The School of Odds
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Djurgardens IF v AIK

2026-08-16 12:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Djurgardens IF (Local)

Prediction 63.61%1.57fair odd
EV -4.58%
Edge -3.06%
Kelly -9.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.37%63.61%63.61%66.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.411.411.5075.76%70.87%70.92%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AIK (Visit)

Prediction 16.13%6.20fair odd
EV +8.87%
Edge +1.31%
Kelly +1.54%
Growth +0.137%

assuming max odds 6.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.33%16.13%16.13%18.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.886.006.7520.83%16.99%16.67%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.26%4.94fair odd
EV +3.33%
Edge +0.654%
Kelly +0.813%
Growth +0.027%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.97%20.26%20.26%20.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.614.605.1023.81%21.70%21.74%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Djurgardens IF (Local): 63.61%; AIK (Visit): 16.13%; Draw: 20.26%. For AIK (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.20. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.75, producing a positive expected value of +8.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.71%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.33%EV +8.87%E +1.31%K +1.54%G +0.137%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.97%EV +3.33%E +0.654%K +0.813%G +0.027%3.4%2026-08-09 12:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.71%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.33%EV +8.87%E +1.31%K +1.54%G +0.137%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.97%EV +3.33%E +0.654%K +0.813%G +0.027%3.4%2026-08-09 12:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.71%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.33%EV +8.87%E +1.31%K +1.54%G +0.137%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.97%EV +3.33%E +0.654%K +0.813%G +0.027%3.4%2026-08-09 12:10
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -9.67%E -6.81%K -23.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV +3.22%E +0.503%K +0.597%G +0.019%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -2.75%E -0.572%K -0.722%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -9.67%E -6.81%K -23.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV +3.22%E +0.503%K +0.597%G +0.019%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -2.75%E -0.572%K -0.722%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 12:10
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.31%EV -10.31%E -7.31%K -25.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -1.62%E -0.265%K -0.317%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 12:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.31%EV -10.31%E -7.31%K -25.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -1.62%E -0.265%K -0.317%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 12:10
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.31%EV -10.31%E -7.31%K -25.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -1.62%E -0.265%K -0.317%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 12:10
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.31%EV -10.31%E -7.31%K -25.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -1.62%E -0.265%K -0.317%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 12:09
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -12.22%E -8.85%K -32.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -3.23%E -0.538%K -0.646%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -6.80%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 12:10
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.08%EV -12.22%E -8.85%K -32.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -3.23%E -0.538%K -0.646%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 12:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.07%EV -13.49%E -9.92%K -37.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV -6.46%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-09 12:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.07%EV -13.49%E -9.92%K -37.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV -6.46%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-09 12:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 64.97%EV -16.03%E -12.15%K -50.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.31%EV -9.68%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.72%EV -11.86%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-09 12:10
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -4.58%E -3.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -15.33%E -2.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.82%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 12:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.86%EV -9.67%E -6.81%K -23.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -17.75%E -3.48%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -14.90%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-09 12:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.86%EV -9.67%E -6.81%K -23.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -17.75%E -3.48%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -14.90%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-09 12:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.56%EV -9.04%E -6.32%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -20.97%E -4.28%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.47%EV -12.88%E -2.99%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-09 12:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.37%EV -10.31%E -7.31%K -25.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.03%EV -22.58%E -4.70%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.60%EV -14.90%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-09 12:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.43I 69.93%NM 61.38%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%13.9%2026-08-09 12:15