Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.65
assuming max odds 5.75
assuming max odds 4.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BK Hacken (Local): 57.77%; Mjällby AIF (Visit): 19.96%; Draw: 22.28%. For Mjällby AIF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.01. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.75%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.14%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.94%EV +14.75%E +2.57%K +3.11%G +0.458% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -5.32%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-09 12:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.14%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.94%EV +14.75%E +2.57%K +3.11%G +0.458% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -5.32%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-09 12:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.14%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.94%EV +14.75%E +2.57%K +3.11%G +0.458% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -5.32%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-09 12:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.28%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.12%EV +5.77%E +1.09%K +1.34%G +0.078% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -5.32%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-08 02:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -9.89%E -6.34%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV +5.77%E +1.09%K +1.34%G +0.078% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 12:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -9.89%E -6.34%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV +5.77%E +1.09%K +1.34%G +0.078% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 12:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -9.89%E -6.34%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV +5.77%E +1.09%K +1.34%G +0.078% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 12:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -9.89%E -6.34%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV +5.77%E +1.09%K +1.34%G +0.078% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 12:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -9.89%E -6.34%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV +5.77%E +1.09%K +1.34%G +0.078% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 12:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -9.89%E -6.34%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV +5.77%E +1.09%K +1.34%G +0.078% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 12:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.55%EV -11.04%E -7.17%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -0.214%E -0.043%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -14.23%E -3.70%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 12:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -11.62%E -7.59%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -0.214%E -0.043%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -14.23%E -3.70%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 12:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.47%EV -12.20%E -8.02%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.14%EV -2.21%E -0.451%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.34%E -4.04%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-09 12:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.47%EV -12.20%E -8.02%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.14%EV -2.21%E -0.451%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.34%E -4.04%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-09 12:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.63%EV -12.77%E -8.46%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.07%EV -2.21%E -0.451%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -15.34%E -4.04%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-09 12:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -5.84%E -3.58%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.34%EV -3.21%E -0.661%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.11%EV -9.55%E -2.35%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 19:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.79%EV -8.15%E -5.13%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -4.21%E -0.876%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -4.21%E -0.978%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 17:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.40%EV -10.46%E -6.75%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -4.21%E -0.876%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -4.21%E -0.978%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 04:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.32%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 08:37 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.43%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -7.58%E -4.73%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.32%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 20:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -7.58%E -4.73%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.43%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 20:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.21%EV -8.73%E -5.53%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -8.66%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 20:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.04%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 19.84%EV -5.40%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -5.32%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 08:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.79%EV -5.27%E -3.21%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -4.21%E -0.978%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 17:06 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.79%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -6.43%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 08:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 08:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.24%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.66%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-07 20:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -5.27%E -3.21%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.21%EV -7.40%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.60%EV -7.55%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.32%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 07:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -8.66%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-08 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -8.66%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-08 13:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -8.66%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-08 13:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -8.66%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-08 13:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.58%E -4.73%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-07 20:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -10.19%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -6.43%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 12:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -7.58%E -4.73%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.19%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 09:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -7.58%E -4.73%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.19%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 09:18 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -8.73%E -5.53%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.19%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.66%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 17:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -7.58%E -4.73%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -10.19%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -14.23%E -3.70%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 08:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -10.19%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-07 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 13:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 13:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 13:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.66%EV -12.20%E -8.02%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.15%EV -13.19%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.19%EV -12.00%E -3.04%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-09 17:06 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.97%EV -10.46%E -6.75%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -13.59%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-08 17:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.35%EV -8.73%E -5.53%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -14.18%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -6.43%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 07:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.77%EV -9.89%E -6.34%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.09%EV -16.18%E -3.85%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-09 07:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.34%EV -10.46%E -6.75%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -20.17%E -5.04%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-09 08:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.58% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.25% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31% | 1.9% | 2026-09-09 17:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.25% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31% | 1.9% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.25% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31% | 1.9% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.06% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.39% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55% | 3.1% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |