Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.60
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.40
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Djurgardens IF (Local): 67.19%; AIK (Visitante): 14.14%; Empate: 18.67%. Para AIK (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.07. 7 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.50%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.95%EV -7.96%E -5.81%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.25%EV +7.50%E +0.986%K +1.14%G +0.085% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -12.25%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 11:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.95%EV -7.96%E -5.81%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.25%EV +7.50%E +0.986%K +1.14%G +0.085% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -12.25%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.86%EV -4.60%E -3.24%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.04%EV +6.08%E +0.811%K +0.935%G +0.057% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.11%EV +0.819%E +0.152%K +0.186%G +0.002% | 2.3% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.86%EV -4.60%E -3.24%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.04%EV +6.08%E +0.811%K +0.935%G +0.057% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.11%EV +0.819%E +0.152%K +0.186%G +0.002% | 2.3% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.86%EV -4.60%E -3.24%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.04%EV +6.08%E +0.811%K +0.935%G +0.057% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.11%EV +0.819%E +0.152%K +0.186%G +0.002% | 2.3% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.08%EV -7.28%E -5.28%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 12.87%EV +4.81%E +0.649%K +0.750%G +0.036% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.05%EV -1.42%E -0.269%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.63%EV -6.61%E -4.76%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.34%EV +1.13%E +0.158%K +0.184%G +0.002% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.03%EV -1.23%E -0.233%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.96%E -5.81%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -0.991%E -0.142%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.65%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -10.64%E -8.00%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -0.991%E -0.142%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -2.92%E -0.561%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 11:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -9.30%E -6.89%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -0.991%E -0.142%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 11:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -10.64%E -8.00%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -0.991%E -0.142%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.65%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 11:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.70%EV -2.58%E -1.78%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 6.91I 14.47%NM 14.00%EV -2.26%E -0.328%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.30%EV -6.46%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 11:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.22%EV -3.92%E -2.74%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.93%EV -2.41%E -0.349%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.85%EV -4.78%E -0.938%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 11:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.92%EV -7.28%E -5.28%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.20%EV -3.85%E -0.747%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -7.28%E -5.28%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -4.78%E -0.938%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -7.28%E -5.28%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -4.78%E -0.938%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -5.94%E -4.24%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -10.38%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.38%EV -9.30%E -6.89%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-16 11:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.35%EV -10.64%E -8.00%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -4.53%E -0.671%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.65%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 11:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.96%EV -9.30%E -6.89%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.69%EV -5.23%E -0.781%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -6.65%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 11:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.51%EV -5.94%E -4.24%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.32%EV -6.65%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -2.92%E -0.561%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.51%EV -5.94%E -4.24%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.32%EV -6.65%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -2.92%E -0.561%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.51%EV -5.94%E -4.24%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.32%EV -6.65%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -2.92%E -0.561%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.51%EV -5.94%E -4.24%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.32%EV -6.65%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -2.92%E -0.561%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.94%E -4.24%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -1.98%E -0.377%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 11:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.94%E -4.24%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.65%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 11:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -7.28%E -5.28%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -1.98%E -0.377%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 11:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.03%EV -6.61%E -4.76%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -6.65%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 12:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -10.38%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 11:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -10.38%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 11:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -10.38%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 11:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -10.38%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 12:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 11:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -12.66%E -9.74%K -42.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -6.65%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-16 11:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -12.66%E -9.74%K -42.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -8.06%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -6.65%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-16 11:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.31%EV -9.97%E -7.44%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%EV -9.48%E -1.48%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.60%EV -9.45%E -1.95%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 11:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.79%EV -9.30%E -6.89%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.43%EV -11.60%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -10.38%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 11:53 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.79%EV -9.30%E -6.89%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.43%EV -11.60%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -10.38%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 11:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.82%EV -9.97%E -7.44%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.33%EV -11.60%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.99%EV -10.64%E -8.00%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -11.60%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 11:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.85%EV -10.64%E -8.00%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.23%EV -11.60%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.92%EV -12.25%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.85%EV -10.64%E -8.00%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.23%EV -11.60%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.92%EV -12.25%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.85%EV -10.64%E -8.00%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.23%EV -11.60%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.92%EV -12.25%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -5.94%E -4.24%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -15.14%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-16 11:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -5.94%E -4.24%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -15.14%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.90%EV -7.28%E -5.28%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -15.14%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -10.38%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 12:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -15.14%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -15.98%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -15.14%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -15.98%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -15.14%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -15.98%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -15.14%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -15.98%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -15.14%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -15.98%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 11:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.14%EV -8.63%E -6.34%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -17.96%E -3.10%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.36%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-16 11:59 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.72% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.78% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.72% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.78% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.72% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.78% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.51% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.75% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 12:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.43% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.64% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 12:00 |