Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.25
assuming max odds 3.40
assuming max odds 3.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BK Hacken (Local): 44.91%; Malmo FF (Visit): 29.04%; Draw: 26.06%. For BK Hacken (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.04%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.42%EV +1.04%E +0.463%K +0.834%G +0.009% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.53%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.05%EV -2.29%E -0.611%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.64%EV +0.144%E +0.064%K +0.117%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.95%EV -2.29%E -0.611%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.64%EV +0.144%E +0.064%K +0.117%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.95%EV -2.29%E -0.611%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.04%EV -2.10%E -0.964%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.01%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%EV -3.60%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 11:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.68%EV -2.10%E -0.964%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -4.90%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -4.80%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -4.80%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.59%EV -2.73%E -0.813%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.81%EV -3.34%E -0.899%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 14:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -4.90%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 14:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 14:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.60%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 13:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -14.34%E -4.86%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 13:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.25%EV -6.14%E -2.94%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.48%EV -3.60%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -1.27%E -0.374%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -1.27%E -0.374%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 14:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -2.73%E -0.813%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.90%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -7.04%E -3.40%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 14:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -7.04%E -3.40%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 14:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -7.04%E -3.40%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 14:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 14:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 14:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 14:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-10 14:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-10 14:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-10 14:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -9.29%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.49%EV -9.29%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -15.79%E -5.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -12.72%E -3.80%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 14:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -10.11%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-10 14:22 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.02%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.02%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.02%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.02%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.02%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.31%EV -11.08%E -5.60%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -15.79%E -5.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -10.11%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 14:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.52%EV -12.43%E -6.37%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.94%EV -15.79%E -5.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -14.23%E -7.45%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-10 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -14.23%E -7.45%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -16.37%E -5.68%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -19.23%E -6.20%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.75% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.75% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.75% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.75% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.60% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26% | 1.5% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |