L’École des cotes

Djurgardens IF v Hammarby IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Djurgardens IF (Local)

Prévision 32.28%3.10cote équitable
EV +0.081%
Avantage +0.026%
Kelly +0.039%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.00%32.23%32.46%33.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.872.903.1038.46%34.78%34.48%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hammarby IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.57%2.47cote équitable
EV -3.45%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -2.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.14%40.60%40.64%42.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.082.242.252.3848.08%44.67%44.44%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.15%3.68cote équitable
EV +0.448%
Avantage +0.121%
Kelly +0.166%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.76%27.17%26.90%28.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.403.403.7033.33%29.42%29.41%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%EV +0.081%E +0.026%K +0.039%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.31%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30%EV +0.448%E +0.121%K +0.166%G +0.001%2.8%2026-04-21 15:15
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%EV +0.081%E +0.026%K +0.039%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.31%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30%EV +0.448%E +0.121%K +0.166%G +0.001%2.8%2026-04-21 15:14
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.64%EV -7.99%E -2.80%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.85%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV +0.448%E +0.121%K +0.166%G +0.001%4.3%2026-04-23 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -1.53%E -0.503%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.27%E -0.630%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 15:14
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -1.53%E -0.503%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.27%E -0.630%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 15:15
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -7.99%E -2.80%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -2.27%E -0.630%K -0.872%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 17:44
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.02%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 17:19
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.99%E -2.80%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:19
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -3.15%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 15:15
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -3.15%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 15:14
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -3.15%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 15:15
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -3.15%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 15:15
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -3.15%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 15:14
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 17:44
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -4.76%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.34%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 15:14
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -4.76%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.34%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 15:14
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 23:05
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 15:05
GTbets2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -7.99%E -2.80%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.80%EV -3.85%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.10%EV -5.52%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 17:19
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -4.76%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 15:15
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 08:35
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 08:34
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -12.83%E -4.75%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 20:15
Pinnacle2.99I 33.44%NM 31.58%EV -3.47%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.88%EV -6.29%E -2.72%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.53%EV -6.88%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 13:05
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 12:54
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.80%EV -4.76%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.61%EV -6.29%E -2.72%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 12:56
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.80%EV -4.76%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.61%EV -6.29%E -2.72%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:15
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-20 15:43
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 17:44
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 17:44
1xBet2.96I 33.78%NM 31.67%EV -4.44%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.59%EV -6.29%E -2.72%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.74%EV -8.24%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 12:55
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 17:15
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 17:15
BetOnline.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -3.79%E -1.27%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.30%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:30
LowVig.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -3.79%E -1.27%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.30%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:30
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -7.02%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 17:14
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 18:20
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.22%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.22%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.22%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 17:20
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.22%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 17:20
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.22%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 12:04
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -9.60%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.14%EV -15.62%E -7.51%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-21 15:14
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.05%EV -16.06%E -6.18%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.92%EV -14.81%E -7.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.04%EV -10.41%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-23 20:15
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -12.83%E -4.75%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.26%EV -14.81%E -7.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.66%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-23 06:50
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.06%EV -15.42%E -5.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.29%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.65%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-22 17:14
Betclic (FR)2.68I 37.31%NM 32.25%EV -13.48%E -5.03%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.16%EV -14.81%E -7.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-22 17:30
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:50
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:50
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:50
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.38%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:50
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.22%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -11.22%E -4.08%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -14.81%E -7.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -18.56%E -6.19%K -9.28%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-22 19:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.97%4.5%2026-04-23 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.97%4.5%2026-04-23 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.97%4.5%2026-04-23 19:25
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%6.8%2026-04-23 17:55