +0.620%G +0.019%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.81%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 11:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV +0.420%E +0.073%K +0.088%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 11:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.51%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.15%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -0.453%E -0.080%K -0.096%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -7.16%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 11:39
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.29%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 16.48%EV -0.977%E -0.172%K -0.209%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 11:55
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -2.20%E -0.393%K -0.478%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 11:33
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -9.80%E -6.62%K -20.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.17%EV -2.20%E -0.393%K -0.478%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.64%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 11:54
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.35%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.10%EV -2.20%E -0.393%K -0.478%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -13.64%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 11:54
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -11.63%E -8.02%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV -2.20%E -0.393%K -0.478%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -13.64%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 11:55
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.88%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 16.99%EV -2.37%E -0.425%K -0.517%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.14%EV -7.38%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 11:30
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.00%EV -6.15%E -3.99%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.11%EV -2.55%E -0.457%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.89%EV -1.33%E -0.291%K -0.372%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 11:45
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.67%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 16.85%EV -3.77%E -0.684%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.48%EV -10.83%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 11:29
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -3.95%E -0.717%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -2.84%E -0.631%K -0.812%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 11:53
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -3.95%E -0.717%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 11:34
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -3.95%E -0.717%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 11:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -9.80%E -6.62%K -20.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -3.95%E -0.717%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 11:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.32%EV -11.63%E -8.02%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -3.95%E -0.717%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.51%EV -14.72%E -3.73%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 11:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.49%EV -12.24%E -8.50%K -27.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -3.95%E -0.717%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.42%EV -14.72%E -3.73%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-20 11:54
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.95%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.00%EV -4.82%E -0.884%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 11:34
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.00%EV -5.54%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.51%EV -5.69%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 11:34
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -5.69%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 11:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.65%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.85%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.65%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.85%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 11:55
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.65%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.85%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 11:50
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.65%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.85%EV -7.44%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 11:54
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 11:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -5.54%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -6.08%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 11:34
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -2.84%E -0.631%K -0.812%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 11:44
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -6.15%E -3.99%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 11:28
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 11:27
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 11:27
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.64%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 11:34
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.64%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 11:29
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.64%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 11:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.64%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 11:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.64%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 11:29
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 11:29
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.64%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 11:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.35%EV -9.80%E -6.62%K -20.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 11:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.57%EV -11.63%E -8.02%K -25.84%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.74%EV -13.55%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.69%EV -12.56%E -3.10%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 11:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -14.42%E -2.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -7.16%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 11:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.05%EV -9.19%E -6.17%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -16.17%E -3.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 11:34
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.17%E -3.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.64%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 11:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.17%E -3.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.64%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 11:29
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.17%E -3.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.64%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.17%E -3.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.64%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 11:29
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -12.24%E -8.50%K -27.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -17.04%E -3.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-20 11:24
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.13%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.78%0.3%2026-09-20 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.52%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.2%2026-09-20 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.52%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.2%2026-09-20 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.52%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.2%2026-09-20 11:55
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.82%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.33%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.85%2.0%2026-09-20 11:55