La escuela de los momios

BK Hacken v Malmo FF

Inicio: 2026-05-10 14:30 UTC

Final: BK Hacken 3–2 Malmo FF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

BK Hacken (Local)

Predicción 44.91%2.23momio equitativo
EV +1.04%
Ventaja +0.463%
Kelly +0.834%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.26%44.88%44.89%45.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.072.072.2552.36%48.30%48.31%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Malmo FF (Visitante)

Predicción 29.04%3.44momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.374%
Kelly -0.531%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.94%29.11%29.07%30.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.133.103.4034.72%31.90%32.26%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.06%3.84momio equitativo
EV -2.29%
Ventaja -0.611%
Kelly -0.834%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.03%26.01%26.04%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.523.553.7532.26%28.41%28.17%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.42%EV +1.04%E +0.463%K +0.834%G +0.009%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.53%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.05%EV -2.29%E -0.611%K -0.834%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.64%EV +0.144%E +0.064%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.95%EV -2.29%E -0.611%K -0.834%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-10 14:24
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.64%EV +0.144%E +0.064%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.95%EV -2.29%E -0.611%K -0.834%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-10 14:25
Coolbet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.04%EV -2.10%E -0.964%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.01%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%EV -3.60%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 11:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.68%EV -2.10%E -0.964%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -4.90%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:24
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:24
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:24
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:24
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -4.80%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 14:25
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -4.80%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 14:24
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.59%EV -2.73%E -0.813%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.81%EV -3.34%E -0.899%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 14:10
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -4.90%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 14:10
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 14:09
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.60%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 14:24
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 14:24
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 13:44
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -14.34%E -4.86%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 13:44
GTbets2.09I 47.85%NM 45.25%EV -6.14%E -2.94%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.48%EV -3.60%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 14:24
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -1.27%E -0.374%K -0.531%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 14:10
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -1.27%E -0.374%K -0.531%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 14:09
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -2.73%E -0.813%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.90%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 14:24
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 14:25
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 14:24
Bovada2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -7.04%E -3.40%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 14:08
BetUS2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -7.04%E -3.40%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 14:09
BetAnything2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -7.04%E -3.40%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 14:10
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 14:24
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 14:24
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 14:09
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 14:09
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 14:24
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 14:09
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 14:09
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 14:09
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 14:24
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 14:24
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 14:10
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -9.29%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 14:24
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.49%EV -9.29%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -15.79%E -5.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -12.72%E -3.80%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-10 14:24
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 14:23
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 14:24
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 14:24
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -10.11%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-10 14:22
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.02%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-10 14:25
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.02%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.02%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.02%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.02%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.31%EV -11.08%E -5.60%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -15.79%E -5.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -10.11%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-10 14:09
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.52%EV -12.43%E -6.37%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.94%EV -15.79%E -5.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -14.23%E -7.45%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-10 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -14.23%E -7.45%K -15.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -16.37%E -5.68%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -19.23%E -6.20%K -9.16%G +0.000%19.3%2026-05-10 14:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.75%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-05-10 14:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.75%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-05-10 14:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.75%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-05-10 14:24
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.75%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-05-10 14:24
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.5%2026-05-10 14:25