Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.51
assuming max odds 7.50
assuming max odds 5.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Djurgardens IF (Local): 64.45%; GAIS (Visit): 14.82%; Draw: 20.73%. For GAIS (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.75. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.14%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -7.83%E -5.48%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.91%EV +11.14%E +1.48%K +1.71%G +0.191% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV +3.64%E +0.728%K +0.910%G +0.033% | 3.3% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -7.83%E -5.48%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.91%EV +11.14%E +1.48%K +1.71%G +0.191% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV +3.64%E +0.728%K +0.910%G +0.033% | 3.3% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -7.83%E -5.48%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.91%EV +11.14%E +1.48%K +1.71%G +0.191% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV +3.64%E +0.728%K +0.910%G +0.033% | 3.3% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.94%EV -5.90%E -4.04%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 7.07I 14.14%NM 13.41%EV +4.77%E +0.674%K +0.785%G +0.037% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.65%EV -9.21%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +3.73%E +0.533%K +0.621%G +0.023% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -2.58%E -0.549%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +3.73%E +0.533%K +0.621%G +0.023% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -2.58%E -0.549%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 16:41 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +3.73%E +0.533%K +0.621%G +0.023% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -2.58%E -0.549%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +3.73%E +0.533%K +0.621%G +0.023% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -2.58%E -0.549%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +3.73%E +0.533%K +0.621%G +0.023% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -2.58%E -0.549%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +3.73%E +0.533%K +0.621%G +0.023% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -2.58%E -0.549%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.51%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV +0.024%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -11.05%E -8.01%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV +0.024%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -5.25%E -3.57%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.66%EV -2.94%E -0.449%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV -0.507%E -0.106%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -5.25%E -3.57%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.66%EV -2.94%E -0.449%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV -0.507%E -0.106%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -5.25%E -3.57%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.66%EV -2.94%E -0.449%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV -0.507%E -0.106%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.42%EV -2.67%E -1.77%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.62%EV -2.94%E -0.449%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.96%EV -9.63%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-14 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -3.68%E -0.566%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 16:51 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -8.48%E -5.97%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -3.68%E -0.566%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-14 16:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -9.12%E -6.47%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.68%E -0.566%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -8.80%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 16:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.68%E -0.566%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 16:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -12.34%E -9.08%K -34.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -3.68%E -0.566%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -12.34%E -9.08%K -34.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -3.68%E -0.566%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -8.80%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.19%EV -13.63%E -10.17%K -40.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -3.68%E -0.566%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -8.80%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.19%EV -13.63%E -10.17%K -40.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -3.68%E -0.566%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -8.80%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.57%EV -4.61%E -3.11%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 6.44I 15.53%NM 14.84%EV -4.57%E -0.710%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.59%EV -3.82%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.95%EV -5.90%E -4.04%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -5.16%E -0.807%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -9.83%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.95%EV -5.90%E -4.04%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -5.16%E -0.807%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -9.83%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.47%EV -5.90%E -4.04%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -7.39%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -7.39%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 16:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.53%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -7.39%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -10.87%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 16:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -8.48%E -5.97%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -8.13%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 16:36 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.15%EV -10.41%E -7.49%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -9.61%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.77%EV -5.25%E -3.57%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -11.09%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.60%EV -5.69%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 16:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.83%E -5.48%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -11.09%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.09%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-14 16:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.09%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-14 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.09%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-14 16:36 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.09%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-14 16:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -11.09%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -15.02%E -3.66%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.33%EV -12.34%E -9.08%K -34.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.58%EV -11.09%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.08%EV -13.98%E -3.37%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.53%EV -12.57%E -2.13%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -10.87%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.26%EV -8.48%E -5.97%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.47%EV -12.57%E -2.13%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-14 16:51 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.40%EV -14.05%E -2.42%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -10.87%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -14.79%E -2.57%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -14.79%E -2.57%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 15:56 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -14.79%E -2.57%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 16:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -14.79%E -2.57%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 15:56 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.50%E -3.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-14 16:36 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.50%E -3.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -18.50%E -3.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -17.09%E -4.27%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-14 16:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -18.50%E -3.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.61% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 0.9% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.61% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 0.9% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.02% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 1.0% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.02% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 1.0% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.76% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73% | 1.4% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |