Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

BK Hacken v Mjällby AIF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-11 17:00 UTC

Score final : BK Hacken 1–1 Mjällby AIF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

BK Hacken (Local)

Prévision 57.77%1.73cote équitable
EV -4.69%
Avantage -2.84%
Kelly -7.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.34%57.73%57.84%60.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.511.591.601.6566.23%62.94%62.50%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Mjällby AIF (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.96%5.01cote équitable
EV +14.75%
Avantage +2.57%
Kelly +3.11%
Croissance +0.458%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.94%19.88%19.91%21.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.764.705.7525.00%21.00%21.28%17.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.28%4.49cote équitable
EV -4.21%
Avantage -0.978%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.41%22.39%22.25%23.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.054.004.3026.32%24.71%25.00%23.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : BK Hacken (Local) : 57.77% ; Mjällby AIF (Visiteur) : 19.96% ; Match nul : 22.28%. Pour Mjällby AIF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.01. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.75, soit une espérance positive de +14.75%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.14%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.94%EV +14.75%E +2.57%K +3.11%G +0.458%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -5.32%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-09 12:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.14%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.94%EV +14.75%E +2.57%K +3.11%G +0.458%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -5.32%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-09 12:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.14%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.94%EV +14.75%E +2.57%K +3.11%G +0.458%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -5.32%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-09 12:15
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.28%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.12%EV +5.77%E +1.09%K +1.34%G +0.078%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -5.32%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 02:40
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -9.89%E -6.34%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV +5.77%E +1.09%K +1.34%G +0.078%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 12:15
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -9.89%E -6.34%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV +5.77%E +1.09%K +1.34%G +0.078%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -9.89%E -6.34%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV +5.77%E +1.09%K +1.34%G +0.078%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 12:15
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -9.89%E -6.34%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV +5.77%E +1.09%K +1.34%G +0.078%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 12:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -9.89%E -6.34%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV +5.77%E +1.09%K +1.34%G +0.078%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 12:15
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -9.89%E -6.34%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV +5.77%E +1.09%K +1.34%G +0.078%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 12:15
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.55%EV -11.04%E -7.17%K -20.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -0.214%E -0.043%K -0.053%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -14.23%E -3.70%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 12:15
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -11.62%E -7.59%K -21.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -0.214%E -0.043%K -0.053%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -14.23%E -3.70%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 12:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.47%EV -12.20%E -8.02%K -23.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.14%EV -2.21%E -0.451%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.34%E -4.04%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 12:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.47%EV -12.20%E -8.02%K -23.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.14%EV -2.21%E -0.451%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.34%E -4.04%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 12:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.63%EV -12.77%E -8.46%K -25.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.07%EV -2.21%E -0.451%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -15.34%E -4.04%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-09 12:15
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -5.84%E -3.58%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.34%EV -3.21%E -0.661%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.11%EV -9.55%E -2.35%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 19:39
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.79%EV -8.15%E -5.13%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -4.21%E -0.876%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -4.21%E -0.978%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 17:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.40%EV -10.46%E -6.75%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -4.21%E -0.876%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -4.21%E -0.978%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 04:04
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.32%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 08:37
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.43%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -7.58%E -4.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.32%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 20:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -7.58%E -4.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.43%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 20:25
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.21%EV -8.73%E -5.53%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -8.66%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 20:25
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.04%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.84%EV -5.40%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -5.32%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 08:40
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.79%EV -5.27%E -3.21%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -4.21%E -0.978%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 17:06
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.79%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -6.43%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 08:34
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -4.69%E -2.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 08:35
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.24%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.66%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 20:24
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -5.27%E -3.21%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.21%EV -7.40%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.60%EV -7.55%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.32%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 07:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -8.66%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-08 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -8.66%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-08 13:45
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -8.66%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-08 13:50
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -8.66%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-08 13:44
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -6.42%E -3.96%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 09:04
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.58%E -4.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 20:24
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 09:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 09:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 09:04
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -10.19%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -6.43%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 12:15
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -7.58%E -4.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.19%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 09:19
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -7.58%E -4.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.19%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 09:18
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -8.73%E -5.53%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.19%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.66%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 17:04
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -7.58%E -4.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -10.19%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -14.23%E -3.70%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 08:35
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -10.19%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-07 20:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 13:30
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 13:30
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 13:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.66%EV -12.20%E -8.02%K -23.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.15%EV -13.19%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.19%EV -12.00%E -3.04%K -4.07%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-09 17:06
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.97%EV -10.46%E -6.75%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -13.59%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-08 17:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.35%EV -8.73%E -5.53%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -14.18%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -6.43%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 07:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.77%EV -9.89%E -6.34%K -17.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.09%EV -16.18%E -3.85%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-09 07:34
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.34%EV -10.46%E -6.75%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -20.17%E -5.04%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-09 08:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.58%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-09-09 17:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31%1.9%2026-09-09 17:16
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31%1.9%2026-09-09 17:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31%1.9%2026-09-09 17:21
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.06%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%3.1%2026-09-09 17:41