Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

BK Hacken v Malmo FF

Início: 2026-05-10 14:30 UTC

Final: BK Hacken 3–2 Malmo FF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

BK Hacken (Local)

Previsão 44.91%2.23odd justa
EV +1.04%
Vantagem +0.463%
Kelly +0.834%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.26%44.88%44.89%45.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.072.072.2552.36%48.30%48.31%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Malmo FF (Visitante)

Previsão 29.04%3.44odd justa
EV -1.27%
Vantagem -0.374%
Kelly -0.531%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.94%29.11%29.07%30.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.133.103.4034.72%31.90%32.26%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.06%3.84odd justa
EV -2.29%
Vantagem -0.611%
Kelly -0.834%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.03%26.01%26.04%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.523.553.7532.26%28.41%28.17%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: BK Hacken (Local): 44.91%; Malmo FF (Visitante): 29.04%; Empate: 26.06%. Para BK Hacken (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.23. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.04%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.42%EV +1.04%E +0.463%K +0.834%G +0.009%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.53%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.05%EV -2.29%E -0.611%K -0.834%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.64%EV +0.144%E +0.064%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.95%EV -2.29%E -0.611%K -0.834%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-10 14:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.64%EV +0.144%E +0.064%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.95%EV -2.29%E -0.611%K -0.834%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-10 14:25
Coolbet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.04%EV -2.10%E -0.964%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.01%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%EV -3.60%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 11:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.68%EV -2.10%E -0.964%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -4.90%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:24
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:24
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:24
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:24
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -4.80%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 14:25
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -4.80%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 14:24
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.59%EV -2.73%E -0.813%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.81%EV -3.34%E -0.899%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 14:10
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -4.90%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 14:10
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 14:09
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.60%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 14:24
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 14:24
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 13:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -14.34%E -4.86%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 13:44
GTbets🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.25%EV -6.14%E -2.94%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.48%EV -3.60%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 14:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -1.27%E -0.374%K -0.531%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 14:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -1.27%E -0.374%K -0.531%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 14:09
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -2.73%E -0.813%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.90%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 14:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 14:24
Bovada🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -7.04%E -3.40%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 14:08
BetUS🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -7.04%E -3.40%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 14:09
BetAnything🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -7.04%E -3.40%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 14:10
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 14:24
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 14:24
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 14:09
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 14:09
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 14:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 14:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 14:09
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 14:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 14:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 14:24
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 14:10
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -9.29%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 14:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.49%EV -9.29%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -15.79%E -5.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -12.72%E -3.80%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-10 14:24
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 14:23
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 14:24
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 14:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -10.11%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-10 14:22
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.02%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-10 14:25
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.02%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.02%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.02%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.02%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.31%EV -11.08%E -5.60%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -15.79%E -5.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -10.11%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-10 14:09
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.52%EV -12.43%E -6.37%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.94%EV -15.79%E -5.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -14.23%E -7.45%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-10 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -14.23%E -7.45%K -15.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -16.37%E -5.68%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -19.23%E -6.20%K -9.16%G +0.000%19.3%2026-05-10 14:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.75%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-05-10 14:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.75%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-05-10 14:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.75%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-05-10 14:24
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.75%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-05-10 14:24
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.5%2026-05-10 14:25