Idioma:Español
Djurgardens IF v GAIS
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Djurgardens IF (Local)
Predicción 64.45%1.55momio equitativo
EV -2.67%
Ventaja -1.77%
Kelly -5.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.66%64.41%64.40%67.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.341.431.441.5174.63%70.14%69.44%66.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
GAIS (Visitante)
Predicción 14.82%6.75momio equitativo
EV +11.14%
Ventaja +1.48%
Kelly +1.71%
Crecimiento +0.191%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.91%14.84%14.84%16.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.506.366.407.5018.18%15.73%15.63%13.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 20.73%4.82momio equitativo
EV +3.64%
Ventaja +0.728%
Kelly +0.910%
Crecimiento +0.033%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.37%20.75%20.75%22.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.454.405.0025.00%22.46%22.73%20.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Djurgardens IF (Local): 64.45%; GAIS (Visitante): 14.82%; Empate: 20.73%. Para GAIS (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.75. 12 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +11.14%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -7.83%E -5.48%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.91%EV +11.14%E +1.48%K +1.71%G +0.191% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV +3.64%E +0.728%K +0.910%G +0.033% | 3.3% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -7.83%E -5.48%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.91%EV +11.14%E +1.48%K +1.71%G +0.191% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV +3.64%E +0.728%K +0.910%G +0.033% | 3.3% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -7.83%E -5.48%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.91%EV +11.14%E +1.48%K +1.71%G +0.191% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV +3.64%E +0.728%K +0.910%G +0.033% | 3.3% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.94%EV -5.90%E -4.04%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 7.07I 14.14%NM 13.41%EV +4.77%E +0.674%K +0.785%G +0.037% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.65%EV -9.21%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +3.73%E +0.533%K +0.621%G +0.023% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -2.58%E -0.549%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +3.73%E +0.533%K +0.621%G +0.023% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -2.58%E -0.549%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 16:41 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +3.73%E +0.533%K +0.621%G +0.023% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -2.58%E -0.549%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +3.73%E +0.533%K +0.621%G +0.023% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -2.58%E -0.549%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +3.73%E +0.533%K +0.621%G +0.023% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -2.58%E -0.549%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +3.73%E +0.533%K +0.621%G +0.023% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -2.58%E -0.549%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.51%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV +0.024%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -11.05%E -8.01%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV +0.024%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -5.25%E -3.57%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.66%EV -2.94%E -0.449%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV -0.507%E -0.106%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -5.25%E -3.57%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.66%EV -2.94%E -0.449%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV -0.507%E -0.106%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -5.25%E -3.57%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.66%EV -2.94%E -0.449%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV -0.507%E -0.106%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.42%EV -2.67%E -1.77%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.62%EV -2.94%E -0.449%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.96%EV -9.63%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-14 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -3.68%E -0.566%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 16:51 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -8.48%E -5.97%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -3.68%E -0.566%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-14 16:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -9.12%E -6.47%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.68%E -0.566%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -8.80%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 16:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.68%E -0.566%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 16:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -12.34%E -9.08%K -34.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -3.68%E -0.566%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -12.34%E -9.08%K -34.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -3.68%E -0.566%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -8.80%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.19%EV -13.63%E -10.17%K -40.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -3.68%E -0.566%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -8.80%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.19%EV -13.63%E -10.17%K -40.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -3.68%E -0.566%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -8.80%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.57%EV -4.61%E -3.11%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 6.44I 15.53%NM 14.84%EV -4.57%E -0.710%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.59%EV -3.82%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.95%EV -5.90%E -4.04%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -5.16%E -0.807%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -9.83%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.95%EV -5.90%E -4.04%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -5.16%E -0.807%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -9.83%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.47%EV -5.90%E -4.04%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -7.39%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -7.39%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 16:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.53%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -7.39%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -10.87%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-14 16:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -8.48%E -5.97%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -8.13%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 16:36 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.15%EV -10.41%E -7.49%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -9.61%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.77%EV -5.25%E -3.57%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -11.09%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.60%EV -5.69%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 16:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.83%E -5.48%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -11.09%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.09%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-14 16:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.09%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-14 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.09%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-14 16:36 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.09%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-14 16:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -11.09%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -15.02%E -3.66%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.33%EV -12.34%E -9.08%K -34.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.58%EV -11.09%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.08%EV -13.98%E -3.37%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.53%EV -12.57%E -2.13%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -10.87%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.26%EV -8.48%E -5.97%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.47%EV -12.57%E -2.13%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-14 16:51 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.40%EV -14.05%E -2.42%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -10.87%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -14.79%E -2.57%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -14.79%E -2.57%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 15:56 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -14.79%E -2.57%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 16:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -14.79%E -2.57%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 15:56 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.50%E -3.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-14 16:36 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.50%E -3.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -18.50%E -3.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -17.09%E -4.27%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-14 16:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -18.50%E -3.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.61% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 0.9% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.61% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 0.9% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.02% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 1.0% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.02% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 1.0% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.76% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73% | 1.4% | 2026-09-14 16:55 |