Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

BK Hacken v Mjällby AIF

Início: 2026-09-11 17:00 UTC

Final: BK Hacken 1–1 Mjällby AIF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

BK Hacken (Local)

Previsão 57.77%1.73odd justa
EV -4.69%
Vantagem -2.84%
Kelly -7.21%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.34%57.73%57.84%60.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.511.591.601.6566.23%62.94%62.50%60.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Mjällby AIF (Visitante)

Previsão 19.96%5.01odd justa
EV +14.75%
Vantagem +2.57%
Kelly +3.11%
Crescimento +0.458%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.94%19.88%19.91%21.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.764.705.7525.00%21.00%21.28%17.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.28%4.49odd justa
EV -4.21%
Vantagem -0.978%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.41%22.39%22.25%23.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.804.054.004.3026.32%24.71%25.00%23.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: BK Hacken (Local): 57.77%; Mjällby AIF (Visitante): 19.96%; Empate: 22.28%. Para Mjällby AIF (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.01. 10 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +14.75%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.14%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.94%EV +14.75%E +2.57%K +3.11%G +0.458%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -5.32%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-09 12:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.14%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.94%EV +14.75%E +2.57%K +3.11%G +0.458%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -5.32%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-09 12:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.14%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.94%EV +14.75%E +2.57%K +3.11%G +0.458%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -5.32%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-09 12:15
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.28%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.12%EV +5.77%E +1.09%K +1.34%G +0.078%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -5.32%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 02:40
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -9.89%E -6.34%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV +5.77%E +1.09%K +1.34%G +0.078%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 12:15
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -9.89%E -6.34%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV +5.77%E +1.09%K +1.34%G +0.078%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -9.89%E -6.34%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV +5.77%E +1.09%K +1.34%G +0.078%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 12:15
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -9.89%E -6.34%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV +5.77%E +1.09%K +1.34%G +0.078%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 12:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -9.89%E -6.34%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV +5.77%E +1.09%K +1.34%G +0.078%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 12:15
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -9.89%E -6.34%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV +5.77%E +1.09%K +1.34%G +0.078%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 12:15
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.55%EV -11.04%E -7.17%K -20.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -0.214%E -0.043%K -0.053%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -14.23%E -3.70%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 12:15
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -11.62%E -7.59%K -21.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -0.214%E -0.043%K -0.053%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -14.23%E -3.70%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 12:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.47%EV -12.20%E -8.02%K -23.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.14%EV -2.21%E -0.451%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.34%E -4.04%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 12:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.47%EV -12.20%E -8.02%K -23.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.14%EV -2.21%E -0.451%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.34%E -4.04%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 12:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.63%EV -12.77%E -8.46%K -25.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.07%EV -2.21%E -0.451%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -15.34%E -4.04%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-09 12:15
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -5.84%E -3.58%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.34%EV -3.21%E -0.661%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.11%EV -9.55%E -2.35%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 19:39
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.79%EV -8.15%E -5.13%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -4.21%E -0.876%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -4.21%E -0.978%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 17:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.40%EV -10.46%E -6.75%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -4.21%E -0.876%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -4.21%E -0.978%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 04:04
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.32%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 08:37
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.43%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -7.58%E -4.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.32%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 20:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -7.58%E -4.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.43%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 20:25
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.21%EV -8.73%E -5.53%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -8.66%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 20:25
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.04%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.84%EV -5.40%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -5.32%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 08:40
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.79%EV -5.27%E -3.21%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -4.21%E -0.978%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 17:06
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.79%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -6.43%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 08:34
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 08:35
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.24%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.66%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 20:24
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -5.27%E -3.21%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.21%EV -7.40%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.60%EV -7.55%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.32%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 07:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -8.66%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-08 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -8.66%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-08 13:45
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -8.66%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-08 13:50
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -8.66%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-08 13:44
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 09:04
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.58%E -4.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 20:24
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 09:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 09:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 09:04
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -10.19%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -6.43%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 12:15
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -7.58%E -4.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.19%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 09:19
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -7.58%E -4.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.19%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 09:18
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -8.73%E -5.53%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.19%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.66%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 17:04
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -7.58%E -4.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -10.19%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -14.23%E -3.70%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 08:35
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -10.19%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-07 20:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 13:30
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 13:30
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 13:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.66%EV -12.20%E -8.02%K -23.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.15%EV -13.19%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.19%EV -12.00%E -3.04%K -4.07%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-09 17:06
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.97%EV -10.46%E -6.75%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -13.59%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-08 17:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.35%EV -8.73%E -5.53%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -14.18%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -6.43%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 07:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.77%EV -9.89%E -6.34%K -17.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.09%EV -16.18%E -3.85%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-09 07:34
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.34%EV -10.46%E -6.75%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -20.17%E -5.04%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-09 08:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.58%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-09-09 17:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31%1.9%2026-09-09 17:16
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31%1.9%2026-09-09 17:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31%1.9%2026-09-09 17:21
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.06%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%3.1%2026-09-09 17:41