The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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BK Hacken v IF Elfsborg

2026-11-22 13:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BK Hacken (Local)

Prediction 49.79%2.01fair odd
EV -3.90%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -4.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.32%49.79%49.92%51.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.831.831.9362.50%54.70%54.64%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IF Elfsborg (Visit)

Prediction 26.12%3.83fair odd
EV +7.08%
Edge +1.73%
Kelly +2.28%
Growth +0.162%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.69%26.04%26.04%27.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.583.604.1032.26%27.91%27.78%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.09%4.15fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -0.910%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.88%24.17%24.04%25.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.753.704.0028.57%26.69%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: BK Hacken (Local): 49.79%; IF Elfsborg (Visit): 26.12%; Draw: 24.09%. For IF Elfsborg (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 7 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.10, producing a positive expected value of +7.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.40%EV -5.89%E -3.12%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV +7.08%E +1.73%K +2.28%G +0.162%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-09 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.40%EV -5.89%E -3.12%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV +7.08%E +1.73%K +2.28%G +0.162%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-09 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.40%EV -5.89%E -3.12%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV +7.08%E +1.73%K +2.28%G +0.162%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-09 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV +1.86%E +0.477%K +0.641%G +0.012%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-09 12:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV +1.86%E +0.477%K +0.641%G +0.012%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-09 13:00
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV +1.86%E +0.477%K +0.641%G +0.012%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-09 13:00
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV +1.86%E +0.477%K +0.641%G +0.012%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-09 12:58
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.83%EV -7.88%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.753%E -0.198%K -0.269%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-09 17:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -10.37%E -5.76%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -2.06%E -0.549%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-09 12:54
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.33%EV -10.37%E -5.76%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -2.06%E -0.549%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -14.48%E -4.08%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-09 13:00
Betsson🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.82%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.65%EV -3.10%E -0.837%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.53%EV -6.53%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-09 17:20
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.30%EV -10.87%E -6.07%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -3.36%E -0.909%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -14.48%E -4.08%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-09 12:59
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -11.37%E -6.39%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -3.36%E -0.909%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -14.48%E -4.08%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-09 13:00
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.88%EV -11.87%E -6.71%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-09 10:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.38%EV -12.37%E -7.03%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -15.68%E -4.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-09 12:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.38%EV -12.37%E -7.03%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -15.68%E -4.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-09 12:55
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -6.89%E -3.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.98%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-09 13:24
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.88%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.98%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-09 17:18
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.18%EV -5.39%E -2.84%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.55%EV -8.07%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-09 12:44
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -3.90%E -2.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -3.64%E -0.910%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-09 11:20
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -3.90%E -2.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -4.84%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-09 16:39
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-09 10:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-09 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-09 13:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-09 13:24
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-09 13:25
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-09 13:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.21%EV -14.36%E -8.35%K -19.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.88%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%13.5%2026-11-09 10:54
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.38%EV -5.39%E -2.84%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -12.51%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-09 10:54
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -6.89%E -3.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -13.81%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-09 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -6.89%E -3.68%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -13.81%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-09 10:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 50.94%EV -16.35%E -9.73%K -24.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -13.81%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.13%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%16.9%2026-11-09 10:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 51.49%EV -20.33%E -12.71%K -33.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 24.97%EV -13.81%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.54%EV -15.68%E -4.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%21.4%2026-11-09 10:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 48.57%EV -11.87%E -6.71%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 27.55%EV -18.51%E -5.93%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.88%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000%16.3%2026-11-09 13:40
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.32%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -19.04%E -6.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -15.68%E -4.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%15.5%2026-11-09 11:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 50.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%16.8%2026-11-09 11:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 33.43%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.43%1.14I 87.72%NM 33.14%164.7%2026-11-09 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 33.43%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.43%1.14I 87.72%NM 33.14%164.7%2026-11-09 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 33.43%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.43%1.14I 87.72%NM 33.14%164.7%2026-11-09 14:20

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