Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Djurgardens IF v AIK

2026-08-16 12:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Testa a testa

29 bookmaker (4 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Djurgardens IF (Casa)

Previsione 65.02%1.54quota equa
EV -5.72%
Vantaggio -3.95%
Kelly -12.72%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.56%65.25%65.02%66.71%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.401.411.4575.76%71.36%70.92%68.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

AIK (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.15%6.60quota equa
EV +2.27%
Vantaggio +0.336%
Kelly +0.395%
Crescita +0.009%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.94%15.03%15.15%18.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.655.986.006.7521.51%16.71%16.67%14.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 19.83%5.04quota equa
EV +1.13%
Vantaggio +0.222%
Kelly +0.276%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.50%19.72%19.83%21.08%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.054.654.605.1024.69%21.49%21.74%19.61%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Djurgardens IF (Casa): 65.02%; AIK (Trasferta): 15.15%; Pareggio: 19.83%. Per AIK (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 6.60. 4 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 6.75, con un valore atteso positivo del +2.27%.

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.71%EV -5.72%E -3.95%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.33%EV +2.27%E +0.336%K +0.395%G +0.009%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.97%EV +1.13%E +0.222%K +0.276%G +0.003%3.4%2026-08-09 12:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.71%EV -5.72%E -3.95%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.33%EV +2.27%E +0.336%K +0.395%G +0.009%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.97%EV +1.13%E +0.222%K +0.276%G +0.003%3.4%2026-08-09 12:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.71%EV -5.72%E -3.95%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.33%EV +2.27%E +0.336%K +0.395%G +0.009%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.97%EV +1.13%E +0.222%K +0.276%G +0.003%3.4%2026-08-09 12:10
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.67%E -5.40%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.94%EV +1.51%E +0.226%K +0.265%G +0.004%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -8.78%E -1.91%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 15:10
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -7.02%E -4.91%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.15%EV -0.003%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.53%EV -9.77%E -2.15%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 15:05
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -7.67%E -5.40%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -3.03%E -0.474%K -0.562%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.89%EV -7.67%E -5.40%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -3.03%E -0.474%K -0.562%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 12:10
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.31%EV -8.32%E -5.90%K -20.30%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -7.58%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -6.80%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 12:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.31%EV -8.32%E -5.90%K -20.30%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -7.58%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -6.80%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 12:10
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.31%EV -8.32%E -5.90%K -20.30%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -7.58%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -6.80%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 12:10
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.31%EV -8.32%E -5.90%K -20.30%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -7.58%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -6.80%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 12:09
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -6.37%E -4.43%K -14.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -9.09%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -4.82%E -1.00%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -5.72%E -3.95%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -9.09%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -8.78%E -1.91%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 15:05
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -8.97%E -6.41%K -22.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -9.09%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -0.851%E -0.170%K -0.213%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 15:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -8.97%E -6.41%K -22.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -9.09%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -0.851%E -0.170%K -0.213%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 15:05
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.99%EV -9.62%E -6.92%K -24.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -9.09%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -2.83%E -0.578%K -0.727%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 15:05
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.87%EV -8.32%E -5.90%K -20.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -9.09%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -8.78%E -1.91%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 15:05
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -8.97%E -6.41%K -22.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -9.09%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.78%E -1.91%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 15:05
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -10.27%E -7.44%K -27.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -9.09%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -8.78%E -1.91%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 12:10
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -11.57%E -8.51%K -32.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -9.09%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -5.81%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 15:05
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.08%EV -10.27%E -7.44%K -27.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -9.09%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -10.77%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 12:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.07%EV -11.57%E -8.51%K -32.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV -12.12%E -2.09%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -10.77%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-09 12:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.07%EV -11.57%E -8.51%K -32.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV -12.12%E -2.09%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -10.77%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-09 12:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 64.97%EV -14.17%E -10.74%K -44.30%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.31%EV -15.15%E -2.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.72%EV -13.74%E -3.16%K -4.10%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-09 12:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.62%EV -10.27%E -7.44%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -16.67%E -3.03%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.42%EV -14.73%E -3.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-09 15:03
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.43%EV -10.27%E -7.44%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.21%EV -18.18%E -3.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.36%EV -14.73%E -3.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-09 15:04
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 63.57%EV -11.57%E -8.51%K -32.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.47%EV -20.46%E -3.90%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.97%EV -14.14%E -3.26%K -4.25%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-09 15:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.16%EV -9.62%E -6.92%K -24.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.88%EV -21.21%E -4.08%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -12.75%E -2.90%K -3.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-09 15:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 63.00%EV -10.92%E -7.97%K -29.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.92%EV -22.73%E -4.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.07%EV -14.73%E -3.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-09 15:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 63.10%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.54%13.2%2026-08-09 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-09 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-09 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-09 14:40