La escuela de los momios

Djurgardens IF v Hammarby IF

Inicio: 2026-04-26 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Djurgardens IF (Local)

Predicción 32.28%3.10momio equitativo
EV +0.081%
Ventaja +0.026%
Kelly +0.039%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.00%32.23%32.46%33.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.872.903.1038.46%34.78%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Hammarby IF (Visitante)

Predicción 40.57%2.47momio equitativo
EV -3.45%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -2.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.14%40.60%40.64%42.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.082.242.252.3848.08%44.67%44.44%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.15%3.68momio equitativo
EV +0.448%
Ventaja +0.121%
Kelly +0.166%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.76%27.17%26.90%28.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.403.403.7033.33%29.42%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%EV +0.081%E +0.026%K +0.039%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.31%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30%EV +0.448%E +0.121%K +0.166%G +0.001%2.8%2026-04-21 15:15
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%EV +0.081%E +0.026%K +0.039%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.31%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30%EV +0.448%E +0.121%K +0.166%G +0.001%2.8%2026-04-21 15:14
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.64%EV -7.99%E -2.80%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.85%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV +0.448%E +0.121%K +0.166%G +0.001%4.3%2026-04-23 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -1.53%E -0.503%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.27%E -0.630%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 15:14
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -1.53%E -0.503%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.27%E -0.630%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 15:15
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -7.99%E -2.80%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -2.27%E -0.630%K -0.872%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 17:44
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.02%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 17:19
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.99%E -2.80%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:19
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -3.15%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 15:15
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -3.15%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 15:14
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -3.15%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 15:15
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -3.15%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 15:15
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -3.15%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 15:14
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 17:44
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -4.76%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.34%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 15:14
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -4.76%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.34%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 15:14
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 23:05
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 15:05
GTbets2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -7.99%E -2.80%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.80%EV -3.85%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.10%EV -5.52%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 17:19
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -4.76%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 15:15
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 08:35
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 08:34
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -12.83%E -4.75%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 20:15
Pinnacle2.99I 33.44%NM 31.58%EV -3.47%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.88%EV -6.29%E -2.72%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.53%EV -6.88%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 13:05
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 12:54
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.80%EV -4.76%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.61%EV -6.29%E -2.72%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 12:56
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.80%EV -4.76%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.61%EV -6.29%E -2.72%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:15
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-20 15:43
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 17:44
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 17:44
1xBet2.96I 33.78%NM 31.67%EV -4.44%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.59%EV -6.29%E -2.72%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.74%EV -8.24%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 12:55
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 17:15
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 17:15
BetOnline.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -3.79%E -1.27%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.30%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:30
LowVig.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -3.79%E -1.27%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.30%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:30
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -7.02%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 17:14
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 18:20
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.22%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.22%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.22%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 17:20
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.22%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 17:20
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.22%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 12:04
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.14%EV -15.62%E -7.51%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-21 15:14
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.05%EV -16.06%E -6.18%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.92%EV -14.81%E -7.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.04%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-23 20:15
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -12.83%E -4.75%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.26%EV -14.81%E -7.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.66%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-23 06:50
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.06%EV -15.42%E -5.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.29%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.65%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-22 17:14
Betclic (FR)2.68I 37.31%NM 32.25%EV -13.48%E -5.03%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.16%EV -14.81%E -7.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-22 17:30
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:50
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:50
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:50
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:50
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.22%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -11.22%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -14.81%E -7.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -18.56%E -6.19%K -9.28%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-22 19:01
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.97%4.5%2026-04-23 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.97%4.5%2026-04-23 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.97%4.5%2026-04-23 19:25
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%6.8%2026-04-23 17:55