Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.45
assuming max odds 7.60
assuming max odds 5.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Djurgardens IF (Local): 67.19%; AIK (Visit): 14.14%; Draw: 18.67%. For AIK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.07. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.50%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.95%EV -7.96%E -5.81%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.25%EV +7.50%E +0.986%K +1.14%G +0.085% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -12.25%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 11:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.95%EV -7.96%E -5.81%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.25%EV +7.50%E +0.986%K +1.14%G +0.085% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -12.25%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.86%EV -4.60%E -3.24%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.04%EV +6.08%E +0.811%K +0.935%G +0.057% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.11%EV +0.819%E +0.152%K +0.186%G +0.002% | 2.3% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.86%EV -4.60%E -3.24%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.04%EV +6.08%E +0.811%K +0.935%G +0.057% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.11%EV +0.819%E +0.152%K +0.186%G +0.002% | 2.3% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.86%EV -4.60%E -3.24%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.04%EV +6.08%E +0.811%K +0.935%G +0.057% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.11%EV +0.819%E +0.152%K +0.186%G +0.002% | 2.3% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.08%EV -7.28%E -5.28%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 12.87%EV +4.81%E +0.649%K +0.750%G +0.036% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.05%EV -1.42%E -0.269%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.63%EV -6.61%E -4.76%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.34%EV +1.13%E +0.158%K +0.184%G +0.002% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.03%EV -1.23%E -0.233%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.96%E -5.81%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -0.991%E -0.142%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.65%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -10.64%E -8.00%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -0.991%E -0.142%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -2.92%E -0.561%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 11:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -9.30%E -6.89%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -0.991%E -0.142%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 11:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -10.64%E -8.00%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -0.991%E -0.142%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.65%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 11:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.70%EV -2.58%E -1.78%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 6.91I 14.47%NM 14.00%EV -2.26%E -0.328%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.30%EV -6.46%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 11:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.22%EV -3.92%E -2.74%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.93%EV -2.41%E -0.349%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.85%EV -4.78%E -0.938%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 11:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.92%EV -7.28%E -5.28%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.20%EV -3.85%E -0.747%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -7.28%E -5.28%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -4.78%E -0.938%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -7.28%E -5.28%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -4.78%E -0.938%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -5.94%E -4.24%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -10.38%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.38%EV -9.30%E -6.89%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-16 11:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.35%EV -10.64%E -8.00%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.65%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 11:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.96%EV -9.30%E -6.89%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.69%EV -5.23%E -0.781%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -6.65%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 11:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.51%EV -5.94%E -4.24%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.32%EV -6.65%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -2.92%E -0.561%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.51%EV -5.94%E -4.24%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.32%EV -6.65%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -2.92%E -0.561%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.51%EV -5.94%E -4.24%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.32%EV -6.65%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -2.92%E -0.561%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.51%EV -5.94%E -4.24%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.32%EV -6.65%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -2.92%E -0.561%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.94%E -4.24%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -1.98%E -0.377%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 11:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.94%E -4.24%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.65%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 11:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -7.28%E -5.28%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -1.98%E -0.377%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 11:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.03%EV -6.61%E -4.76%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -6.65%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 12:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -10.38%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 11:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -10.38%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 11:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -10.38%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 11:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -10.38%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 12:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 11:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -12.66%E -9.74%K -42.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -6.65%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-16 11:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -12.66%E -9.74%K -42.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -6.65%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-16 11:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.31%EV -9.97%E -7.44%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%EV -9.48%E -1.48%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.60%EV -9.45%E -1.95%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 11:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.79%EV -9.30%E -6.89%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.43%EV -11.60%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -10.38%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 11:53 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.79%EV -9.30%E -6.89%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.43%EV -11.60%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -10.38%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 11:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.82%EV -9.97%E -7.44%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.33%EV -11.60%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.99%EV -10.64%E -8.00%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -11.60%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 11:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.85%EV -10.64%E -8.00%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.23%EV -11.60%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.92%EV -12.25%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.85%EV -10.64%E -8.00%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.23%EV -11.60%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.92%EV -12.25%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.85%EV -10.64%E -8.00%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.23%EV -11.60%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.92%EV -12.25%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -5.94%E -4.24%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -15.14%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-16 11:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -5.94%E -4.24%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -15.14%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.90%EV -7.28%E -5.28%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -15.14%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -10.38%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 12:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -15.14%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -15.98%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -15.14%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -15.98%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -15.14%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -15.98%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -15.14%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -15.98%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -15.14%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -15.98%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 11:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.14%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -17.96%E -3.10%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.36%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-16 11:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.72% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.78% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.72% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.78% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.72% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.78% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.51% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.75% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 12:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.43% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.64% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 12:00 |