Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

BK Hacken v Mjällby AIF

2026-09-11 17:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BK Hacken (Local)

Prediction 56.57%1.77fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -4.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.76%56.57%56.57%59.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.601.7165.36%62.44%62.50%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mjällby AIF (Visit)

Prediction 20.60%4.86fair odd
EV +8.13%
Edge +1.55%
Kelly +1.91%
Growth +0.155%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.54%20.60%20.60%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.624.605.2525.97%21.65%21.74%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.83%4.38fair odd
EV +0.472%
Edge +0.107%
Kelly +0.139%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.12%22.83%22.83%23.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.064.004.4026.67%24.61%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: BK Hacken (Local): 56.57%; Mjällby AIF (Visit): 20.60%; Draw: 22.83%. For Mjällby AIF (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.86. 9 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.25, producing a positive expected value of +8.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.34%EV -7.23%E -4.41%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.54%EV +8.13%E +1.55%K +1.91%G +0.155%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV +0.472%E +0.107%K +0.139%G +0.001%2.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.34%EV -7.23%E -4.41%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.54%EV +8.13%E +1.55%K +1.91%G +0.155%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV +0.472%E +0.107%K +0.139%G +0.001%2.8%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.34%EV -7.23%E -4.41%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.54%EV +8.13%E +1.55%K +1.91%G +0.155%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV +0.472%E +0.107%K +0.139%G +0.001%2.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -9.49%E -5.93%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +0.919%E +0.188%K +0.236%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.10%E -0.975%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -9.49%E -5.93%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +0.919%E +0.188%K +0.236%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.10%E -0.975%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -9.49%E -5.93%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +0.919%E +0.188%K +0.236%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.10%E -0.975%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -9.49%E -5.93%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +0.919%E +0.188%K +0.236%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.10%E -0.975%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -9.49%E -5.93%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +0.919%E +0.188%K +0.236%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.10%E -0.975%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -9.49%E -5.93%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +0.919%E +0.188%K +0.236%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.10%E -0.975%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:05
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -12.32%E -7.95%K -22.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.82%EV -12.32%E -7.95%K -22.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.48%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -9.80%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -13.45%E -8.79%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.77%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -13.45%E -8.79%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.77%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -13.45%E -8.79%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.77%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.09%EV -3.27%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.71%EV -10.61%E -2.45%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.20%EV -7.29%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -10.82%E -2.50%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -4.40%E -2.60%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.73%EV -11.85%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -8.66%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.15%EV -10.05%E -6.32%K -17.04%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.65%EV -16.59%E -4.10%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.20%EV -13.69%E -3.62%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 55.68%EV -12.32%E -7.95%K -22.39%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.31%EV -16.59%E -4.10%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.01%EV -14.37%E -3.83%K -5.23%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.09%EV -9.49%E -5.93%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.31%EV -18.65%E -4.72%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.60%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 54.76%EV -10.62%E -6.72%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.47%EV -20.71%E -5.38%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.77%EV -13.23%E -3.48%K -4.72%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 54.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%13.8%2026-09-05 23:05