Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Djurgardens IF v Hammarby IF

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Djurgardens IF (Local)

Prediction 32.28%3.10fair odd
EV +0.081%
Edge +0.026%
Kelly +0.039%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.00%32.23%32.46%33.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.872.903.1038.46%34.78%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hammarby IF (Visit)

Prediction 40.57%2.47fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.14%40.60%40.64%42.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.242.252.3848.08%44.67%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.15%3.68fair odd
EV +0.448%
Edge +0.121%
Kelly +0.166%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.76%27.17%26.90%28.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.403.403.7033.33%29.42%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Djurgardens IF (Local): 32.28%; Hammarby IF (Visit): 40.57%; Draw: 27.15%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.448%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%EV +0.081%E +0.026%K +0.039%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.31%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30%EV +0.448%E +0.121%K +0.166%G +0.001%2.8%2026-04-21 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%EV +0.081%E +0.026%K +0.039%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.31%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30%EV +0.448%E +0.121%K +0.166%G +0.001%2.8%2026-04-21 15:14
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.64%EV -7.99%E -2.80%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.85%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV +0.448%E +0.121%K +0.166%G +0.001%4.3%2026-04-23 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -1.53%E -0.503%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.27%E -0.630%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 15:14
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -1.53%E -0.503%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.27%E -0.630%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 15:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -7.99%E -2.80%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -2.27%E -0.630%K -0.872%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 17:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.02%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 17:19
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.99%E -2.80%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:19
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -3.15%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 15:15
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -3.15%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 15:14
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -3.15%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 15:15
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -3.15%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 15:15
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -3.15%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 15:14
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 17:44
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -4.76%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.34%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 15:14
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -4.76%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.34%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 15:14
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 23:05
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 15:05
GTbets🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -7.99%E -2.80%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.80%EV -3.85%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.10%EV -5.52%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 17:19
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -4.76%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 08:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 08:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -12.83%E -4.75%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 20:15
Pinnacle🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.58%EV -3.47%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.88%EV -6.29%E -2.72%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.53%EV -6.88%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 13:05
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 12:54
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.80%EV -4.76%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.61%EV -6.29%E -2.72%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 12:56
BetUS🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.80%EV -4.76%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.61%EV -6.29%E -2.72%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:15
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-20 15:43
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 17:44
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 17:44
1xBet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.67%EV -4.44%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.59%EV -6.29%E -2.72%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.74%EV -8.24%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 12:55
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 17:15
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 17:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -3.79%E -1.27%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.30%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -3.79%E -1.27%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.30%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:30
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -7.02%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 17:14
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 18:20
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.22%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.22%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.22%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 17:20
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.22%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 17:20
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.22%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 12:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.14%EV -15.62%E -7.51%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-21 15:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.05%EV -16.06%E -6.18%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.92%EV -14.81%E -7.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.04%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-23 20:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -12.83%E -4.75%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.26%EV -14.81%E -7.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.66%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-23 06:50
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.06%EV -15.42%E -5.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.29%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.65%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-22 17:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 32.25%EV -13.48%E -5.03%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.16%EV -14.81%E -7.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-22 17:30
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:50
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:50
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.22%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -11.22%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -14.81%E -7.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -18.56%E -6.19%K -9.28%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-22 19:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.97%4.5%2026-04-23 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.97%4.5%2026-04-23 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.97%4.5%2026-04-23 19:25
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%6.8%2026-04-23 17:55