Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Djurgardens IF v GAIS

Início: 2026-09-14 17:00 UTC

Final: Djurgardens IF 2–0 GAIS

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Djurgardens IF (Local)

Previsão 64.45%1.55odd justa
EV -2.67%
Vantagem -1.77%
Kelly -5.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.66%64.41%64.40%67.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.341.431.441.5174.63%70.14%69.44%66.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

GAIS (Visitante)

Previsão 14.82%6.75odd justa
EV +11.14%
Vantagem +1.48%
Kelly +1.71%
Crescimento +0.191%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.91%14.84%14.84%16.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.506.366.407.5018.18%15.73%15.63%13.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 20.73%4.82odd justa
EV +3.64%
Vantagem +0.728%
Kelly +0.910%
Crescimento +0.033%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.37%20.75%20.75%22.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.454.405.0025.00%22.46%22.73%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Djurgardens IF (Local): 64.45%; GAIS (Visitante): 14.82%; Empate: 20.73%. Para GAIS (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.75. 12 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +11.14%.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -7.83%E -5.48%K -18.21%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.91%EV +11.14%E +1.48%K +1.71%G +0.191%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV +3.64%E +0.728%K +0.910%G +0.033%3.3%2026-09-14 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -7.83%E -5.48%K -18.21%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.91%EV +11.14%E +1.48%K +1.71%G +0.191%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV +3.64%E +0.728%K +0.910%G +0.033%3.3%2026-09-14 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -7.83%E -5.48%K -18.21%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.91%EV +11.14%E +1.48%K +1.71%G +0.191%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV +3.64%E +0.728%K +0.910%G +0.033%3.3%2026-09-14 16:40
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.94%EV -5.90%E -4.04%K -12.82%G +0.000%7.07I 14.14%NM 13.41%EV +4.77%E +0.674%K +0.785%G +0.037%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.65%EV -9.21%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +3.73%E +0.533%K +0.621%G +0.023%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -2.58%E -0.549%K -0.697%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 16:40
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +3.73%E +0.533%K +0.621%G +0.023%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -2.58%E -0.549%K -0.697%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 16:41
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +3.73%E +0.533%K +0.621%G +0.023%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -2.58%E -0.549%K -0.697%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 16:40
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +3.73%E +0.533%K +0.621%G +0.023%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -2.58%E -0.549%K -0.697%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 16:40
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +3.73%E +0.533%K +0.621%G +0.023%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -2.58%E -0.549%K -0.697%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 16:40
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +3.73%E +0.533%K +0.621%G +0.023%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -2.58%E -0.549%K -0.697%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 16:40
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.51%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV +0.024%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -11.05%E -8.01%K -29.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV +0.024%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -5.25%E -3.57%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.66%EV -2.94%E -0.449%K -0.530%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV -0.507%E -0.106%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -5.25%E -3.57%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.66%EV -2.94%E -0.449%K -0.530%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV -0.507%E -0.106%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 16:50
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -5.25%E -3.57%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.66%EV -2.94%E -0.449%K -0.530%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV -0.507%E -0.106%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 16:50
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.42%EV -2.67%E -1.77%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.62%EV -2.94%E -0.449%K -0.530%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.96%EV -9.63%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 16:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -3.68%E -0.566%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 16:51
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -8.48%E -5.97%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -3.68%E -0.566%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 16:00
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -9.12%E -6.47%K -22.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.68%E -0.566%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -8.80%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 16:00
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.68%E -0.566%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 16:00
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -12.34%E -9.08%K -34.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -3.68%E -0.566%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-14 16:40
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -12.34%E -9.08%K -34.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -3.68%E -0.566%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -8.80%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-14 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.19%EV -13.63%E -10.17%K -40.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -3.68%E -0.566%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -8.80%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-14 16:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.19%EV -13.63%E -10.17%K -40.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -3.68%E -0.566%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -8.80%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-14 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.57%EV -4.61%E -3.11%K -9.60%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 14.84%EV -4.57%E -0.710%K -0.840%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.59%EV -3.82%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 16:45
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.95%EV -5.90%E -4.04%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -5.16%E -0.807%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -9.83%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 16:50
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.95%EV -5.90%E -4.04%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -5.16%E -0.807%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -9.83%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 16:45
Bovada🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.47%EV -5.90%E -4.04%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -7.39%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -7.39%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 16:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.53%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -7.39%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -10.87%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 16:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -8.48%E -5.97%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -8.13%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 16:36
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.15%EV -10.41%E -7.49%K -26.69%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -9.61%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 16:55
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.77%EV -5.25%E -3.57%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -11.09%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.60%EV -5.69%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 16:54
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.83%E -5.48%K -18.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -11.09%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 16:35
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.09%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 16:35
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.09%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.09%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 16:36
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.09%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 16:35
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -11.09%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -15.02%E -3.66%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 16:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.33%EV -12.34%E -9.08%K -34.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.58%EV -11.09%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.08%EV -13.98%E -3.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-14 16:50
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.53%EV -12.57%E -2.13%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -10.87%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.26%EV -8.48%E -5.97%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.47%EV -12.57%E -2.13%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 16:51
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.40%EV -14.05%E -2.42%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -10.87%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-14 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -14.79%E -2.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -14.79%E -2.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 15:56
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -14.79%E -2.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 16:00
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -14.79%E -2.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 15:56
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.50%E -3.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-14 16:36
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.50%E -3.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-14 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -18.50%E -3.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -17.09%E -4.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 16:35
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -18.50%E -3.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-14 14:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.61%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%0.9%2026-09-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.61%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%0.9%2026-09-14 16:55
Smarkets◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.02%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-09-14 16:55
Matchbook◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.02%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-09-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.76%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73%1.4%2026-09-14 16:55